BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
Matchup Report
Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home
Home court advantage = 3.09
Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models
Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games
Modified Standard Momentum
Date Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor Level Rank ( W- L) Home Matchup Line Prob Line Prob Line Prob
11/29/2024 1 ( 1- 4) Seattle ZZ ( 3- 3) East Texas A&M 19.38 1.76 55% 1.45 54% 1.45 54%
11/29/2024 1 ( 1- 6) S Carolina St ZZ ( 2- 3) West Georgia -6.44 26.74 98% 21.31 95% 25.48 98%
11/30/2024 1 28 ( 6- 0) Oklahoma St 1 20 ( 6- 0) Richmond 60.54 3.16 60% 2.17 57% 4.62 64%
11/29/2024 1 1 ( 5- 0) Notre Dame 1 25 ( 6- 0) TCU 60.44 -22.36 96% -13.91 86% -13.14 85%
11/30/2024 1 1 ( 5- 0) Notre Dame 1 41 ( 5- 2) Utah 51.77 -32.14 99% -19.69 94% -21.59 95%
11/29/2024 1 120 ( 3- 3) Florida 1 61 ( 5- 2) James Madison 50.71 8.13 74% 0.07 50% -3.18 60%
11/30/2024 1 72 ( 6- 1) Northern Arizona 1 99 ( 3- 3) Tulane 46.08 -3.83 62% 5.11 65% 5.37 66%
11/30/2024 1 32 ( 4- 2) Louisville 1 75 ( 6- 1) Colorado 45.29 -8.55 75% -7.89 73% -8.01 73%
11/29/2024 1 100 ( 5- 2) Colorado St 1 89 ( 4- 3) Kent 43.71 1.43 54% 1.43 54% 3.28 60%
11/30/2024 1 59 ( 5- 2) Iowa St 1 39 ( 6- 1) Middle Tennessee St 43.09 5.28 66% 8.54 75% 5.46 66%
11/29/2024 1 70 ( 7- 0) San Diego St 1 88 ( 4- 2) VCU 43.06 -2.89 59% -3.04 59% -0.62 52%
11/29/2024 1 58 ( 5- 0) Qunnipiac 1 90 ( 4- 1) SE Louisiana 42.37 -6.11 68% -6.11 68% -6.11 68%
11/30/2024 1 43 ( 6- 0) George Mason 1 21 ( 6- 0) Maryland 42.33 11.60 82% 16.61 90% 16.76 90%
11/30/2024 1 88 ( 4- 2) VCU 1 141 ( 5- 2) Wisconsin 42.20 -6.19 69% -1.59 55% -5.24 66%
11/29/2024 1 104 ( 4- 3) Gonzaga 1 83 ( 6- 0) Texas Tech 42.11 2.31 57% 1.31 54% -1.25 54%
11/29/2024 1 76 ( 5- 1) Butler 1 125 ( 3- 2) Santa Clara 41.84 -5.87 68% -2.16 57% -2.49 58%
11/29/2024 1 91 ( 5- 1) Kansas 1 46 ( 3- 2) Northern Iowa 40.78 8.89 76% 8.89 76% 7.97 73%
11/29/2024 1 24 ( 7- 0) Mississippi St 1 55 ( 4- 3) South Florida 40.60 -13.16 85% -16.18 90% -15.72 89%
11/29/2024 1 37 ( 2- 3) Belmont 1 12 ( 5- 1) Michigan 40.55 14.62 87% 21.27 95% 21.23 95%
