BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Valparaiso
Class: 1 Class Rank: 292 Overall: (5-25) Overall Strength = 17.81
Conference: Missouri Valley Record: (4-17) | District: 1-02 Record: (5-24)
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-12-2023 Away L 11.37 62 75 1 255 ( 15- 18) E Illinois -6.43 -6.57
2 11-18-2023 Home L -2.21 54 76 1 247 ( 18- 12) W Illinois -20.01 -1.99
3 11-21-2023 Away L 23.60 49 61 1 142 ( 20- 14) Southern Miss 5.80 -17.80
4 11-25-2023 Away L 23.68 68 78 1 157 ( 18- 14) Alabama-Birmingham 5.88 -15.88
5 11-29-2023 Away L 21.78 71 75 1 1 239 ( 12- 18) Western Michigan 3.98 -7.98
6 12-03-2023 Away L 19.24 56 83 1 65 ( 15- 19) Purdue 1.44 * -28.44
7 12-09-2023 Home W 16.58 83 64 1 362 ( 1- 26) Chicago St -1.22 20.22
8 12-19-2023 Neutral L -3.52 35 61 1 246 ( 15- 16) Bethune-Cookman -21.33 -4.67
9 12-20-2023 Away L 9.15 62 78 1 244 ( 17- 15) Stetson -8.65 -7.35
10 12-30-2023 Away L * 12.35 62 90 1 103 ( 20- 12) Murray St -5.46 -22.54
11 01-04-2024 Away L * 19.54 47 67 1 111 ( 23- 10) Missouri St 1.73 -21.73
12 01-06-2024 Away L * 20.45 66 75 1 203 ( 11- 20) S Illinois 2.64 -11.64
13 01-12-2024 Home L * 12.56 54 83 1 63 ( 29- 6) Drake -5.25 -23.75
14 01-14-2024 Home L * 11.63 52 76 1 98 ( 16- 16) Northern Iowa -6.18 -17.82
15 01-19-2024 Home L * 23.65 68 77 1 120 ( 22- 12) Illinois St 5.84 -14.84
16 01-21-2024 Home W * 35.68 79 55 1 327 ( 6- 26) Bradley 17.87 6.13
17 01-26-2024 Away L * 3.99 49 70 1 250 ( 11- 21) Indiana St -13.81 -7.19
18 01-28-2024 Away W * 25.15 70 59 1 343 ( 5- 28) Evansville 7.35 3.65
19 02-04-2024 Away W * 35.01 71 70 1 155 ( 18- 16) IL Chicago 17.20 -16.20
20 02-09-2024 Home L * 14.70 65 70 1 250 ( 11- 21) Indiana St -3.10 -1.90
21 02-11-2024 Home L * 5.86 68 71 1 343 ( 5- 28) Evansville -11.95 8.95
22 02-15-2024 Away W * 34.97 68 50 1 327 ( 6- 26) Bradley 17.16 0.84
23 02-17-2024 Away L * 23.94 64 78 1 120 ( 22- 12) Illinois St 6.13 -20.13
24 02-22-2024 Home L * 12.78 56 83 1 72 ( 26- 9) Belmont -5.02 -21.98
25 02-25-2024 Home L * 5.71 59 82 1 155 ( 18- 16) IL Chicago -12.09 -10.91
26 02-29-2024 Away L * 21.92 59 78 1 98 ( 16- 16) Northern Iowa 4.11 -23.11
27 03-02-2024 Away L * 26.85 62 82 1 63 ( 29- 6) Drake 9.05 * -29.05
28 03-07-2024 Home L * 15.15 51 60 1 203 ( 11- 20) S Illinois -2.65 -6.35
29 03-09-2024 Home L * 23.24 66 77 1 111 ( 23- 10) Missouri St 5.44 -16.44
30 03-14-2024 Neutral L * 29.36 77 79 1 155 ( 18- 16) IL Chicago 11.55 -13.55
Averages 17.81 61.8 72.8
Best game: 35.68 = 24 point win over Bradley
Worst game: -3.52 = 26 point loss to Bethune-Cookman
Team stdev: 10.14