BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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UCF

Class: 1 Class Rank: 78 Overall: (12-17) Overall Strength =   41.11
Conference: Big 12 Record: (3-16) | District: 1-01 Record: (4-16)

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-06-2023 Home    W    57.83 101  63    1 246 ( 15- 16) Bethune-Cookman        16.72     21.28                      
  2 11-13-2023 Home    W    41.11  96  73   ZZ  12 (  0-  1) Anderson SC             0.00     23.00                      
  3 11-20-2023 Home    W    54.67  60  53    1  40 ( 20- 12) Auburn                 13.56     -6.56                      
  4 11-23-2023 Neutral W    46.69  63  54    1 104 ( 26-  7) Jackson St              5.58      3.42                      
  5 11-24-2023 Neutral W    53.75  61  48    1  81 ( 18- 15) St John's              12.64      0.36                      
  6 11-25-2023 Neutral W    35.79  69  58    1 228 ( 24- 10) Sacred Heart           -5.32     16.32                      
  7 12-03-2023 Home    W    24.71  42  41    1 211 ( 17- 14) Campbell              -16.40     17.40                      
  8 12-11-2023 Home    W    42.89  72  45    1 282 ( 11- 19) New Orleans             1.78     25.22                      
  9 12-18-2023 Home    L    22.88  58  59    1 208 ( 11- 19) Florida Atlantic      -18.23     17.23                      
 10 12-19-2023 Home    W    37.09  67  41    1 332 (  8- 22) Morgan St              -4.02 *   30.02                      
 11 12-30-2023 Away    L *  39.24  52  69    1  27 ( 23- 10) Oklahoma               -1.87    -15.13                      
 12 01-03-2024 Home    L *  37.52  61  68    1  52 ( 14- 16) Oklahoma St            -3.59     -3.41                      
 13 01-06-2024 Home    L *  39.60  56  72    1  16 ( 26-  8) Kansas St              -1.51    -14.49                      
 14 01-10-2024 Away    L *  41.73  63  64    1  87 ( 14- 18) Cincinnati              0.62     -1.62                      
 15 01-13-2024 Home    L *  38.12  59  76    1  19 ( 25-  8) West Virginia          -2.99    -14.01                      
 16 01-20-2024 Away    L *  58.07  74  77    1  15 ( 26-  8) Baylor                 16.97    -19.97                      
 17 01-23-2024 Away    L *  44.84  60  66    1  49 ( 21- 12) TCU                     3.73     -9.73                      
 18 01-27-2024 Home    W *  42.36  92  87 1  1  89 ( 14- 16) Houston                 1.25      3.75                      
 19 01-30-2024 Away    L *  19.41  43  84    1  19 ( 25-  8) West Virginia         -21.69    -19.31                      
 20 02-03-2024 Home    W *  55.65  71  66    1  28 ( 21- 12) Iowa St                14.54     -9.54                      
 21 02-07-2024 Home    L *  31.43  61  67    1  87 ( 14- 18) Cincinnati             -9.68      3.68                      
 22 02-10-2024 Away    W *  50.61  69  64    1  70 ( 17- 16) Texas Tech              9.50     -4.50                      
 23 02-13-2024 Home    L *  34.76  60  64    1  76 ( 16- 17) BYU                    -6.35      2.35                      
 24 02-17-2024 Away    L *  58.89  58  60    1  16 ( 26-  8) Kansas St              17.78    -19.78                      
 25 02-21-2024 Away    L *  36.81  54  67    1  52 ( 14- 16) Oklahoma St            -4.30     -8.70                      
 26 02-24-2024 Home    L *  32.90  56  87    1   4 ( 33-  5) Texas                  -8.21    -22.79                      
 27 02-28-2024 Home    L *  36.07  53  65    1  38 ( 20- 13) Kansas                 -5.04     -6.96                      
 28 03-02-2024 Away    L *  41.65  67  68    1  89 ( 14- 16) Houston                 0.54     -1.54                      
 29 03-07-2024 Neutral L *  35.08  62  67    1  87 ( 14- 18) Cincinnati             -6.03      1.03                      
      Averages              41.11  64.1 64.6

Best game:   58.89 = 2 point loss to Kansas St
Worst game:  19.41 = 41 point loss to West Virginia
Team stdev:  10.36