11/29/2024 1 134 ( 6- 2) Norfolk St 1 114 ( 3- 3) Wyoming 40.55 2.37 57% 0.44 51% 2.76 59%
11/29/2024 1 140 ( 4- 3) Penn 1 163 ( 4- 3) Chattanooga 40.17 -2.34 57% -0.67 52% -0.77 52%
11/29/2024 1 133 ( 3- 4) Providence 1 141 ( 5- 2) Wisconsin 39.96 -1.28 54% 2.02 56% -0.04 50%
11/30/2024 1 55 ( 4- 3) South Florida 1 25 ( 6- 0) TCU 39.34 13.09 85% 18.70 93% 18.42 92%
11/30/2024 1 92 ( 6- 1) Virginia 1 114 ( 3- 3) Wyoming 38.72 -1.86 56% -4.96 65% -6.83 70%
11/30/2024 1 134 ( 6- 2) Norfolk St 1 129 ( 3- 3) WI Green Bay 38.45 0.74 52% -1.55 55% 2.74 58%
11/30/2024 1 35 ( 4- 2) Auburn 1 91 ( 5- 1) Kansas 38.44 -13.50 85% -13.58 86% -14.12 86%
11/30/2024 1 106 ( 2- 4) Drake 1 117 ( 3- 3) Washington St 38.20 -0.97 53% -4.16 63% -1.87 56%
11/29/2024 1 94 ( 2- 2) Marquette 1 146 ( 4- 2) Rutgers 37.93 -3.03 59% -5.48 67% -5.70 67%
11/30/2024 1 133 ( 3- 4) Providence 1 70 ( 7- 0) San Diego St 37.64 7.81 73% 6.65 70% 5.82 68%
11/29/2024 1 81 ( 6- 1) UCF 1 52 ( 5- 1) Montana St 37.37 6.72 70% 9.79 78% 11.91 82%
11/29/2024 1 92 ( 6- 1) Virginia 1 117 ( 3- 3) Washington St 37.34 -2.17 57% -5.88 68% -6.57 70%
11/30/2024 1 139 ( 4- 3) Arkansas 1 223 ( 2- 4) Bowling Green 37.17 -8.34 74% 1.37 54% 1.91 56%
11/30/2024 1 46 ( 3- 2) Northern Iowa 1 167 ( 5- 2) Pittsburgh 37.03 -17.16 91% -11.39 81% -12.25 83%
11/29/2024 1 106 ( 2- 4) Drake 1 129 ( 3- 3) WI Green Bay 36.61 -2.29 57% -5.22 66% -2.16 57%
11/30/2024 1 214 ( 3- 3) Coppin St 1 126 ( 5- 0) SF Austin 36.41 9.96 78% 6.69 70% 6.69 70%
11/29/2024 1 148 ( 4- 3) Rice 1 102 ( 4- 4) Vermont 36.37 5.20 66% 5.20 66% 5.16 66%
11/29/2024 1 213 ( 3- 2) Cleveland St 1 168 ( 3- 1) Louisiana 35.98 4.50 64% -1.67 55% -1.67 55%
11/30/2024 1 213 ( 3- 2) Cleveland St 1 108 ( 1- 2) Lamar 35.53 11.53 82% 5.92 68% 5.92 68%
11/30/2024 1 144 ( 5- 3) Eastern Kentucky 1 179 ( 2- 5) N Kentucky 35.44 -0.41 51% 1.48 55% -5.76 67%
11/29/2024 1 79 ( 3- 3) East Carolina 1 65 ( 5- 2) UNLV 35.25 6.49 69% 12.10 83% 10.01 78%
11/30/2024 1 109 ( 3- 2) Nicholls St 1 164 ( 3- 3) Tarleton St 34.96 -6.39 69% -5.86 68% -7.23 71%
11/29/2024 1 143 ( 3- 3) Davidson 1 56 ( 5- 1) Virginia Tech 34.88 12.56 84% 11.16 81% 9.78 78%
11/29/2024 1 97 ( 6- 1) BYU 1 34 ( 7- 0) Iowa 34.78 14.11 86% 16.13 90% 18.22 92%
