BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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California

Class: 1 Class Rank: 71 Conference: Pacific 12 Record: (4-15) Overall: (13-17) Overall Strength =   50.97

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    57.49  86  56    1 247 (  8- 23) CS Northridge           6.60     23.40                      
  2 11-12-2022 Neutral L    57.78  79  90    1   7 ( 25-  5) Notre Dame              6.89    -17.89                      
  3 11-16-2022 Home    W    47.04  84  71    1 196 ( 13- 16) Idaho                  -3.86     16.86                      
  4 11-20-2022 Away    W    43.95  69  66    1 162 ( 13- 18) St Mary's CA           -6.95      9.95                      
  5 11-25-2022 Away    W    51.42  68  49    1 264 (  7- 23) Loy Marymount           0.53     18.47                      
  6 11-26-2022 Neutral W    60.92  65  44    1 144 ( 13- 15) Montana                10.03     10.97                      
  7 12-03-2022 Home    W    58.12  84  51    1 283 ( 12- 16) Ark Pine Bluff          7.22     25.78                      
  8 12-04-2022 Home    L    33.02  56  70    1  79 ( 16- 11) SMU                   -17.87      3.87                      
  9 12-10-2022 Home    W    55.84  83  66    1 128 ( 15- 16) Pacific                 4.94     12.06                      
 10 12-16-2022 Home    W    44.90  75  61    1 232 ( 13- 17) UC San Diego           -5.99     19.99                      
 11 12-18-2022 Home    W    48.66  88  58    1 339 (  6- 23) Florida A&M            -2.24 *   32.24                      
 12 12-23-2022 Away    L *  54.36  69  90    1   4 ( 28-  5) Stanford                3.46    -24.46                      
 13 12-31-2022 Home    L *  52.99  56  63    1  24 ( 21-  9) Arizona                 2.10     -9.10                      
 14 01-02-2023 Home    W *  56.08  74  61    1 102 (  8- 20) Arizona St              5.19      7.81                      
 15 01-08-2023 Home    L *  66.24  56  60    1   4 ( 28-  5) Stanford               15.34    -19.34                      
 16 01-13-2023 Away    L *  43.41  43  63    1  31 ( 21-  9) Southern Cal           -7.49    -12.51                      
 17 01-15-2023 Away    L *  48.73  70  87    1  17 ( 25-  9) UCLA                   -2.16    -14.84                      
 18 01-20-2023 Home    L *  52.95  66  73    1  27 ( 23-  8) Colorado                2.06     -9.06                      
 19 01-22-2023 Home    L *  41.79  62  87    1   8 ( 25-  4) Utah                   -9.11    -15.89                      
 20 01-27-2023 Home    L *  56.70  73  78    1  23 ( 17- 14) Oregon                  5.81    -10.81                      
 21 01-29-2023 Home    W *  55.42  64  62    1  57 ( 13- 18) Oregon St               4.52     -2.52                      
 22 02-03-2023 Away    L *  40.29  54  70    1  52 ( 15- 14) Washington            -10.61     -5.39                      
 23 02-05-2023 Away    L *  53.57  60  70    1  32 ( 23- 10) Washington St           2.67    -12.67                      
 24 02-10-2023 Away    W *  59.20  72  61    1 102 (  8- 20) Arizona St              8.31      2.69                      
 25 02-12-2023 Away    L *  42.11  57  80    1  24 ( 21-  9) Arizona                -8.78    -14.22                      
 26 02-17-2023 Home    L *  47.61  54  67    1  17 ( 25-  9) UCLA                   -3.28     -9.72                      
 27 02-19-2023 Home    W *  61.29  81  78 1  1  31 ( 21-  9) Southern Cal           10.39     -7.39                      
 28 02-23-2023 Away    L *  46.91  76 101    1   8 ( 25-  4) Utah                   -3.98    -21.02                      
 29 02-25-2023 Away    L *  39.07  69  95    1  27 ( 23-  8) Colorado              -11.82    -14.18                      
 30 03-01-2023 Neutral L *  49.01  49  61    1  32 ( 23- 10) Washington St          -1.89    -10.11                      
      Averages              50.90  68.1 69.6

Best game:   66.24 = 4 point loss to Stanford
Worst game:  33.02 = 14 point loss to SMU
Team stdev:   7.69