BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Illinois

Class: 1 Class Rank: 28 Overall: (22-12) Overall Strength =   58.96
Conference: Big 10 Record: (11-10) | District: 1-01 Record: (14-12)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-04-2025 Home    W      49.21  91  67    1 250 (14-18) SE Missouri St         -9.43 *   33.43                      
 2 11-09-2025 Home    W      44.28  75  65    1 139 (24-13) Illinois St           -14.36     24.36                      
 3 11-14-2025 Away    L   *  40.49  59  64    1  87 (23-12) Oregon St             -18.16     13.16                      
 4 11-18-2025 Home    W      60.43  84  64    1  82 (32- 4) Murray St               1.79     18.21                      
 5 11-23-2025 Away    W   *  68.03  86  63    1 107 (10-21) Florida St              9.38     13.62                      
 6 11-26-2025 Home    W      49.62  70  41    1 285 ( 8-21) Western Kentucky       -9.02 *   38.02                      
 7 11-30-2025 Home    W      79.85 100  28   ZZ  44 (12-21) Le Moyne               21.21 *   50.79                      
 8 12-02-2025 Home    W      46.32  90  41    1 359 ( 2-30) Bellarmine            -12.33 *   61.33                      
 9 12-06-2025 Home    W * *  68.51  78  57    1  49 (18-14) Indiana                 9.86     11.14                      
10 12-10-2025 Away    W   *  55.84  70  62    1  72 (17-17) Missouri               -2.80     10.80                      
11 12-14-2025 Home    W      51.10  81  69    1  94 (18-14) North Texas            -7.55     19.55                      
12 12-19-2025 Home    W      59.06  86  43    1 328 (12-19) Jackson St              0.42 *   42.58                      
13 12-28-2025 Away    W * *  58.77  83  73    1  61 (13-17) Purdue                  0.12      9.88                      
14 01-01-2026 Home    W * *  65.95  73  70    1  13 (24- 9) Maryland                7.30     -4.30                      
15 01-04-2026 Away    L * *  61.62  75  81    1  23 (23- 9) Michigan St             2.98     -8.98                      
16 01-07-2026 Home    L * *  53.28  69  78    1  11 (27- 8) Ohio St                -5.36     -3.64                      
17 01-11-2026 Away    W * *  62.18  92  76    1  84 (11-18) Penn St                 3.54     12.46                      
18 01-15-2026 Away    L * *  59.31  69  85    1   6 (28- 7) Michigan                0.67    -16.67                      
19 01-18-2026 Home    W * *  39.76  74  71    1 111 ( 8-21) Northwestern          -18.89     21.89                      
20 01-24-2026 Away    L * *  57.10  75  81    1  30 (19-13) Nebraska               -1.55     -4.45                      
21 01-28-2026 Home    L * *  66.53  67  80    1   2 (35- 1) UCLA                    7.88    -20.88                      
22 02-01-2026 Away    W * *  71.49  75  66    1  22 (22-11) Washington             12.85     -3.85                      
23 02-04-2026 Away    L * *  59.01  73  76    1  27 (23-13) Oregon                  0.37     -3.37                      
24 02-08-2026 Home    L * *  49.87  62  70    1  26 (18-14) Southern Cal           -8.77      0.77                      
25 02-11-2026 Home    W * *  74.81  92  60    1  74 (16-18) Wisconsin              16.16     15.84                      
26 02-17-2026 Home    W * *  53.25  76  56    1 147 ( 9-20) Rutgers                -5.40     25.40                      
27 02-22-2026 Away    W * *  69.12  92  65    1 111 ( 8-21) Northwestern           10.48     16.52                      
28 02-26-2026 Away    L * *  63.42  78  82    1  14 (27- 7) Iowa                    4.77     -8.77                      
29 03-01-2026 Home    L * *  57.22  73  78    1  15 (24- 9) Minnesota              -1.43     -3.57                      
30 03-04-2026 Neutral W * *  57.49  82  70    1  74 (16-18) Wisconsin              -1.15     13.15                      
31 03-05-2026 Neutral W * *  66.94  71  69    1  23 (23- 9) Michigan St             8.29     -6.29                      
32 03-06-2026 Neutral L * *  58.73  58  64    1  14 (27- 7) Iowa                    0.09     -6.09                      
33 03-21-2026 Neutral W   *  62.51  66  57    1  38 (22-12) Colorado                3.86      5.14                      
34 03-23-2026 Away    L   *  52.84  57  75    1   7 (29- 5) Vanderbilt             -5.80    -12.20                      
      Averages              58.65  76.5 66.1

Best game:   79.85 = 72 point win over Le Moyne
Worst game:  39.76 = 3 point win over Northwestern
Team stdev:   9.33