BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Illinois

Class: 1 Class Rank: 28 Overall: (22-12) Overall Strength =   59.02
Conference: Big 10 Record: (11-10) | District: 1-01 Record: (14-12)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-04-2025 Home    W      49.20  91  67    1 250 (14-18) SE Missouri St         -9.49 *   33.49                      
 2 11-09-2025 Home    W      43.76  75  65    1 138 (24-14) Illinois St           -14.94     24.94                      
 3 11-14-2025 Away    L   *  40.51  59  64    1  87 (23-12) Oregon St             -18.18     13.18                      
 4 11-18-2025 Home    W      60.34  84  64    1  83 (32- 4) Murray St               1.65     18.35                      
 5 11-23-2025 Away    W   *  68.02  86  63    1 107 (10-21) Florida St              9.33     13.67                      
 6 11-26-2025 Home    W      49.62  70  41    1 285 ( 8-21) Western Kentucky       -9.07 *   38.07                      
 7 11-30-2025 Home    W      79.84 100  28   ZZ  44 (12-21) Le Moyne               21.14 *   50.86                      
 8 12-02-2025 Home    W      46.31  90  41    1 359 ( 2-30) Bellarmine            -12.38 *   61.38                      
 9 12-06-2025 Home    W * *  68.59  78  57    1  49 (18-14) Indiana                 9.90     11.10                      
10 12-10-2025 Away    W   *  55.82  70  62    1  72 (17-17) Missouri               -2.88     10.88                      
11 12-14-2025 Home    W      51.09  81  69    1  95 (18-14) North Texas            -7.60     19.60                      
12 12-19-2025 Home    W      59.07  86  43    1 328 (12-19) Jackson St              0.37 *   42.63                      
13 12-28-2025 Away    W * *  58.84  83  73    1  61 (13-17) Purdue                  0.14      9.86                      
14 01-01-2026 Home    W * *  66.00  73  70    1  13 (24- 9) Maryland                7.31     -4.31                      
15 01-04-2026 Away    L * *  61.69  75  81    1  23 (23- 9) Michigan St             2.99     -8.99                      
16 01-07-2026 Home    L * *  53.35  69  78    1  10 (27- 8) Ohio St                -5.34     -3.66                      
17 01-11-2026 Away    W * *  62.25  92  76    1  84 (11-18) Penn St                 3.56     12.44                      
18 01-15-2026 Away    L * *  59.36  69  85    1   6 (28- 7) Michigan                0.67    -16.67                      
19 01-18-2026 Home    W * *  39.82  74  71    1 111 ( 8-21) Northwestern          -18.88     21.88                      
20 01-24-2026 Away    L * *  57.15  75  81    1  30 (19-13) Nebraska               -1.54     -4.46                      
21 01-28-2026 Home    L * *  67.48  67  80    1   1 (37- 1) UCLA                    8.79    -21.79                      
22 02-01-2026 Away    W * *  71.59  75  66    1  22 (22-11) Washington             12.90     -3.90                      
23 02-04-2026 Away    L * *  59.08  73  76    1  27 (23-13) Oregon                  0.39     -3.39                      
24 02-08-2026 Home    L * *  49.93  62  70    1  25 (18-14) Southern Cal           -8.76      0.76                      
25 02-11-2026 Home    W * *  74.86  92  60    1  73 (16-18) Wisconsin              16.17     15.83                      
26 02-17-2026 Home    W * *  53.31  76  56    1 146 ( 9-20) Rutgers                -5.38     25.38                      
27 02-22-2026 Away    W * *  69.19  92  65    1 111 ( 8-21) Northwestern           10.50     16.50                      
28 02-26-2026 Away    L * *  63.49  78  82    1  14 (27- 7) Iowa                    4.80     -8.80                      
29 03-01-2026 Home    L * *  57.30  73  78    1  15 (24- 9) Minnesota              -1.39     -3.61                      
30 03-04-2026 Neutral W * *  57.55  82  70    1  73 (16-18) Wisconsin              -1.14     13.14                      
31 03-05-2026 Neutral W * *  67.00  71  69    1  23 (23- 9) Michigan St             8.31     -6.31                      
32 03-06-2026 Neutral L * *  58.80  58  64    1  14 (27- 7) Iowa                    0.11     -6.11                      
33 03-21-2026 Neutral W   *  62.51  66  57    1  38 (22-12) Colorado                3.82      5.18                      
34 03-23-2026 Away    L   *  52.82  57  75    1   7 (29- 5) Vanderbilt             -5.87    -12.13                      
      Averages              58.69  76.5 66.1

Best game:   79.84 = 72 point win over Le Moyne
Worst game:  39.82 = 3 point win over Northwestern
Team stdev:   9.39