BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
Matchup Report
Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home
Home court advantage = 4.57
Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models
Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games
Modified Standard Momentum
Date Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor Level Rank ( W- L) Home Matchup Line Prob Line Prob Line Prob
11/22/2025 1 ( 3- 2) Fairfield ZZ ( 2- 3) Le Moyne 87.08 -0.17 51% 0.56 52% -0.17 51%
11/21/2025 1 ( 3- 3) SC Upstate ZZ ( 3- 2) West Georgia 86.31 0.35 51% -1.97 57% -3.31 61%
11/21/2025 1 33 ( 3- 1) BYU 1 23 ( 4- 0) Wisconsin 107.44 1.44 55% 1.48 55% 1.48 55%
11/21/2025 1 52 ( 4- 0) Northwestern 1 13 ( 4- 0) Virginia 105.72 7.74 74% -1.26 54% -1.26 54%
11/21/2025 1 30 ( 4- 1) Texas Tech 1 10 ( 5- 0) Purdue 102.76 8.58 76% 4.71 65% 4.86 66%
11/21/2025 1 69 ( 4- 1) Clemson 1 61 ( 5- 0) West Virginia 99.05 1.18 54% -4.67 65% -5.31 67%
11/21/2025 1 55 ( 5- 0) Kansas St 1 28 ( 5- 0) Nebraska 97.92 9.53 79% 7.26 73% 7.56 74%
11/22/2025 1 78 ( 4- 0) Northern Iowa 1 198 ( 3- 2) UC Irvine 97.40 -5.87 69% -0.01 50% -0.32 51%
11/21/2025 1 65 ( 4- 0) Cincinnati 1 11 ( 4- 0) Louisville 96.23 9.44 78% 9.46 79% 9.46 79%
11/21/2025 1 37 ( 3- 1) Butler 1 107 ( 4- 0) South Carolina 95.27 -9.52 79% -7.05 72% -7.05 72%
11/22/2025 1 117 ( 5- 0) Penn St 1 95 ( 3- 2) Providence 95.26 2.76 59% -3.97 63% -4.22 64%
11/21/2025 1 47 ( 3- 2) Wake Forest 1 156 ( 1- 3) Memphis 95.11 -7.04 72% -3.03 60% -3.98 63%
11/22/2025 1 243 ( 4- 1) Minnesota 1 131 ( 4- 1) San Francisco 94.70 8.96 77% -0.48 52% -0.75 53%
11/21/2025 1 66 ( 3- 1) Akron 1 110 ( 4- 0) Ioan 93.17 -5.81 69% -4.14 64% -4.14 64%
11/21/2025 1 114 ( 3- 2) Austin Peay 1 50 ( 3- 1) Tulsa 92.55 12.58 85% 6.92 72% 4.93 66%
11/21/2025 1 160 ( 3- 2) Boston College 1 70 ( 4- 0) Davidson 92.05 8.60 76% 4.99 66% 4.38 64%
11/21/2025 1 88 ( 3- 1) Seattle 1 57 ( 4- 0) Stanford 91.81 8.64 76% 8.51 76% 8.51 76%
11/21/2025 1 79 ( 2- 2) New Orleans 1 202 ( 4- 2) Fresno St 90.31 -5.87 69% 1.45 55% 1.63 55%
11/21/2025 1 239 ( 2- 3) Southern Univ 1 231 ( 1- 3) San Jose St 89.64 5.09 66% 0.58 52% 0.18 51%
11/21/2025 1 155 ( 2- 3) Campbell 1 178 ( 4- 1) UT Arlington 89.28 -1.25 54% 0.66 52% 0.83 53%
11/21/2025 1 143 ( 2- 2) Charlotte 1 241 ( 3- 2) Appalachian St 89.07 -3.42 61% -1.50 55% -2.27 58%
11/21/2025 1 163 ( 2- 2) Mississippi St 1 123 ( 3- 2) New Mexico 88.87 7.36 73% 6.92 72% 6.41 70%
11/22/2025 1 151 ( 3- 1) UC Santa Barbara 1 161 ( 3- 2) Nevada 88.81 4.06 63% 4.82 66% 4.29 64%
11/22/2025 1 121 ( 4- 1) Duquesne 1 191 ( 2- 3) Northeastern 88.81 -4.82 66% -4.36 64% -4.82 66%
