BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Fairfield

Class: 1 Class Rank: 57 Overall: (28-4) Overall Strength =   48.92
Conference: Metro Atlantic Record: (17-1) | District: 1-02 Record: (27-2)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-05-2025 Away    W   *  70.22  75  63    1  34 (25- 7) Villanova              22.95    -10.95                      
 2 11-08-2025 Home    W   *  55.41  88  60    1 216 (16-13) Lehigh                  8.14     19.86                      
 3 11-13-2025 Neutral W   *  53.94  80  72    1  63 (20-11) South Florida           6.66      1.34                      
 4 11-15-2025 Neutral L      48.90  68  82    1  18 (26- 7) North Carolina          1.62    -15.62                      
 5 11-25-2025 Home    W      28.57  79  60   ZZ  34 ( 7-22) New Haven             -18.71 *   37.71                      
 6 11-30-2025 Away    L      54.76  72  86    1  14 (26- 6) Iowa                    7.49    -21.49                      
 7 12-05-2025 Away    L   *  33.37  69  72    1 157 (23- 7) Howard                -13.91     10.91                      
 8 12-07-2025 Away    W   *  74.48  93  73    1  43 (26- 7) Richmond               27.21     -7.21                      
 9 12-12-2025 Home    W   *  54.82  74  51    1 164 (19-12) Maine                   7.54     15.46                      
10 12-19-2025 Away    W * *  43.72  84  58    1 337 ( 7-22) Rider                  -3.55 *   29.55                      
11 12-21-2025 Home    W   *  43.99  84  65    1 236 (19-12) Merrimack              -3.29     22.29                      
12 12-29-2025 Away    W * *  49.09  84  59    1 290 (11-20) Manhattan               1.82     23.18                      
13 01-01-2026 Home    W * *  40.60  72  43    1 343 ( 5-24) Canisius               -6.68 *   35.68                      
14 01-03-2026 Home    W * *  55.95  98  42    1 357 ( 1-28) Niagara                 8.68 *   47.32                      
15 01-08-2026 Away    W * *  37.61  84  62    1 345 ( 7-23) St Peter's             -9.66 *   31.66                      
16 01-14-2026 Away    W * *  36.64  63  49    1 299 (11-20) Marist                -10.63     24.63                      
17 01-17-2026 Home    W * *  40.80  76  54    1 290 (11-20) Manhattan              -6.48 *   28.48                      
18 01-19-2026 Home    W * *  56.25  86  50    1 280 (13-17) Siena                   8.97 *   27.03                      
19 01-22-2026 Away    W * *  35.25  81  51    1 357 ( 1-28) Niagara               -12.03 *   42.03                      
20 01-24-2026 Away    W * *  32.89  58  42    1 343 ( 5-24) Canisius              -14.38 *   30.38                      
21 01-29-2026 Home    L * *  23.68  58  72    1 102 (26- 6) Qunnipiac             -23.60      9.60                      
22 01-31-2026 Away    W   *  40.40  60  43    1 296 (13-18) Sacred Heart           -6.87     23.87                      
23 02-05-2026 Home    W * *  78.35 109  48    1 299 (11-20) Marist                 31.07 *   29.93                      
24 02-07-2026 Home    W * *  55.86  82  46    1 285 (20-12) Ioan                    8.59 *   27.41                      
25 02-12-2026 Away    W * *  50.62  69  43    1 287 (15-15) Mt St Mary's            3.34     22.66                      
26 02-14-2026 Away    W * *  54.97  75  63    1 102 (26- 6) Qunnipiac               7.70      4.30                      
27 02-19-2026 Home    W * *  42.32  62  30    1 345 ( 7-23) St Peter's             -4.96 *   36.96                      
28 02-21-2026 Away    W * *  55.55  81  51    1 280 (13-17) Siena                   8.27     21.73                      
29 02-28-2026 Home    W   *  35.11  67  50    1 296 (13-18) Sacred Heart          -12.17 *   29.17                      
30 03-06-2026 Neutral W   *  36.76  69  53    1 296 (13-18) Sacred Heart          -10.52     26.52                      
31 03-08-2026 Neutral W   *  44.63  65  48    1 236 (19-12) Merrimack              -2.64     19.64                      
32 03-09-2026 Neutral W * *  47.32  51  44    1 102 (26- 6) Qunnipiac               0.05      6.95                      
      Averages              47.28  75.5 55.8

Best game:   78.35 = 61 point win over Marist
Worst game:  23.68 = 14 point loss to Quinnipiac
Team stdev:  12.62