BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

Matchup Report

Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home

Home court advantage =    2.70

Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models

Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
           blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games

                                                                                                    Modified    Standard    Momentum
Date      Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor             Level Rank ( W- L) Home                 Matchup    Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob
04/04/2026    1    3 (36- 2) Arizona                 1    1 (35- 3) Michigan               54.42    1.37  55%   2.58  60%  -1.26  55%
04/04/2026    1   10 (33- 5) Connecticut             1    6 (28- 8) Illinois               46.58    3.50  63%   4.12  66%  10.49  85%
04/02/2026    1   59 (20-12) Stanford                1   57 (18-14) West Virginia          37.21    0.51  52%   0.38  51%  -5.65  71%
04/02/2026    1   44 (26-10) New Mexico              1   60 (29- 7) Tulsa                  36.07   -3.40  63%  -2.93  61% -12.08  88%
04/01/2026    1   47 (16-16) Baylor                  1   68 (15-17) Minnesota              33.83   -3.53  63%  -4.31  66%  -8.61  80%
04/01/2026    1   75 (17-15) Colorado                1   39 (19-15) Oklahoma               33.52    5.55  71%   4.62  67%  15.80  94%
04/02/2026    1   38 (20-16) Auburn                  1   89 (23-12) Illinois St            29.87   -7.70  77%  -8.00  78%  -1.90  57%
04/02/2026    1   77 (15-17) Creighton               1  107 (14-19) Rutgers                27.59   -4.49  67%  -5.61  71%   5.95  72%