BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Arizona

Class: 1 Class Rank: 35 Overall: (18-16) Overall Strength =   51.49
Conference: Pacific 12 Record: (9-11) | District: 1-01 Record: (10-14)

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-06-2023 Away    W    40.64  68  57    1 200 ( 13- 18) New Mexico St         -10.84     21.84                      
  2 11-10-2023 Home    W    54.79  87  64    1 128 ( 25- 10) Northern Arizona        3.30     19.70                      
  3 11-12-2023 Home    W    40.42  70  54    1 198 ( 11- 19) Loy Marymount         -11.06     27.06                      
  4 11-14-2023 Home    W    37.89  79  66    1 190 (  9- 22) San Diego             -13.60     26.60                      
  5 11-18-2023 Neutral W    58.39  90  67    1 118 ( 13- 17) Memphis                 6.91     16.09                      
  6 11-19-2023 Neutral L    42.93  47  56    1  33 ( 24-  9) Mississippi            -8.56     -0.44                      
  7 11-20-2023 Neutral W    41.31  61  52    1 145 ( 23- 13) South Dakota          -10.18     19.18                      
  8 12-02-2023 Away    L    34.49  53  72    1  37 ( 30-  3) UNLV                  -17.00     -2.00                      
  9 12-07-2023 Home    W    65.49  81  38    1 223 ( 12- 19) UC San Diego           14.01 *   28.99                      
 10 12-13-2023 Home    L    50.90  75  88    1   4 ( 33-  5) Texas                  -0.58    -12.42                      
 11 12-17-2023 Away    W *  79.51  91  52    1 102 ( 11- 20) Arizona St             28.02     10.98                      
 12 12-20-2023 Neutral L    45.28  69  81    1  20 ( 32-  4) Gonzaga                -6.21     -5.79                      
 13 12-31-2023 Home    W    51.24  89  52    1 302 (  6- 23) Seattle                -0.24 *   37.24                      
 14 01-05-2024 Home    L *  55.34  74  75    1  14 ( 24- 10) Colorado                3.86     -4.86                      
 15 01-07-2024 Home    W *  57.72  71  70 1  1  13 ( 23- 11) Utah                    6.23     -5.23                      
 16 01-12-2024 Away    L *  57.53  70  73 2  1  18 ( 27-  8) Oregon St               6.05     -9.05                      
 17 01-14-2024 Away    L *  40.25  68  70    1  92 ( 11- 21) Oregon                -11.24      9.24                      
 18 01-19-2024 Away    L *  49.43  60  62    1  47 ( 16- 15) Washington             -2.05      0.05                      
 19 01-21-2024 Away    L *  33.76  57  78    1  32 ( 21- 15) Washington St         -17.73     -3.27                      
 20 01-26-2024 Home    W *  54.03  66  55    1  57 ( 19- 15) California              2.54      8.46                      
 21 01-28-2024 Home    L *  29.17  64  96    1   7 ( 30-  6) Stanford              -22.32     -9.68                      
 22 02-04-2024 Home    W *  46.22  63  52    1 102 ( 11- 20) Arizona St             -5.27     16.27                      
 23 02-09-2024 Away    L *  58.67  58  66    1   6 ( 27-  7) UCLA                    7.19    -15.19                      
 24 02-12-2024 Away    L *  45.71  64  81    1  11 ( 29-  6) Southern Cal           -5.78    -11.22                      
 25 02-16-2024 Home    W *  68.47  64  45    1  32 ( 21- 15) Washington St          16.98      2.02                      
 26 02-18-2024 Home    W *  54.14  90  82 3  1  47 ( 16- 15) Washington              2.66      5.34                      
 27 02-23-2024 Away    W *  73.46  68  61    1   7 ( 30-  6) Stanford               21.98    -14.98                      
 28 02-25-2024 Away    W *  67.32  87  68    1  57 ( 19- 15) California             15.83      3.17                      
 29 02-29-2024 Home    L *  55.41  93  95 2  1  11 ( 29-  6) Southern Cal            3.93     -5.93                      
 30 03-02-2024 Home    L *  41.38  41  61    1   6 ( 27-  7) UCLA                  -10.11     -9.89                      
 31 03-06-2024 Neutral W *  56.79  58  50    1  47 ( 16- 15) Washington              5.30      2.70                      
 32 03-07-2024 Neutral L *  57.06  62  65    1  11 ( 29-  6) Southern Cal            5.57     -8.57                      
 33 03-21-2024 Neutral W    60.32  69  59    1  40 ( 20- 12) Auburn                  8.83      1.17                      
 34 03-23-2024 Neutral L    45.05  69  74    1  41 ( 24-  8) Syracuse               -6.43      1.43                      
      Averages              51.49  69.9 65.8

Best game:   79.51 = 39 point win over Arizona St
Worst game:  29.17 = 32 point loss to Stanford
Team stdev:  11.61