11/29/2024 1 35 ( 4- 2) Auburn 1 167 ( 5- 2) Pittsburgh 34.69 -21.77 96% -16.08 89% -18.40 92%
11/30/2024 1 161 ( 4- 1) Missouri St 1 83 ( 6- 0) Texas Tech 34.54 8.73 75% 6.36 69% 4.82 65%
11/30/2024 1 142 ( 2- 3) Austin Peay 1 166 ( 5- 1) Manhattan 34.31 -2.20 57% 1.99 56% 2.21 57%
11/30/2024 1 163 ( 4- 3) Chattanooga 1 71 ( 3- 2) Florida Gulf Coast 33.70 14.29 87% 10.52 79% 10.02 78%
11/30/2024 1 206 ( 2- 4) Houston 1 199 ( 3- 3) Pacific 31.81 0.73 52% -0.90 53% -0.31 51%
11/30/2024 1 30 ( 5- 1) Florida St 1 104 ( 4- 3) Gonzaga 31.76 -19.17 93% -22.01 96% -18.10 92%
11/29/2024 1 195 ( 2- 4) Bucknell 1 243 ( 2- 4) Robert Morris 30.01 -1.75 55% -1.88 56% -1.75 55%
11/29/2024 1 231 ( 3- 4) Abilene Chr 1 197 ( 4- 2) CS Sacramento 28.62 3.22 60% 4.32 63% 2.07 56%
11/29/2024 1 234 ( 4- 2) Howard 1 283 ( 1- 5) William & Mary 28.15 -1.72 55% -0.45 51% 1.70 55%
11/30/2024 1 207 ( 4- 2) Loyola MD 1 268 ( 4- 3) Binghamton 27.79 -3.04 59% -1.35 54% -6.11 68%
11/30/2024 1 246 ( 2- 4) NE Omaha 1 211 ( 5- 1) Utah Valley 27.62 3.31 60% 1.52 55% -1.42 54%
11/30/2024 1 200 ( 3- 1) Toledo 1 187 ( 6- 0) Navy 27.41 4.14 63% 5.33 66% 1.86 56%
11/29/2024 1 173 ( 5- 1) Fresno St 1 111 ( 3- 1) Hawaii 26.64 10.33 79% 12.29 83% 12.29 83%
11/30/2024 1 128 ( 5- 2) UC Irvine 1 242 ( 2- 3) Denver 26.24 -9.45 77% -9.45 77% -11.55 82%
11/29/2024 1 108 ( 1- 2) Lamar 1 199 ( 3- 3) Pacific 26.19 -9.94 78% -12.14 83% -12.14 83%
11/29/2024 1 286 ( 3- 2) Alabama A&M 1 211 ( 5- 1) Utah Valley 26.01 7.62 72% 2.59 58% 0.40 51%
11/29/2024 1 139 ( 4- 3) Arkansas 1 28 ( 6- 0) Oklahoma St 25.97 23.97 97% 23.77 97% 22.51 96%
11/30/2024 1 235 ( 2- 5) UC Riverside 1 150 ( 4- 2) St Mary's CA 25.58 11.35 81% 9.42 77% 10.12 78%
11/29/2024 1 116 ( 3- 1) New Mexico St 1 2 ( 4- 0) Texas 25.57 36.42 100% 35.92 100% 35.92 100%
11/30/2024 1 74 ( 3- 3) UC Davis 1 230 ( 2- 2) Portland St 25.39 -14.21 87% -14.21 87% -14.21 87%
11/30/2024 1 286 ( 3- 2) Alabama A&M 1 284 ( 2- 2) San Diego 25.25 3.44 61% -0.34 51% -0.34 51%
11/29/2024 1 166 ( 5- 1) Manhattan 1 264 ( 4- 2) Florida Atlantic 25.19 -6.78 70% -7.04 71% -6.99 71%
11/29/2024 1 189 ( 5- 2) Bellarmine 1 229 ( 1- 4) Jackson St 25.13 -3.68 61% -6.05 68% -6.61 70%
