BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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UCF
Class: 1 Class Rank: 153 Conference: American Athletic Record: (4-11) Overall: (13-14) Overall Strength = 38.99
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-07-2022 Home W 52.67 72 32 1 355 ( 8- 22) Winthrop 13.90 26.10
2 11-15-2022 Away W 32.25 62 60 1 291 ( 16- 15) Campbell -6.52 8.52
3 11-22-2022 Home W 43.79 78 54 1 323 ( 7- 23) ULM 5.02 18.98
4 11-26-2022 Home W 31.54 79 74 2 1 272 ( 13- 17) Samford -7.24 12.24
5 11-27-2022 Home W 52.72 67 41 1 277 ( 16- 15) SE Missouri St 13.95 12.05
6 12-01-2022 Home W 45.33 67 55 1 209 ( 12- 16) Sam Houston St 6.56 5.44
7 12-03-2022 Away L 13.15 46 86 1 65 ( 15- 14) Auburn -25.62 -14.38
8 12-11-2022 Home L 42.34 56 63 1 66 ( 18- 14) Seton Hall 3.57 -10.57
9 12-14-2022 Away L 32.98 64 99 1 14 ( 23- 11) Tennessee -5.79 * -29.21
10 12-20-2022 Home W 49.34 67 50 1 213 ( 11- 19) Idaho St 10.56 6.44
11 12-21-2022 Home W 44.35 64 46 1 274 ( 9- 20) Elon 5.58 12.42
12 12-29-2022 Home W 41.77 92 67 1 347 ( 2- 27) TX Southern 2.99 22.01
13 01-03-2023 Away L * 42.14 51 61 1 79 ( 16- 11) SMU 3.37 -13.37
14 01-07-2023 Home L * 37.03 75 80 1 110 ( 17- 12) Tulsa -1.75 -3.25
15 01-10-2023 Away L * 16.00 42 80 1 69 ( 13- 15) Houston -22.77 -15.23
16 01-15-2023 Home W * 44.40 59 56 1 120 ( 16- 13) Wichita St 5.63 -2.63
17 01-17-2023 Home L * 30.98 50 64 1 92 ( 17- 12) Tulane -7.79 -6.21
18 01-22-2023 Away L * 29.43 51 83 1 34 ( 26- 5) South Florida -9.34 -22.66
19 01-28-2023 Away L * 38.87 56 63 1 116 ( 11- 17) Temple 0.10 -7.10
20 02-04-2023 Home L * 30.30 54 68 1 95 ( 20- 9) East Carolina -8.47 -5.53
21 02-08-2023 Away W * 43.70 60 57 1 170 ( 9- 20) Cincinnati 4.93 -1.93
22 02-11-2023 Away L * 53.57 48 50 1 1 70 ( 19- 9) Memphis 14.80 -16.80
23 02-15-2023 Home L * 27.31 44 73 1 34 ( 26- 5) South Florida -11.46 -17.54
24 02-18-2023 Away L * 43.42 57 63 1 95 ( 20- 9) East Carolina 4.65 -10.65
25 02-21-2023 Home W * 44.75 57 53 1 116 ( 11- 17) Temple 5.98 -1.98
26 02-25-2023 Home W * 45.58 64 54 1 1 170 ( 9- 20) Cincinnati 6.81 3.19
27 03-01-2023 Away L * 37.15 60 70 1 110 ( 17- 12) Tulsa -1.63 -8.37
Averages 38.77 60.8 63.0
Best game: 53.57 = 2 point loss to Memphis
Worst game: 13.15 = 40 point loss to Auburn
Team stdev: 10.14