BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Dayton
Class: 1 Class Rank: 170 Overall: (17-14) Overall Strength = 34.25
Conference: Atlantic 10 Record: (10-10) | District: 1-02 Record: (15-13)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Away L * 28.13 76 87 1 138 (24-14) Illinois St -6.12 -4.88
2 11-06-2025 Home W 54.14 86 44 ZZ 29 (15-17) Mercyhurst 19.89 22.11
3 11-11-2025 Away W * 39.99 71 66 1 175 (11-19) Xavier 5.74 -0.74
4 11-16-2025 Home L * 31.69 66 72 1 105 (20-12) Belmont -2.56 -3.44
5 11-21-2025 Home W * 20.98 61 52 1 343 ( 5-24) Canisius -13.27 22.27
6 11-28-2025 Neutral L * 13.16 66 92 1 114 (12-19) Butler -21.09 -4.91
7 11-29-2025 Neutral W 52.09 59 58 1 46 (22-14) Kansas 17.84 -16.84
8 12-03-2025 Away L * * 24.98 42 54 1 168 (18-18) G Washington -9.27 -2.73
9 12-07-2025 Home W * 29.87 81 72 1 280 (21-11) LIU Brooklyn -4.38 13.38
10 12-14-2025 Away L 11.84 43 80 1 61 (13-17) Purdue -22.41 -14.59
11 12-18-2025 Away W * 34.86 65 58 1 265 ( 9-20) Western Michigan 0.61 6.39
12 12-21-2025 Home W * 31.64 75 66 1 258 (10-25) Evansville -2.61 11.61
13 12-31-2025 Away L * * 33.80 59 74 1 65 (23-10) George Mason -0.45 -14.55
14 01-03-2026 Home W * * 33.94 68 61 1 221 (12-19) Duquesne -0.31 7.31
15 01-07-2026 Home L * * 26.35 68 71 1 193 (16-18) Loyola-Chicago -7.90 4.90
16 01-10-2026 Away W * * 38.15 66 58 1 247 (10-20) Fordham 3.90 4.10
17 01-14-2026 Home L * * 31.23 67 85 1 44 (26- 8) Richmond -3.02 -14.98
18 01-18-2026 Away L * * 28.56 58 62 1 216 (12-21) Saint Louis -5.69 1.69
19 01-21-2026 Away W * * 49.31 75 58 1 221 (12-19) Duquesne 15.06 1.94
20 01-25-2026 Home L * * 33.11 66 79 1 59 (28- 5) Rhode Island -1.14 -11.86
21 01-28-2026 Home W * * 31.46 75 71 1 213 (17-16) St Bonaventure -2.79 6.79
22 02-01-2026 Home L * * 19.60 54 66 1 168 (18-18) G Washington -14.65 2.65
23 02-04-2026 Away W * * 45.66 68 60 1 151 (19-14) La Salle 11.41 -3.41
24 02-07-2026 Away W * * 47.21 75 73 1 94 (20-11) St Joseph's PA 12.96 -10.96
25 02-11-2026 Home L * * 32.42 61 72 1 65 (23-10) George Mason -1.83 -9.17
26 02-14-2026 Home W * * 29.19 65 63 1 216 (12-21) Saint Louis -5.06 7.06
27 02-21-2026 Away L * * 35.47 67 79 1 76 (21-12) Davidson 1.22 -13.22
28 02-25-2026 Away W * * 43.72 67 58 1 193 (16-18) Loyola-Chicago 9.47 -0.47
29 02-28-2026 Home W * * 42.80 79 62 1 234 ( 8-23) VCU 8.55 8.45
30 03-05-2026 Neutral W * * 42.29 62 54 1 168 (18-18) G Washington 8.04 -0.04
31 03-06-2026 Neutral L * * 44.11 85 87 1 1 65 (23-10) George Mason 9.86 -11.86
Averages 34.25 67.0 67.5
Best game: 54.14 = 42 point win over Mercyhurst
Worst game: 11.84 = 37 point loss to Purdue
Team stdev: 10.41