BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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PFW

Class: 1 Class Rank: 249 Conference: Horizon Record: (11-11) Overall: (14-18) Overall Strength =   30.95

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    30.80  90  45   ZZ 152 (  0-  1) Goshen                  0.00 *   45.00                      
  2 11-10-2022 Away    L    30.71  53  85    1  48 ( 16- 14) Michigan St            -0.09 *  -31.91                      
  3 11-13-2022 Home    W    35.14  73  62    1 282 (  9- 22) Bellarmine              4.34      6.66                      
  4 11-17-2022 Home    W    40.37  86  52    1 360 (  6- 21) Chicago St              9.57     24.43                      
  5 11-21-2022 Neutral L    22.74  48  62    1 192 ( 23-  6) Norfolk St             -8.07     -5.93                      
  6 11-22-2022 Neutral L    30.95  39  45    1 183 ( 17- 14) Marshall                0.15     -6.15                      
  7 11-23-2022 Neutral L     2.99  51  81    1 234 ( 13- 17) TN Martin             -27.82     -2.18                      
  8 12-02-2022 Home    W *  26.85  58  49    1 318 (  5- 25) Detroit                -3.96     12.96                      
  9 12-04-2022 Home    L *  23.96  64  66    1 273 ( 13- 17) Oakland                -6.84      4.84                      
 10 12-08-2022 Away    L    20.71  64  79    1 228 ( 13- 17) St Thomas MN          -10.09     -4.91                      
 11 12-18-2022 Away    L    28.09  56  64    1 229 ( 11- 18) Indiana St             -2.71     -5.29                      
 12 12-21-2022 Home    L    26.71  51  88    1  11 ( 25-  6) Maryland               -4.09 *  -32.91                      
 13 12-29-2022 Away    W *  41.96  52  41    1 278 ( 11- 19) Robert Morris          11.16     -0.16                      
 14 12-31-2022 Away    L *  24.67  44  60    1 165 ( 19- 11) Youngstown St          -6.14     -9.86                      
 15 01-04-2023 Home    L *  26.12  71  79    1 193 ( 17- 13) IUPUI                  -4.68     -3.32                      
 16 01-06-2023 Away    L *  34.70  56  74    1  82 ( 28-  4) Cleveland St            3.90    -21.90                      
 17 01-12-2023 Home    L *  19.22  32  60    1  80 ( 26-  4) WI Green Bay          -11.59    -16.41                      
 18 01-14-2023 Home    W *  42.17  72  62    1 217 ( 11- 19) WI Milwaukee           11.37     -1.37                      
 19 01-20-2023 Away    L *  35.91  69  75    1 150 ( 17- 13) N Kentucky              5.11    -11.11                      
 20 01-22-2023 Away    W *  45.13  72  55    1 293 (  8- 24) Wright St              14.33      2.67                      
 21 01-26-2023 Away    W *  40.08  73  64    1 273 ( 13- 17) Oakland                 9.28     -0.28                      
 22 01-28-2023 Away    W *  46.97  69  45    1 318 (  5- 25) Detroit                16.16      7.84                      
 23 02-02-2023 Home    W *  37.55  67  65    1 165 ( 19- 11) Youngstown St           6.74     -4.74                      
 24 02-04-2023 Home    L *  17.84  63  71    1 278 ( 11- 19) Robert Morris         -12.96      4.96                      
 25 02-09-2023 Away    L *  18.24  70  91    1 193 ( 17- 13) IUPUI                 -12.56     -8.44                      
 26 02-13-2023 Home    L *  37.58  63  73    1  82 ( 28-  4) Cleveland St            6.78    -16.78                      
 27 02-16-2023 Home    W *  36.01  95  82    1 293 (  8- 24) Wright St               5.21      7.79                      
 28 02-18-2023 Home    W *  42.79  65  59    1 150 ( 17- 13) N Kentucky             11.99     -5.99                      
 29 02-23-2023 Away    L *   7.29  34  64    1 217 ( 11- 19) WI Milwaukee          -23.51     -6.49                      
 30 02-25-2023 Away    L *  46.34  64  70    1  80 ( 26-  4) WI Green Bay           15.54    -21.54                      
 31 02-28-2023 Home    W *  21.85  65  61    1 318 (  5- 25) Detroit                -8.96     12.96                      
 32 03-02-2023 Away    W *  43.24  73  69    1 193 ( 17- 13) IUPUI                  12.44     -8.44                      
      Averages              30.80  62.6 65.6

Best game:   46.97 = 24 point win over Detroit
Worst game:   2.99 = 30 point loss to TN Martin
Team stdev:  11.07