BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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ETSU

Class: 1 Class Rank: 199 Conference: Southern Record: (10-6) Overall: (23-9) Overall Strength =   35.91

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Away    L    16.15  31 101    1   1 ( 32-  0) South Carolina        -17.98 *  -52.02                      
  2 11-11-2022 Away    W    33.00  66  58    1 330 (  6- 26) St Bonaventure         -1.14      9.14                      
  3 11-13-2022 Away    W    44.24  65  45    1 328 ( 10- 19) Lafayette              10.10      9.90                      
  4 11-17-2022 Home    W    33.44  55  54    1 222 ( 16- 14) Jacksonville St        -0.69      1.69                      
  5 11-20-2022 Home    W    37.81  54  35    1 336 ( 11- 20) Morehead St             3.68     15.32                      
  6 11-25-2022 Neutral L    18.66  58  78    1 154 ( 18- 13) G Washington          -15.48     -4.52                      
  7 11-26-2022 Neutral W    38.57  48  44    1 220 ( 22- 10) SUNY Albany             4.43     -0.43                      
  8 11-27-2022 Neutral W    42.46  55  46    1 232 ( 13- 17) UC San Diego            8.33      0.67                      
  9 12-01-2022 Home    W    56.95  44  31    1  96 ( 12- 19) Vanderbilt             22.82     -9.82                      
 10 12-04-2022 Home    W    12.17  95  26   ZZ 216 (  0-  4) VA-Lynchburg          -21.96 *   90.96                      
 11 12-11-2022 Home    L    29.31  64  82    1  78 ( 25-  5) Bowling Green          -4.82    -13.18                      
 12 12-14-2022 Away    W    34.04  65  45    1 358 (  5- 25) Charleston So          -0.09     20.09                      
 13 12-17-2022 Away    W    32.71  64  52    1 349 ( 12- 19) UNC Asheville          -1.42     13.42                      
 14 12-20-2022 Home    W    31.78  69  52    1 344 (  9- 21) Longwood               -2.36     19.36                      
 15 12-22-2022 Neutral W    36.81  75  62    1 307 ( 11- 18) Mt St Mary's            2.67     10.33                      
 16 12-31-2022 Home    W    22.64  82  35   ZZ 183 (  0-  2) Converse              -11.49 *   58.49                      
 17 01-05-2023 Home    L *  31.89  50  53    1 174 ( 20- 12) Chattanooga            -2.24     -0.76                      
 18 01-12-2023 Home    L *  19.42  52  66    1 198 ( 12- 16) Mercer                -14.71      0.71                      
 19 01-14-2023 Home    L *  16.54  58  68    1 272 ( 13- 17) Samford               -17.60      7.60                      
 20 01-19-2023 Away    W *  35.49  64  56    1 309 ( 11- 19) Furman                  1.35      6.65                      
 21 01-21-2023 Away    W *  54.33  75  58    1 188 ( 22-  9) Wofford                20.20     -3.20                      
 22 01-26-2023 Home    W *  45.00  70  39    1 351 (  9- 21) W Carolina             10.86     20.14                      
 23 01-28-2023 Home    W *  45.66  74  54    1 287 ( 16- 14) UNC Greensboro         11.53      8.47                      
 24 02-04-2023 Away    L *  29.01  62  73    1 174 ( 20- 12) Chattanooga            -5.12     -5.88                      
 25 02-09-2023 Away    W *  43.66  75  63    1 272 ( 13- 17) Samford                 9.52      2.48                      
 26 02-11-2023 Away    W *  54.54  62  46    1 198 ( 12- 16) Mercer                 20.41     -4.41                      
 27 02-16-2023 Home    W *  70.21  83  45    1 188 ( 22-  9) Wofford                36.08      1.92                      
 28 02-18-2023 Home    W *  25.37  66  63    1 309 ( 11- 19) Furman                 -8.77     11.77                      
 29 02-23-2023 Away    L *  21.78  49  58    1 287 ( 16- 14) UNC Greensboro        -12.35      3.35                      
 30 02-25-2023 Away    W *  25.12  90  84 2  1 351 (  9- 21) W Carolina             -9.02     15.02                      
 31 03-02-2023 Neutral W *  45.10  63  47    1 272 ( 13- 17) Samford                10.96      5.04                      
 32 03-03-2023 Neutral L *   8.45  40  69    1 174 ( 20- 12) Chattanooga           -25.68     -3.32                      
      Averages              34.13  63.2 55.9

Best game:   70.21 = 38 point win over Wofford
Worst game:   8.45 = 29 point loss to Chattanooga
Team stdev:  13.98