BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Illinois

Class: 1 Class Rank: 32 Overall: (13-2) Overall Strength =   60.66
Conference: Big 10 Record: (3-1) | District: 1-01 Record: (5-2)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-04-2025 Home    W      48.96  91  67    1 289 ( 5- 8) SE Missouri St        -11.65 *   35.65                      
 2 11-09-2025 Home    W      49.61  75  65    1 116 ( 7- 8) Illinois St           -11.00     21.00                      
 3 11-14-2025 Away    L   *  43.23  59  64    1  78 (11- 5) Oregon St             -17.38     12.38                      
 4 11-18-2025 Home    W      62.12  84  64    1  93 (13- 2) Murray St               1.51     18.49                      
 5 11-23-2025 Away    W   *  71.39  86  63    1 135 ( 5-11) Florida St             10.77     12.23                      
 6 11-26-2025 Home    W      49.51  70  41    1 306 ( 4- 9) Western Kentucky      -11.10 *   40.10                      
 7 11-30-2025 Home    W      77.98 100  28   ZZ  64 ( 3-12) Le Moyne               17.37 *   54.63                      
 8 12-02-2025 Home    W      57.70  90  41    1 347 ( 2-13) Bellarmine             -2.91 *   51.91                      
 9 12-06-2025 Home    W * *  68.91  78  57    1  54 (11- 5) Indiana                 8.29     12.71                      
10 12-10-2025 Away    W   *  58.48  70  62    1  72 (12- 5) Missouri               -2.13     10.13                      
11 12-14-2025 Home    W      53.58  81  69    1 106 ( 7- 7) North Texas            -7.04     19.04                      
12 12-19-2025 Home    W      68.41  86  43    1 303 ( 2-11) Jackson St              7.80 *   35.20                      
13 12-28-2025 Away    W * *  62.10  83  73    1  63 ( 8- 7) Purdue                  1.49      8.51                      
14 01-01-2026 Home    W * *  70.18  73  70    1  10 (15- 1) Maryland                9.57     -6.57                      
15 01-04-2026 Away    L * *  67.02  75  81    1  27 (14- 1) Michigan St             6.41    -12.41                      
16 01/07/2026 Home      * *                   1  18 (13- 2) Ohio St                          -3.23            
17 01/11/2026 Away      * *                   1  71 ( 7- 8) Penn St                          10.06            
18 01/15/2026 Away      * *                   1   6 (12- 2) Michigan                        -20.39            
19 01/18/2026 Home      * *                   1 168 ( 6- 9) Northwestern                     25.98            
20 01/24/2026 Away      * *                   1  20 (13- 2) Nebraska                         -7.29            
21 01/28/2026 Home      * *                   1   2 (14- 1) UCLA                            -22.43            
22 02/01/2026 Away      * *                   1  22 (12- 2) Washington                       -6.48            
23 02/04/2026 Away      * *                   1  21 (14- 3) Oregon                           -6.59            
24 02/08/2026 Home      * *                   1  26 (10- 5) Southern Cal                     -0.39            
25 02/11/2026 Home      * *                   1  76 (11- 4) Wisconsin                        15.86            
26 02/17/2026 Home      * *                   1 131 ( 8- 7) Rutgers                          23.02            
27 02/22/2026 Away      * *                   1 168 ( 6- 9) Northwestern                     21.02            
28 02/26/2026 Away      * *                   1  14 (13- 2) Iowa                             -9.33            
29 03/01/2026 Home      * *                   1  15 (10- 4) Minnesota                        -3.90            
      Averages              60.61  80.1 59.2

Best game:   77.98 = 72 point win over Le Moyne
Worst game:  43.23 = 5 point loss to Oregon St
Team stdev:  10.10