11/30/2024 1 85 ( 4- 2) Purdue 1 13 ( 6- 1) South Carolina 24.96 25.75 98% 35.77 100% 37.49 100%
11/29/2024 1 246 ( 2- 4) NE Omaha 1 284 ( 2- 2) San Diego 24.71 -0.87 53% -1.41 54% -2.15 57%
11/30/2024 1 168 ( 3- 1) Louisiana 1 29 ( 7- 0) Minnesota 24.29 26.87 98% 25.04 97% 26.01 98%
11/29/2024 1 30 ( 5- 1) Florida St 1 161 ( 4- 1) Missouri St 24.19 -25.59 98% -27.06 98% -24.17 97%
11/30/2024 1 236 ( 2- 5) Brown 1 100 ( 5- 2) Colorado St 24.03 14.26 87% 13.59 86% 16.11 90%
11/30/2024 1 227 ( 3- 3) Marist 1 131 ( 4- 2) Lehigh 23.24 12.78 84% 13.23 85% 14.12 86%
11/29/2024 1 252 ( 1- 4) Delaware 1 164 ( 3- 3) Tarleton St 23.24 9.23 76% 9.76 78% 8.39 74%
11/30/2024 1 225 ( 1- 4) TN Martin 1 111 ( 3- 1) Hawaii 23.11 15.16 88% 14.64 87% 14.64 87%
11/29/2024 1 296 ( 0- 4) Central Michigan 1 247 ( 3- 3) Nevada 22.97 7.66 72% 6.56 70% 4.58 64%
11/29/2024 1 260 ( 2- 5) Idaho St 1 137 ( 4- 4) Rhode Island 22.31 12.50 84% 11.79 82% 10.36 79%
11/29/2024 1 292 ( 4- 1) Ga Southern 1 226 ( 4- 3) MD E Shore 22.13 6.91 70% 4.78 65% 4.91 65%
11/30/2024 1 273 ( 0- 6) Towson 1 293 ( 4- 2) Youngstown St 21.83 -1.92 56% -5.34 66% -4.96 65%
11/29/2024 1 86 ( 6- 0) Boise St 1 202 ( 2- 2) Illinois St 21.07 -12.28 83% -20.02 94% -20.02 94%
11/30/2024 1 269 ( 2- 3) Hofstra 1 154 ( 4- 3) Jacksonville 20.65 14.70 87% 9.44 77% 9.57 77%
11/30/2024 1 94 ( 2- 2) Marquette 1 226 ( 4- 3) MD E Shore 20.11 -13.73 86% -18.39 92% -18.26 92%
11/30/2024 1 238 ( 2- 4) Oakland 1 78 ( 5- 2) Old Dominion 20.04 17.04 91% 16.42 90% 11.67 82%
11/30/2024 1 252 ( 1- 4) Delaware 1 308 ( 2- 3) Evansville 19.87 -5.51 67% -5.51 67% -5.51 67%
11/29/2024 1 68 ( 5- 1) Texas-San Antonio 1 273 ( 0- 6) Towson 19.72 -23.67 97% -20.25 94% -20.99 95%
11/30/2024 1 296 ( 0- 4) Central Michigan 1 67 ( 5- 0) Portland 19.23 25.97 98% 17.13 91% 17.13 91%
11/29/2024 1 206 ( 2- 4) Houston 1 29 ( 7- 0) Minnesota 18.82 30.52 99% 28.69 99% 30.25 99%
11/30/2024 1 229 ( 1- 4) Jackson St 1 314 ( 1- 4) Morehead St 18.72 -9.80 78% -6.29 69% -6.29 69%
11/29/2024 1 272 ( 2- 6) Samford 1 126 ( 5- 0) SF Austin 18.49 15.49 89% 18.64 93% 17.25 91%
11/29/2024 1 261 ( 2- 3) South Alabama 1 182 ( 4- 0) Col Charleston 18.39 11.10 81% 15.47 89% 15.47 89%
