BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Dayton
Class: 1 Class Rank: 168 Overall: (17-14) Overall Strength = 34.01
Conference: Atlantic 10 Record: (10-10) | District: 1-02 Record: (15-13)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Away L * 27.90 76 87 1 142 (19-12) Illinois St -6.11 -4.89
2 11-06-2025 Home W 54.32 86 44 ZZ 29 (15-15) Mercyhurst 20.31 21.69
3 11-11-2025 Away W * 40.11 71 66 1 172 (11-19) Xavier 6.10 -1.10
4 11-16-2025 Home L * 32.44 66 72 1 99 (20-11) Belmont -1.57 -4.43
5 11-21-2025 Home W * 20.60 61 52 1 343 ( 5-24) Canisius -13.42 22.42
6 11-28-2025 Neutral L * 13.20 66 92 1 113 (12-19) Butler -20.81 -5.19
7 11-29-2025 Neutral W 52.29 59 58 1 46 (19-13) Kansas 18.27 -17.27
8 12-03-2025 Away L * * 24.29 42 54 1 169 (15-17) G Washington -9.72 -2.28
9 12-07-2025 Home W * 29.29 81 72 1 282 (20-10) LIU Brooklyn -4.73 13.73
10 12-14-2025 Away L 11.74 43 80 1 59 (13-17) Purdue -22.27 -14.73
11 12-18-2025 Away W * 34.64 65 58 1 264 ( 9-20) Western Michigan 0.62 6.38
12 12-21-2025 Home W * 30.06 75 66 1 266 ( 7-24) Evansville -3.96 12.96
13 12-31-2025 Away L * * 33.89 59 74 1 65 (23- 9) George Mason -0.12 -14.88
14 01-03-2026 Home W * * 33.70 68 61 1 224 (12-19) Duquesne -0.31 7.31
15 01-07-2026 Home L * * 25.87 68 71 1 196 (14-17) Loyola-Chicago -8.15 5.15
16 01-10-2026 Away W * * 37.78 66 58 1 249 (10-20) Fordham 3.76 4.24
17 01-14-2026 Home L * * 31.19 67 85 1 43 (26- 7) Richmond -2.82 -15.18
18 01-18-2026 Away L * * 28.28 58 62 1 218 (12-21) Saint Louis -5.73 1.73
19 01-21-2026 Away W * * 49.00 75 58 1 224 (12-19) Duquesne 14.98 2.02
20 01-25-2026 Home L * * 32.89 66 79 1 58 (28- 4) Rhode Island -1.13 -11.87
21 01-28-2026 Home W * * 31.43 75 71 1 215 (16-15) St Bonaventure -2.58 6.58
22 02-01-2026 Home L * * 19.00 54 66 1 169 (15-17) G Washington -15.02 3.02
23 02-04-2026 Away W * * 45.33 68 60 1 149 (18-13) La Salle 11.32 -3.32
24 02-07-2026 Away W * * 46.76 75 73 1 95 (20-11) St Joseph's PA 12.75 -10.75
25 02-11-2026 Home L * * 32.60 61 72 1 65 (23- 9) George Mason -1.42 -9.58
26 02-14-2026 Home W * * 28.99 65 63 1 218 (12-21) Saint Louis -5.03 7.03
27 02-21-2026 Away L * * 35.20 67 79 1 76 (21-12) Davidson 1.19 -13.19
28 02-25-2026 Away W * * 43.16 67 58 1 196 (14-17) Loyola-Chicago 9.15 -0.15
29 02-28-2026 Home W * * 42.61 79 62 1 233 ( 8-23) VCU 8.60 8.40
30 03-05-2026 Neutral W * * 41.65 62 54 1 169 (15-17) G Washington 7.63 0.37
31 03-06-2026 Neutral L * * 44.25 85 87 1 1 65 (23- 9) George Mason 10.23 -12.23
Averages 34.01 67.0 67.5
Best game: 54.32 = 42 point win over Mercyhurst
Worst game: 11.74 = 37 point loss to Purdue
Team stdev: 10.46