BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Illinois
Class: 1 Class Rank: 43 Overall: (19-15) Overall Strength = 49.66
Conference: Big 10 Record: (8-11) | District: 1-01 Record: (9-14)
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-07-2023 Home W 39.83 81 61 1 245 ( 15- 15) Morehead St -9.83 * 29.83
2 11-11-2023 Away L 48.18 67 71 1 44 ( 23- 9) Marquette -1.48 -2.52
3 11-15-2023 Home W 77.23 103 33 1 349 ( 7- 23) St Peter's 27.57 * 42.43
4 11-18-2023 Neutral L 51.48 68 79 1 8 ( 28- 7) Notre Dame 1.82 -12.82
5 11-26-2023 Home W 50.09 90 58 1 260 ( 17- 14) Canisius 0.43 * 31.57
6 11-29-2023 Home W 47.31 89 50 1 346 ( 9- 21) Central Conn -2.35 * 41.35
7 12-06-2023 Home W 44.16 74 52 1 227 ( 11- 20) N Kentucky -5.50 * 27.50
8 12-10-2023 Home L * 10.88 48 84 1 45 ( 20- 14) Michigan -38.79 2.79
9 12-17-2023 Home L 36.76 66 69 1 73 ( 11- 19) Missouri -12.90 9.90
10 12-20-2023 Neutral L 42.07 59 60 1 68 ( 18- 15) Arkansas -7.59 6.59
11 12-21-2023 Neutral W 35.04 81 71 1 226 ( 12- 19) UTEP -14.62 24.62
12 12-31-2023 Away L * 56.42 71 77 1 12 ( 26- 6) Indiana 6.76 -12.76
13 01-07-2024 Home L * 28.54 61 67 1 109 ( 15- 17) Wisconsin -21.12 15.12
14 01-11-2024 Away L * 47.73 48 56 1 29 ( 23- 12) Nebraska -1.93 -6.07
15 01-14-2024 Away W * 73.36 93 52 1 166 ( 9- 21) Northwestern 23.70 17.30
16 01-17-2024 Home W * 58.78 96 68 1 135 ( 8- 24) Rutgers 9.12 18.88
17 01-20-2024 Away L * 47.47 82 90 1 30 ( 19- 14) Maryland -2.19 -5.81
18 01-25-2024 Home L * 51.01 59 67 1 9 ( 26- 6) Ohio St 1.35 -9.35
19 01-28-2024 Home W * 46.60 73 68 1 62 ( 20- 16) Minnesota -3.06 8.06
20 01-31-2024 Away W * 65.17 77 64 1 45 ( 20- 14) Michigan 15.51 -2.51
21 02-05-2024 Away L * 41.24 72 77 1 1 65 ( 15- 19) Purdue -8.42 3.42
22 02-08-2024 Home W * 38.07 82 71 1 166 ( 9- 21) Northwestern -11.60 22.60
23 02-11-2024 Home L * 34.18 53 69 1 30 ( 19- 14) Maryland -15.48 -0.52
24 02-15-2024 Away W * 71.29 86 71 1 26 ( 22- 13) Penn St 21.63 -6.63
25 02-19-2024 Home W * 77.13 86 66 1 12 ( 26- 6) Indiana 27.47 -7.47
26 02-25-2024 Away L * 53.76 85 101 1 3 ( 34- 5) Iowa 4.10 -20.10
27 02-29-2024 Away L * 42.60 70 87 1 22 ( 22- 9) Michigan St -7.06 -9.94
28 03-03-2024 Home W * 51.44 74 73 1 29 ( 23- 12) Nebraska 1.78 -0.78
29 03-07-2024 Neutral L * 42.82 65 75 1 30 ( 19- 14) Maryland -6.84 -3.16
30 03-21-2024 Home W 39.24 74 69 1 111 ( 23- 10) Missouri St -10.42 15.42
31 03-24-2024 Home W 55.36 79 62 1 79 ( 28- 5) Stony Brook 5.69 11.31
32 03-28-2024 Home W 43.55 69 61 1 99 ( 25- 10) Tulsa -6.11 14.11
33 04-01-2024 Away W 77.76 81 58 1 32 ( 21- 15) Washington St 28.10 -5.10
34 04-03-2024 Neutral W 61.92 71 57 1 50 ( 22- 13) Villanova 12.26 1.74
Averages 49.66 74.5 67.5
Best game: 77.76 = 23 point win over Washington St
Worst game: 10.88 = 36 point loss to Michigan
Team stdev: 14.71