BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Troy

Class: 1 Class Rank: 107 Overall: (22-12) Overall Strength =   37.50
Conference: Sunbelt Record: (16-4) | District: 1-02 Record: (22-8)

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-11-2023 Home    L    22.80  71  86    1  84 ( 28-  6) Ball St               -14.70     -0.30                      
  2 11-14-2023 Home    L    13.88  61  65    1 263 ( 14- 16) Samford               -23.62     19.62                      
  3 11-19-2023 Away    L    30.50  73 100    1  23 ( 20- 13) Tennessee              -7.00    -20.00                      
  4 11-29-2023 Home    L    35.78  68  72    1  72 ( 26-  9) Belmont                -1.72     -2.28                      
  5 12-02-2023 Away    L    26.04  88 100    1 118 ( 13- 17) Memphis               -11.46     -0.54                      
  6 12-06-2023 Away    L    26.35  70  86    1  90 ( 12- 18) Georgia               -11.15     -4.85                      
  7 12-09-2023 Home    W    34.44  71  59    1 225 ( 16- 17) TN Martin              -3.06     15.06                      
  8 12-17-2023 Away    L    18.94  68 105    1  28 ( 21- 12) Iowa St               -18.56    -18.44                      
  9 12-20-2023 Neutral W    52.06  98  78    1 146 ( 22- 12) SF Austin              14.56      5.44                      
 10 12-21-2023 Neutral W    42.00  81  66    1 200 ( 13- 18) New Mexico St           4.50     10.50                      
 11 12-31-2023 Home    L *  23.77  89  90 1  1 193 ( 15- 15) Georgia St            -13.73     12.73                      
 12 01-04-2024 Away    W *  31.39  74  71    1 221 ( 15- 18) Ga Southern            -6.11      9.11                      
 13 01-06-2024 Away    W *  34.59  86  80    1 217 ( 12- 21) Coastal Car            -2.91      8.91                      
 14 01-10-2024 Home    W *  72.87  90  44    1 168 ( 17- 14) Louisiana              35.37     10.63                      
 15 01-13-2024 Home    W *  46.97  87  74    1 114 ( 23- 12) James Madison           9.47      3.53                      
 16 01-18-2024 Away    W *  35.94  92  85    1 212 ( 14- 18) Texas St               -1.56      8.56                      
 17 01-20-2024 Away    W *  40.16  65  57    1 168 ( 17- 14) Louisiana               2.66      5.34                      
 18 01-25-2024 Home    W *  37.31  77  70    1 142 ( 20- 14) Southern Miss          -0.19      7.19                      
 19 01-27-2024 Home    W *  33.69  91  84 1  1 170 ( 13- 17) Arkansas St            -3.81     10.81                      
 20 02-01-2024 Away    W *  46.81  94  83    1 138 ( 21- 14) ULM                     9.31      1.69                      
 21 02-03-2024 Away    L *  26.60  63  72    1 142 ( 20- 14) Southern Miss         -10.90      1.90                      
 22 02-07-2024 Away    L *  32.78  59  63    1 132 ( 22- 10) Old Dominion           -4.72      0.72                      
 23 02-10-2024 Away    W    40.96  88  78    1 180 ( 16- 15) Bowling Green           3.46      6.54                      
 24 02-15-2024 Home    W *  39.65  85  69    1 212 ( 14- 18) Texas St                2.15     13.85                      
 25 02-17-2024 Home    W *  34.52  81  77    1 138 ( 21- 14) ULM                    -2.98      6.98                      
 26 02-21-2024 Away    W *  43.98  77  65    1 170 ( 13- 17) Arkansas St             6.48      5.52                      
 27 02-24-2024 Away    W *  28.15  88  79    1 305 (  9- 23) South Alabama          -9.35     18.35                      
 28 02-28-2024 Home    W *  59.62 102  69    1 171 ( 17- 15) Appalachian St         22.12     10.88                      
 29 03-01-2024 Home    W *  50.86 108  71    1 305 (  9- 23) South Alabama          13.36     23.64                      
 30 03-08-2024 Neutral L *  27.52  65  67    1 168 ( 17- 14) Louisiana              -9.98      7.98                      
 31 03-25-2024 Home    W    55.49  92  62    1 184 ( 21- 12) Florida Intl           17.99     12.01                      
 32 03-29-2024 Away    W    47.47  89  75    1 159 ( 22- 12) NC A&T                  9.97      4.03                      
 33 04-01-2024 Home    W *  44.52  89  75    1 138 ( 21- 14) ULM                     7.02      6.98                      
 34 04-03-2024 Home    L    36.60  69  74    1  62 ( 20- 16) Minnesota              -0.90     -4.10                      
      Averages              37.50  80.9 75.0

Best game:   72.87 = 46 point win over Louisiana
Worst game:  13.88 = 4 point loss to Samford
Team stdev:  12.17