BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Dayton

Class: 1 Class Rank: 237 Overall: (12-19) Overall Strength =   23.32
Conference: Atlantic 10 Record: (5-14) | District: 1-02 Record: (10-17)

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-08-2023 Away    L    26.76  58 102    1   2 ( 33-  6) Connecticut             3.44 *  -47.44                      
  2 11-12-2023 Home    W    29.75  91  73    1 324 (  7- 21) Lindenwood              6.43     11.57                      
  3 11-16-2023 Away    L    16.65  61  67    1 268 ( 11- 19) Ohio                   -6.67      0.67                      
  4 11-18-2023 Home    L     4.41  60  76    1 240 ( 17- 16) Detroit               -18.91      2.91                      
  5 11-20-2023 Home    W    12.99  75  74    1 322 (  5- 26) SIUE                  -10.33     11.33                      
  6 11-24-2023 Neutral W    43.51  75  54    1 244 ( 17- 15) Stetson                20.19      0.81                      
  7 11-25-2023 Neutral W    38.04  74  63    1 199 ( 10- 22) Wichita St             14.72     -3.72                      
  8 12-01-2023 Home    L    32.95  59  67    1  65 ( 15- 19) Purdue                  9.63    -17.63                      
  9 12-05-2023 Away    L *  14.23  53  81    1  93 ( 18-  8) Davidson               -9.09    -18.91                      
 10 12-09-2023 Away    W    33.98  73  60    1 285 (  9- 20) Miami OH               10.66      2.34                      
 11 12-17-2023 Home    W    23.32  83  64   ZZ  56 (  0-  1) OH Dominican            0.00     19.00                      
 12 12-20-2023 Away    L    32.58  53  70    1  53 ( 23- 10) Vanderbilt              9.26    -26.26                      
 13 12-30-2023 Home    L *   3.66  42  70    1 131 ( 21- 13) Duquesne              -19.66     -8.34                      
 14 01-02-2024 Away    L *  12.10  66  76    1 272 (  5- 27) Massachusetts         -11.22      1.22                      
 15 01-06-2024 Home    W *  32.13  69  64    1 165 ( 15- 16) Loyola-Chicago          8.81     -3.81                      
 16 01-12-2024 Away    L *  32.11  70  74    1 134 ( 22- 18) Saint Louis             8.79    -12.79                      
 17 01-17-2024 Home    W *  43.53  71  53    1 182 ( 13- 18) G Washington           20.21     -2.21                      
 18 01-20-2024 Away    L *  15.01  39  72    1  59 ( 29-  6) Richmond               -8.31    -24.69                      
 19 01-24-2024 Home    L *  26.63  62  73    1  86 ( 26-  6) VCU                     3.31    -14.31                      
 20 01-28-2024 Home    W *  36.86  64  43    1 283 (  4- 26) St Bonaventure         13.54      7.46                      
 21 01-31-2024 Home    L *   4.82  61  87    1 134 ( 22- 18) Saint Louis           -18.50     -7.50                      
 22 02-04-2024 Away    W *  24.40  72  69 1  1 278 (  8- 22) La Salle                1.08      1.92                      
 23 02-07-2024 Away    L *   9.20  48  70    1 177 ( 12- 17) Fordham               -14.12     -7.88                      
 24 02-11-2024 Home    L *  16.72  50  74    1  66 ( 23-  8) George Mason           -6.60    -17.40                      
 25 02-14-2024 Away    L *  19.81  47  73    1  67 ( 28-  6) St Joseph's PA         -3.51    -22.49                      
 26 02-21-2024 Home    W    23.32 112  45   ZZ 237 (  0-  1) Miami-Hamilton          0.00 *   67.00                      
 27 02-25-2024 Away    L *  29.42  61  64    1 165 ( 15- 16) Loyola-Chicago          6.10     -9.10                      
 28 02-28-2024 Away    L *  21.02  53  78    1  66 ( 23-  8) George Mason           -2.30    -22.70                      
 29 03-02-2024 Home    L *   2.93  42  77    1  82 ( 21- 14) Rhode Island          -20.39    -14.61                      
 30 03-06-2024 Neutral W *  32.50  66  52    1 283 (  4- 26) St Bonaventure          9.18      4.82                      
 31 03-07-2024 Neutral L *  27.58  57  70    1  82 ( 21- 14) Rhode Island            4.26    -17.26                      
      Averages              23.32  63.5 68.9

Best game:   43.53 = 18 point win over G Washington
Worst game:   2.93 = 35 point loss to Rhode Island
Team stdev:  11.63