BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Portland

Class: 1 Class Rank: 77 Conference: West Coast Record: (15-3) Overall: (21-8) Overall Strength =   49.41

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    49.16  92  56   ZZ  41 (  0-  1) Willamette              0.00 *   36.00                      
  2 11-09-2022 Home    W    53.41  70  54    1 143 ( 15- 14) Hawaii                  4.25     11.75                      
  3 11-13-2022 Home    L    30.24  47  87    1   4 ( 28-  5) Stanford              -18.92    -21.08                      
  4 11-18-2022 Away    L    48.07  53  55    1  89 ( 22-  9) San Diego St           -1.08     -0.92                      
  5 11-20-2022 Away    L    27.03  76  85    1 232 ( 13- 17) UC San Diego          -22.13     13.13                      
  6 11-24-2022 Neutral W    57.44  66  60    1  69 ( 13- 15) Houston                 8.28     -2.28                      
  7 11-26-2022 Neutral W    64.86  67  41    1 147 ( 18- 11) Northeastern           15.70     10.30                      
  8 11-30-2022 Home    W    42.36  87  35   ZZ 135 (  0-  4) Evergreen St           -6.80 *   58.80                      
  9 12-03-2022 Away    L    27.82  51  90    1  23 ( 17- 14) Oregon                -21.34    -17.66                      
 10 12-07-2022 Home    L    52.45  63  69    1  32 ( 23- 10) Washington St           3.29     -9.29                      
 11 12-10-2022 Home    W    46.11  71  56    1 225 ( 15- 15) Portland St            -3.05     18.05                      
 12 12-17-2022 Home    W *  42.49  84  81    1 132 ( 17- 13) San Diego              -6.67      9.67                      
 13 12-19-2022 Home    W *  65.00  67  45    1 103 ( 16- 15) BYU                    15.84      6.16                      
 14 12-29-2022 Away    W *  41.42  70  61    1 264 (  7- 23) Loy Marymount          -7.74     16.74                      
 15 12-31-2022 Away    W *  50.87  86  76    1 163 ( 11- 19) Pepperdine              1.72      8.28                      
 16 01-05-2023 Home    W *  50.41  81  71    1 127 ( 15- 17) Santa Clara             1.25      8.75                      
 17 01-07-2023 Home    W *  71.43  77  46    1 115 ( 19- 12) San Francisco          22.27      8.73                      
 18 01-14-2023 Home    L *  47.22  66  73    1  43 ( 27-  3) Gonzaga                -1.93     -5.07                      
 19 01-19-2023 Away    W *  63.95  64  41    1 162 ( 13- 18) St Mary's CA           14.79      8.21                      
 20 01-21-2023 Away    W *  57.96  81  67    1 128 ( 15- 16) Pacific                 8.80      5.20                      
 21 01-26-2023 Home    W *  48.75  70  57    1 163 ( 11- 19) Pepperdine             -0.40     13.40                      
 22 01-28-2023 Home    W *  46.30  58  39    1 264 (  7- 23) Loy Marymount          -2.86     21.86                      
 23 02-02-2023 Away    W *  48.55  83  80 1  1 115 ( 19- 12) San Francisco          -0.61      3.61                      
 24 02-04-2023 Away    W *  57.53  80  68    1 127 ( 15- 17) Santa Clara             8.37      3.63                      
 25 02-11-2023 Away    L *  49.34  53  63    1  43 ( 27-  3) Gonzaga                 0.19    -10.19                      
 26 02-16-2023 Home    W *  46.83  77  66    1 162 ( 13- 18) St Mary's CA           -2.33     13.33                      
 27 02-18-2023 Home    W *  49.84  57  46    1 128 ( 15- 16) Pacific                 0.68     10.32                      
 28 02-25-2023 Away    L *  28.61  58  74    1 132 ( 17- 13) San Diego             -20.55      4.55                      
 29 02-27-2023 Away    W *  60.12  61  49    1 103 ( 16- 15) BYU                    10.96      1.04                      
      Averages              49.16  69.5 61.8

Best game:   71.43 = 31 point win over San Francisco
Worst game:  27.03 = 9 point loss to UC San Diego
Team stdev:  11.16