BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Illinois

Class: 1 Class Rank: 28 Overall: (21-11) Overall Strength =   59.24
Conference: Big 10 Record: (11-10) | District: 1-01 Record: (13-11)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-04-2025 Home    W      49.34  91  67    1 247 (14-18) SE Missouri St         -9.50 *   33.50                      
 2 11-09-2025 Home    W      43.61  75  65    1 142 (19-12) Illinois St           -15.23     25.23                      
 3 11-14-2025 Away    L   *  40.64  59  64    1  84 (23-10) Oregon St             -18.20     13.20                      
 4 11-18-2025 Home    W      60.45  84  64    1  81 (29- 3) Murray St               1.61     18.39                      
 5 11-23-2025 Away    W   *  67.70  86  63    1 107 (10-21) Florida St              8.87     14.13                      
 6 11-26-2025 Home    W      49.40  70  41    1 284 ( 8-21) Western Kentucky       -9.43 *   38.43                      
 7 11-30-2025 Home    W      79.22 100  28   ZZ  47 (12-20) Le Moyne               20.39 *   51.61                      
 8 12-02-2025 Home    W      46.35  90  41    1 359 ( 2-30) Bellarmine            -12.49 *   61.49                      
 9 12-06-2025 Home    W * *  68.66  78  57    1  47 (18-14) Indiana                 9.82     11.18                      
10 12-10-2025 Away    W   *  55.41  70  62    1  74 (16-16) Missouri               -3.43     11.43                      
11 12-14-2025 Home    W      50.68  81  69    1  97 (16-13) North Texas            -8.16     20.16                      
12 12-19-2025 Home    W      58.93  86  43    1 329 (12-18) Jackson St              0.09 *   42.91                      
13 12-28-2025 Away    W * *  58.74  83  73    1  59 (13-17) Purdue                 -0.09     10.09                      
14 01-01-2026 Home    W * *  65.93  73  70    1  15 (23- 8) Maryland                7.09     -4.09                      
15 01-04-2026 Away    L * *  62.25  75  81    1  20 (22- 8) Michigan St             3.41     -9.41                      
16 01-07-2026 Home    L * *  54.20  69  78    1   9 (26- 7) Ohio St                -4.64     -4.36                      
17 01-11-2026 Away    W * *  62.10  92  76    1  85 (11-18) Penn St                 3.26     12.74                      
18 01-15-2026 Away    L * *  59.56  69  85    1   6 (25- 6) Michigan                0.72    -16.72                      
19 01-18-2026 Home    W * *  39.91  74  71    1 111 ( 8-21) Northwestern          -18.93     21.93                      
20 01-24-2026 Away    L * *  57.15  75  81    1  30 (18-12) Nebraska               -1.68     -4.32                      
21 01-28-2026 Home    L * *  66.55  67  80    1   2 (31- 1) UCLA                    7.71    -20.71                      
22 02-01-2026 Away    W * *  71.15  75  66    1  22 (21-10) Washington             12.31     -3.31                      
23 02-04-2026 Away    L * *  59.49  73  76    1  27 (22-12) Oregon                  0.66     -3.66                      
24 02-08-2026 Home    L * *  50.58  62  70    1  24 (17-13) Southern Cal           -8.26      0.26                      
25 02-11-2026 Home    W * *  74.61  92  60    1  75 (13-17) Wisconsin              15.77     16.23                      
26 02-17-2026 Home    W * *  53.25  76  56    1 146 ( 9-20) Rutgers                -5.59     25.59                      
27 02-22-2026 Away    W * *  69.21  92  65    1 111 ( 8-21) Northwestern           10.37     16.63                      
28 02-26-2026 Away    L * *  64.76  78  82    1  14 (26- 6) Iowa                    5.93     -9.93                      
29 03-01-2026 Home    L * *  57.98  73  78    1  11 (22- 8) Minnesota              -0.86     -4.14                      
30 03-04-2026 Neutral W * *  57.26  82  70    1  75 (13-17) Wisconsin              -1.58     13.58                      
31 03-05-2026 Neutral W * *  67.60  71  69    1  20 (22- 8) Michigan St             8.77     -6.77                      
32 03-06-2026 Neutral L * *  60.12  58  64    1  14 (26- 6) Iowa                    1.28     -7.28                      
      Averages              58.84  77.5 66.1

Best game:   79.22 = 72 point win over Le Moyne
Worst game:  39.91 = 3 point win over Northwestern
Team stdev:   9.52