11/30/2024 1 266 ( 1- 4) Indiana St 1 301 ( 1- 4) SE Missouri St 17.76 -0.26 51% -5.35 66% -5.35 66%
11/30/2024 1 277 ( 1- 5) Southern Utah 1 247 ( 3- 3) Nevada 17.47 5.87 68% 10.23 79% 5.76 67%
11/29/2024 1 223 ( 2- 4) Bowling Green 1 285 ( 3- 2) Stetson 17.18 -6.30 69% -14.70 87% -15.77 89%
11/30/2024 1 221 ( 2- 3) North Dakota 1 319 ( 2- 4) Valparaiso 16.51 -11.25 81% -10.08 78% -10.78 80%
11/30/2024 1 322 ( 1- 4) Seattle 1 259 ( 4- 2) UC Santa Barbara 16.29 7.93 73% 7.62 72% 7.62 72%
11/30/2024 1 173 ( 5- 1) Fresno St 1 3 ( 5- 0) UCLA 15.62 41.81 100% 37.42 100% 37.42 100%
11/29/2024 1 303 ( 2- 4) UT Arlington 1 124 ( 4- 3) SMU 15.58 22.02 96% 18.76 93% 22.15 96%
11/29/2024 1 294 ( 3- 3) UMBC 1 250 ( 4- 2) Colgate 15.30 7.26 71% 14.10 86% 15.81 89%
11/29/2024 1 84 ( 5- 1) Southern Indiana 1 293 ( 4- 2) Youngstown St 14.92 -21.59 95% -19.17 93% -19.17 93%
11/29/2024 1 196 ( 2- 3) High Point 1 11 ( 6- 0) West Virginia 14.91 38.49 100% 38.49 100% 38.87 100%
11/30/2024 1 285 ( 3- 2) Stetson 1 327 ( 1- 5) Utah St 14.71 -7.17 71% -6.54 70% -5.72 67%
11/30/2024 1 316 ( 0- 6) Cal Baptist 1 140 ( 4- 3) Penn 14.54 18.72 93% 17.76 92% 19.50 94%
11/30/2024 1 292 ( 4- 1) Ga Southern 1 146 ( 4- 2) Rutgers 14.13 17.61 92% 17.69 92% 17.47 91%
11/29/2024 1 67 ( 5- 0) Portland 1 277 ( 1- 5) Southern Utah 13.74 -24.17 97% -20.79 95% -18.31 92%
11/30/2024 1 158 ( 6- 1) Air Force 1 325 ( 4- 3) Winthrop 13.61 -19.09 93% -16.23 90% -14.92 88%
11/29/2024 1 225 ( 1- 4) TN Martin 1 3 ( 5- 0) UCLA 12.09 46.64 100% 39.78 100% 39.78 100%
11/29/2024 1 308 ( 2- 3) Evansville 1 109 ( 3- 2) Nicholls St 12.05 21.13 95% 21.13 95% 21.13 95%
11/29/2024 1 259 ( 4- 2) UC Santa Barbara 1 45 ( 3- 2) Grand Canyon 11.99 29.57 99% 28.39 99% 28.39 99%
11/30/2024 1 336 ( 0- 6) UNC Asheville 1 287 ( 3- 4) Tennessee St 11.85 12.82 84% 8.91 76% 1.16 54%
11/29/2024 1 302 ( 3- 3) Charlotte 1 87 ( 5- 0) Miami FL 11.53 25.53 98% 23.62 97% 22.15 96%
11/30/2024 1 289 ( 3- 5) Mercer 1 344 ( 2- 4) Bethune-Cookman 11.45 -9.18 76% -8.33 74% -7.62 72%
11/29/2024 1 335 ( 0- 6) American Univ 1 325 ( 4- 3) Winthrop 11.33 3.76 62% 6.93 71% 7.07 71%
11/29/2024 1 351 ( 0- 6) MA Lowell 1 281 ( 5- 3) UNC Wilmington 11.04 17.53 91% 9.32 77% 12.08 83%
