BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Dayton
Class: 1 Class Rank: 170 Overall: (17-14) Overall Strength = 34.29
Conference: Atlantic 10 Record: (10-10) | District: 1-02 Record: (15-13)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Away L * 28.65 76 87 1 139 (24-13) Illinois St -5.64 -5.36
2 11-06-2025 Home W 54.15 86 44 ZZ 29 (15-17) Mercyhurst 19.86 22.14
3 11-11-2025 Away W * 40.08 71 66 1 175 (11-19) Xavier 5.79 -0.79
4 11-16-2025 Home L * 31.78 66 72 1 103 (20-12) Belmont -2.51 -3.49
5 11-21-2025 Home W * 20.98 61 52 1 343 ( 5-24) Canisius -13.31 22.31
6 11-28-2025 Neutral L * 13.26 66 92 1 112 (12-19) Butler -21.03 -4.97
7 11-29-2025 Neutral W 52.09 59 58 1 46 (22-14) Kansas 17.80 -16.80
8 12-03-2025 Away L * * 25.01 42 54 1 166 (18-18) G Washington -9.29 -2.71
9 12-07-2025 Home W * 29.89 81 72 1 280 (21-11) LIU Brooklyn -4.40 13.40
10 12-14-2025 Away L 11.77 43 80 1 61 (13-17) Purdue -22.53 -14.47
11 12-18-2025 Away W * 34.84 65 58 1 265 ( 9-20) Western Michigan 0.55 6.45
12 12-21-2025 Home W * 31.74 75 66 1 254 (10-25) Evansville -2.55 11.55
13 12-31-2025 Away L * * 33.81 59 74 1 65 (23-10) George Mason -0.48 -14.52
14 01-03-2026 Home W * * 33.96 68 61 1 221 (12-19) Duquesne -0.34 7.34
15 01-07-2026 Home L * * 26.40 68 71 1 192 (16-18) Loyola-Chicago -7.89 4.89
16 01-10-2026 Away W * * 38.16 66 58 1 245 (10-20) Fordham 3.87 4.13
17 01-14-2026 Home L * * 31.25 67 85 1 44 (26- 8) Richmond -3.04 -14.96
18 01-18-2026 Away L * * 28.60 58 62 1 216 (12-21) Saint Louis -5.69 1.69
19 01-21-2026 Away W * * 49.32 75 58 1 221 (12-19) Duquesne 15.03 1.97
20 01-25-2026 Home L * * 33.13 66 79 1 59 (28- 5) Rhode Island -1.16 -11.84
21 01-28-2026 Home W * * 31.48 75 71 1 214 (17-16) St Bonaventure -2.82 6.82
22 02-01-2026 Home L * * 19.64 54 66 1 166 (18-18) G Washington -14.65 2.65
23 02-04-2026 Away W * * 45.67 68 60 1 151 (19-14) La Salle 11.38 -3.38
24 02-07-2026 Away W * * 47.22 75 73 1 93 (20-11) St Joseph's PA 12.93 -10.93
25 02-11-2026 Home L * * 32.45 61 72 1 65 (23-10) George Mason -1.84 -9.16
26 02-14-2026 Home W * * 29.23 65 63 1 216 (12-21) Saint Louis -5.06 7.06
27 02-21-2026 Away L * * 35.48 67 79 1 76 (21-12) Davidson 1.19 -13.19
28 02-25-2026 Away W * * 43.77 67 58 1 192 (16-18) Loyola-Chicago 9.47 -0.47
29 02-28-2026 Home W * * 42.82 79 62 1 234 ( 8-23) VCU 8.52 8.48
30 03-05-2026 Neutral W * * 42.32 62 54 1 166 (18-18) G Washington 8.03 -0.03
31 03-06-2026 Neutral L * * 44.13 85 87 1 1 65 (23-10) George Mason 9.84 -11.84
Averages 34.29 67.0 67.5
Best game: 54.15 = 42 point win over Mercyhurst
Worst game: 11.77 = 37 point loss to Purdue
Team stdev: 10.40