BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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PFW

Class: 1 Class Rank: 131 Overall: (20-13) Overall Strength =   37.18
Conference: Horizon Record: (14-9) | District: 1-02 Record: (18-11)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Away    L      31.70  47  83    1  17 (27- 6) West Virginia          -5.30 *  -30.70                      
 2 11-07-2025 Away    L   *  34.11  61  62    1 172 (11-19) Xavier                 -2.89      1.89                      
 3 11-12-2025 Home    W      44.45  68  67    1  59 (13-17) Purdue                  7.44     -6.44                      
 4 11-15-2025 Home    W   *  46.21  85  60    1 276 (10-19) S Illinois              9.21     15.79                      
 5 11-19-2025 Home    W   *  43.73  67  52    1 194 (13-16) Eastern Michigan        6.73      8.27                      
 6 11-24-2025 Neutral L      37.51  57  80    1  30 (18-12) Nebraska                0.50    -23.50                      
 7 11-25-2025 Neutral W   *  37.85  77  68    1 221 (18-13) Northwestern LA         0.84      8.16                      
 8 11-30-2025 Away    L   *  32.00  53  56    1 187 (17-13) Bowling Green          -5.01      2.01                      
 9 12-03-2025 Away    W * *  35.37  74  68    1 252 (14-17) IUPUI                  -1.63      7.63                      
10 12-07-2025 Home    W * *  36.29  68  52    1 288 (10-22) Wright St              -0.71     16.71                      
11 12-10-2025 Home    W * *  27.89  70  60    1 304 ( 8-24) WI Milwaukee           -9.12     19.12                      
12 12-14-2025 Home    W   *  41.06  67  44    1 293 ( 7-23) Northern Illinois       4.06     18.94                      
13 12-19-2025 Home    W      37.01 104  31   ZZ 251 ( 0- 1) Aquinas                 0.00 *   73.00                      
14 12-29-2025 Home    L * *  26.74  85  88 1  1 189 (15-17) N Kentucky            -10.26      7.26                      
15 01-02-2026 Away    W * *  48.36  84  64    1 257 (10-21) Oakland                11.36      8.64                      
16 01-05-2026 Home    W * *  49.08  71  46    1 252 (14-17) IUPUI                  12.07     12.93                      
17 01-08-2026 Away    L * *  22.47  64  74    1 217 (18-12) Robert Morris         -14.54      4.54                      
18 01-10-2026 Away    L * *  34.45  54  58    1 141 (24- 8) Youngstown St          -2.56     -1.44                      
19 01-14-2026 Away    L * *  32.27  57  69    1  93 (24- 8) WI Green Bay           -4.74     -7.26                      
20 01-21-2026 Home    W * *  42.72  80  70    1 152 (24- 9) Cleveland St            5.72      4.28                      
21 01-24-2026 Away    W * *  41.04  97  91 1  1 189 (15-17) N Kentucky              4.03      1.97                      
22 01-27-2026 Home    W * *  41.17  60  46    1 217 (18-12) Robert Morris           4.17      9.83                      
23 02-01-2026 Home    W * *  47.46  95  66    1 298 ( 7-24) Detroit                10.46     18.54                      
24 02-05-2026 Away    L * *  22.59  67  70    1 288 (10-22) Wright St             -14.42     11.42                      
25 02-07-2026 Away    L * *  21.02  56  73    1 152 (24- 9) Cleveland St          -15.99     -1.01                      
26 02-14-2026 Away    W * *  39.76  84  68    1 298 ( 7-24) Detroit                 2.75     13.25                      
27 02-18-2026 Home    L * *  16.07  64  71    1 257 (10-21) Oakland               -20.94     13.94                      
28 02-21-2026 Home    L * *  28.15  71  76    1 141 (24- 8) Youngstown St          -8.85      3.85                      
29 02-25-2026 Away    W * *  42.18  71  52    1 304 ( 8-24) WI Milwaukee            5.18     13.82                      
30 02-28-2026 Home    W * *  43.97  71  66    1  93 (24- 8) WI Green Bay            6.97     -1.97                      
31 03-04-2026 Home    W * *  57.17  73  43    1 217 (18-12) Robert Morris          20.17      9.83                      
32 03-08-2026 Neutral W * *  62.72  85  49    1 252 (14-17) IUPUI                  25.72     10.28                      
33 03-09-2026 Neutral L * *  16.62  48  73    1  93 (24- 8) WI Green Bay          -20.39     -4.61                      
      Averages              37.01  70.8 63.5

Best game:   62.72 = 36 point win over IUPUI
Worst game:  16.07 = 7 point loss to Oakland
Team stdev:  10.74