11/30/2024 1 275 ( 2- 3) Texas St 1 119 ( 3- 3) UTRGV 11.01 19.71 94% 21.17 95% 21.77 96%
11/29/2024 1 238 ( 2- 4) Oakland 1 20 ( 6- 0) Richmond 10.48 36.83 100% 35.54 100% 34.15 100%
11/29/2024 1 318 ( 1- 6) Yale 1 165 ( 6- 1) Bryant 9.23 19.95 94% 19.78 94% 18.05 92%
11/29/2024 1 156 ( 3- 2) N Dakota St 1 288 ( 1- 6) Charleston So 8.53 -10.37 79% -18.78 93% -23.32 97%
11/29/2024 1 251 ( 1- 6) UC San Diego 1 63 ( 6- 1) Stanford 8.37 25.29 98% 37.08 100% 34.32 100%
11/30/2024 1 351 ( 0- 6) MA Lowell 1 237 ( 4- 3) San Jose St 8.26 21.80 96% 14.88 88% 11.48 81%
11/29/2024 1 316 ( 0- 6) Cal Baptist 1 71 ( 3- 2) Florida Gulf Coast 8.07 30.67 99% 27.61 98% 28.76 99%
11/30/2024 1 272 ( 2- 6) Samford 1 342 ( 1- 5) North Florida 7.67 -9.67 77% -12.40 83% -10.91 80%
11/29/2024 1 244 ( 2- 4) Akron 1 311 ( 1- 4) Ioan 7.26 -7.05 71% -14.75 87% -12.12 83%
11/29/2024 1 314 ( 1- 4) Morehead St 1 356 ( 2- 5) SC Upstate 6.14 -13.96 86% -9.46 77% -13.58 86%
11/30/2024 1 299 ( 2- 4) St Bonaventure 1 105 ( 6- 0) Buffalo 3.53 23.35 97% 26.66 98% 30.78 99%
11/30/2024 ZZ ( 3- 3) East Texas A&M 1 ( 3- 2) Grand Canyon 2.72 35.74 100% 34.57 100% 34.57 100%
11/29/2024 1 214 ( 3- 3) Coppin St 1 342 ( 1- 5) North Florida 1.69 -15.19 88% -24.35 97% -21.46 95%
11/30/2024 1 189 ( 5- 2) Bellarmine 1 356 ( 2- 5) SC Upstate -0.04 -27.44 98% -21.80 96% -26.48 98%
11/29/2024 ZZ ( 0- 5) Le Moyne 1 ( 6- 2) UNC Greensboro -0.55 27.43 98% 21.70 95% 23.52 97%
11/29/2024 1 300 ( 0- 6) New Orleans 1 47 ( 5- 2) Baylor -1.63 33.29 100% 44.13 100% 39.89 100%
11/29/2024 1 241 ( 3- 4) Saint Louis 1 17 ( 5- 1) Southern Cal -1.71 38.36 100% 52.92 100% 55.53 100%
11/30/2024 ZZ ( 0- 5) Le Moyne 1 ( 5- 1) Southern Indiana -6.38 35.78 100% 33.37 100% 33.37 100%
11/29/2024 1 27 ( 6- 0) Ohio St 1 327 ( 1- 5) Utah St -7.84 -45.91 100% -51.65 100% -50.68 100%
11/30/2024 1 357 ( 1- 6) S Carolina St 1 254 ( 4- 3) Loyola-Chicago -8.29 30.76 99% 25.01 97% 27.72 98%
11/29/2024 1 358 ( 1- 4) Wagner 1 332 ( 1- 4) Florida Intl -12.02 25.77 98% 20.95 95% 20.95 95%
11/30/2024 1 347 ( 2- 4) Alabama St 1 8 ( 4- 2) Mississippi -21.33 66.86 100% 60.90 100% 59.47 100%
11/29/2024 1 352 ( 0- 8) NC Central 1 15 ( 6- 1) North Carolina -21.50 65.76 100% 56.33 100% 59.95 100%