BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Butler

Class: 1 Class Rank: 121 Overall: (15-17) Overall Strength =   35.26
Conference: Big East Record: (6-13) | District: 1-02 Record: (13-14)

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-06-2023 Away    L    28.94  55  82    1  28 ( 21- 12) Iowa St                -6.32    -20.68                      
  2 11-12-2023 Home    W    27.41  68  61    1 240 ( 17- 16) Detroit                -7.85     14.85                      
  3 11-18-2023 Home    W    30.15  53  47    1 204 ( 17- 16) Austin Peay            -5.11     11.11                      
  4 11-20-2023 Home    W    35.26 104  50   ZZ 152 (  0-  1) Roosevelt               0.00 *   54.00                      
  5 11-24-2023 Away    L    24.79  66  77    1 139 ( 19- 15) Pacific               -10.47     -0.53                      
  6 11-25-2023 Neutral W    45.51  76  54    1 234 ( 15- 16) St Thomas MN           10.24     11.76                      
  7 11-29-2023 Home    W    32.68  67  46    1 327 (  6- 26) Bradley                -2.59     23.59                      
  8 12-03-2023 Away    W    47.84  59  51    1 109 ( 15- 17) Wisconsin              12.57     -4.57                      
  9 12-07-2023 Home    L    32.29  39  51    1  53 ( 23- 10) Vanderbilt             -2.98     -9.02                      
 10 12-10-2023 Home    W    30.58  84  51    1 362 (  1- 26) Chicago St             -4.68 *   37.68                      
 11 12-18-2023 Away    L *  44.76  62  88    1   2 ( 33-  6) Connecticut             9.49 *  -35.49                      
 12 12-21-2023 Home    W    37.36  69  49    1 268 ( 11- 19) Ohio                    2.10     17.90                      
 13 01-03-2024 Home    L *  32.69  55  60    1  85 ( 23- 12) Georgetown             -2.58     -2.42                      
 14 01-06-2024 Home    L *  27.54  50  64    1  64 ( 17- 15) Seton Hall             -7.72     -6.28                      
 15 01-10-2024 Away    L *  20.65  53  89    1  25 ( 26-  6) Creighton             -14.61    -21.39                      
 16 01-13-2024 Home    L *  34.27  54  65    1  50 ( 22- 13) Villanova              -0.99    -10.01                      
 17 01-17-2024 Away    L *  25.40  42  60    1  81 ( 18- 15) St John's              -9.87     -8.13                      
 18 01-21-2024 Home    L *  22.52  53  63    1 122 ( 13- 21) Providence            -12.74      2.74                      
 19 01-24-2024 Away    W *  53.11  90  57    1 296 (  1- 27) Xavier                 17.84     15.16                      
 20 01-27-2024 Away    L *  41.18  48  59    1  44 ( 23-  9) Marquette               5.92    -16.92                      
 21 01-31-2024 Home    L *  25.47  57  67    1 100 ( 12- 20) DePaul                 -9.79     -0.21                      
 22 02-04-2024 Home    L *  41.36  65  75    1  25 ( 26-  6) Creighton               6.09    -16.09                      
 23 02-09-2024 Home    W *  43.11  64  59    1  81 ( 18- 15) St John's               7.84     -2.84                      
 24 02-14-2024 Away    W *  44.82  55  48    1 122 ( 13- 21) Providence              9.55     -2.55                      
 25 02-17-2024 Away    W *  53.56  55  52    1  50 ( 22- 13) Villanova              18.30    -15.30                      
 26 02-21-2024 Home    W *  52.82  84  46    1 296 (  1- 27) Xavier                 17.55     20.45                      
 27 02-24-2024 Away    L *  35.98  63  70    1  85 ( 23- 12) Georgetown              0.71     -7.71                      
 28 02-28-2024 Away    W *  43.76  73  70    1 100 ( 12- 20) DePaul                  8.50     -5.50                      
 29 03-02-2024 Home    L *  24.89  52  74    1  44 ( 23-  9) Marquette             -10.38    -11.62                      
 30 03-08-2024 Neutral L *  20.17  60  75    1 122 ( 13- 21) Providence            -15.09      0.09                      
 31 03-21-2024 Home    W    37.67  75  63    1 180 ( 16- 15) Bowling Green           2.40      9.60                      
 32 03-25-2024 Home    L    29.95  51  62    1  65 ( 15- 19) Purdue                 -5.31     -5.69                      
      Averages              35.26  62.5 62.0

Best game:   53.56 = 3 point win over Villanova
Worst game:  20.17 = 15 point loss to Providence
Team stdev:   9.67