BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Fairfield

Class: 1 Class Rank: 58 Overall: (28-5) Overall Strength =   49.09
Conference: Metro Atlantic Record: (17-1) | District: 1-02 Record: (27-2)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-05-2025 Away    W   *  70.15  75  63    1  34 (25- 8) Villanova              22.54    -10.54                      
 2 11-08-2025 Home    W   *  56.00  88  60    1 212 (17-15) Lehigh                  8.38     19.62                      
 3 11-13-2025 Neutral W   *  53.82  80  72    1  63 (20-12) South Florida           6.20      1.80                      
 4 11-15-2025 Neutral L      49.69  68  82    1  16 (28- 8) North Carolina          2.08    -16.08                      
 5 11-25-2025 Home    W      29.01  79  60   ZZ  34 ( 7-22) New Haven             -18.60 *   37.60                      
 6 11-30-2025 Away    L      53.42  72  86    1  14 (27- 7) Iowa                    5.80    -19.80                      
 7 12-05-2025 Away    L   *  34.50  69  72    1 149 (26- 8) Howard                -13.11     10.11                      
 8 12-07-2025 Away    W   *  74.62  93  73    1  44 (26- 8) Richmond               27.01     -7.01                      
 9 12-12-2025 Home    W   *  55.18  74  51    1 164 (19-13) Maine                   7.57     15.43                      
10 12-19-2025 Away    W * *  44.26  84  58    1 334 ( 7-22) Rider                  -3.35 *   29.35                      
11 12-21-2025 Home    W   *  44.44  84  65    1 232 (19-13) Merrimack              -3.17     22.17                      
12 12-29-2025 Away    W * *  49.73  84  59    1 284 (11-20) Manhattan               2.12     22.88                      
13 01-01-2026 Home    W * *  40.98  72  43    1 343 ( 5-24) Canisius               -6.63 *   35.63                      
14 01-03-2026 Home    W * *  56.34  98  42    1 357 ( 1-28) Niagara                 8.73 *   47.27                      
15 01-08-2026 Away    W * *  38.14  84  62    1 344 ( 7-23) St Peter's             -9.48 *   31.48                      
16 01-14-2026 Away    W * *  37.25  63  49    1 296 (11-20) Marist                -10.37     24.37                      
17 01-17-2026 Home    W * *  41.37  76  54    1 284 (11-20) Manhattan              -6.25 *   28.25                      
18 01-19-2026 Home    W * *  56.71  86  50    1 278 (13-17) Siena                   9.10 *   26.90                      
19 01-22-2026 Away    W * *  35.71  81  51    1 357 ( 1-28) Niagara               -11.91 *   41.91                      
20 01-24-2026 Away    W * *  33.35  58  42    1 343 ( 5-24) Canisius              -14.26 *   30.26                      
21 01-29-2026 Home    L * *  24.63  58  72    1  98 (27- 7) Qunnipiac             -22.98      8.98                      
22 01-31-2026 Away    W   *  40.94  60  43    1 294 (13-18) Sacred Heart           -6.67     23.67                      
23 02-05-2026 Home    W * *  78.88 109  48    1 296 (11-20) Marist                 31.27 *   29.73                      
24 02-07-2026 Home    W * *  56.34  82  46    1 283 (20-12) Ioan                    8.73 *   27.27                      
25 02-12-2026 Away    W * *  51.13  69  43    1 288 (15-15) Mt St Mary's            3.52     22.48                      
26 02-14-2026 Away    W * *  55.99  75  63    1  98 (27- 7) Qunnipiac               8.38      3.62                      
27 02-19-2026 Home    W * *  42.77  62  30    1 344 ( 7-23) St Peter's             -4.84 *   36.84                      
28 02-21-2026 Away    W * *  56.08  81  51    1 278 (13-17) Siena                   8.47     21.53                      
29 02-28-2026 Home    W   *  35.57  67  50    1 294 (13-18) Sacred Heart          -12.04 *   29.04                      
30 03-06-2026 Neutral W   *  37.26  69  53    1 294 (13-18) Sacred Heart          -10.35     26.35                      
31 03-08-2026 Neutral W   *  45.12  65  48    1 232 (19-13) Merrimack              -2.49     19.49                      
32 03-09-2026 Neutral W * *  48.31  51  44    1  98 (27- 7) Qunnipiac               0.70      6.30                      
33 03-21-2026 Neutral L      43.52  60  79    1  20 (25-11) Notre Dame             -4.09    -14.91                      
      Averages              47.61  75.0 56.5

Best game:   78.88 = 61 point win over Marist
Worst game:  24.63 = 14 point loss to Quinnipiac
Team stdev:  12.31