11/21/2025 1 111 ( 3- 0) N Colorado 1 188 ( 3- 2) St Thomas MN 88.64 -5.14 67% -4.74 65% -5.26 67%
11/21/2025 1 170 ( 2- 2) Coastal Car 1 289 ( 1- 4) W Illinois 86.38 -4.43 64% -3.13 60% -3.14 60%
11/22/2025 1 233 ( 2- 3) Boston Univ 1 185 ( 4- 2) Harvard 85.50 4.53 65% 3.80 62% 4.33 64%
11/21/2025 1 128 ( 1- 4) Oakland 1 199 ( 2- 2) Eastern Michigan 85.17 -0.56 52% 4.78 65% 5.09 66%
11/21/2025 1 224 ( 2- 3) Alabama St 1 280 ( 2- 4) IUPUI 85.14 -3.71 62% 0.03 50% -0.98 53%
11/21/2025 1 84 ( 4- 1) SF Austin 1 215 ( 3- 2) Pepperdine 84.89 -6.19 70% -7.09 72% -9.83 79%
11/22/2025 1 178 ( 4- 1) UT Arlington 1 157 ( 2- 3) Weber St 84.24 5.74 68% 7.50 73% 8.43 76%
11/21/2025 1 210 ( 3- 1) Columbia 1 242 ( 2- 3) Lehigh 84.12 1.38 55% 4.79 66% 4.92 66%
11/22/2025 1 251 ( 1- 3) North Florida 1 180 ( 2- 3) Southern Miss 84.08 5.99 69% 4.08 63% 4.59 65%
11/21/2025 1 166 ( 4- 1) UC Davis 1 83 ( 4- 0) Colorado 83.99 11.81 84% 11.72 84% 11.21 83%
11/22/2025 1 139 ( 2- 2) UTRGV 1 299 ( 2- 2) Missouri St 83.99 -7.95 75% -5.38 67% -5.38 67%
11/21/2025 1 3 ( 5- 0) Georgia 1 173 ( 3- 2) Xavier 83.31 -21.65 96% -20.54 96% -24.49 98%
11/22/2025 1 73 ( 5- 1) High Point 1 236 ( 3- 2) Incarnate Word 82.72 -14.62 89% -13.35 87% -12.85 86%
11/22/2025 1 170 ( 2- 2) Coastal Car 1 295 ( 2- 4) North Dakota 82.23 -9.54 79% -7.42 73% -8.09 75%
11/21/2025 1 211 ( 6- 0) South Alabama 1 129 ( 3- 2) Alabama-Birmingham 81.54 10.31 81% 13.16 86% 16.20 91%
11/21/2025 1 296 ( 2- 3) Col Charleston 1 179 ( 3- 1) Massachusetts 81.44 9.13 78% 6.96 72% 8.44 76%
11/22/2025 1 303 ( 2- 2) Mercer 1 272 ( 1- 3) Eastern Kentucky 81.32 7.61 74% 9.11 78% 9.11 78%
11/21/2025 1 336 ( 1- 3) CS Fullerton 1 253 ( 3- 1) Portland 81.31 8.50 76% -0.52 52% -0.52 52%
11/22/2025 1 315 ( 2- 4) Binghamton 1 148 ( 2- 4) MD E Shore 81.28 13.66 87% 0.83 53% -2.99 60%
11/21/2025 1 261 ( 2- 3) UC Riverside 1 209 ( 3- 1) San Diego 81.00 8.99 77% 7.05 72% 8.11 75%
11/21/2025 1 275 ( 2- 3) Northern Illinois 1 286 ( 1- 4) Loyola-Chicago 80.87 3.75 62% 4.95 66% 3.22 61%
11/21/2025 1 124 ( 2- 4) Montana St 1 291 ( 1- 4) Long Beach St 80.73 -7.74 74% -8.56 76% -9.90 80%
11/21/2025 1 229 ( 2- 4) Hampton 1 217 ( 2- 3) Norfolk St 80.20 6.27 70% 7.83 74% 8.93 77%
11/21/2025 1 228 ( 3- 2) Arkansas St 1 59 ( 5- 0) SMU 80.04 20.72 96% 18.33 94% 20.45 96%
11/22/2025 1 323 ( 2- 3) North Alabama 1 338 ( 2- 3) Chattanooga 79.38 2.33 58% 4.28 64% 4.08 63%
11/21/2025 1 237 ( 2- 2) Central Conn 1 140 ( 4- 0) Rutgers 79.32 12.47 85% 12.80 86% 12.80 86%
11/22/2025 1 111 ( 3- 0) N Colorado 1 253 ( 3- 1) Portland 79.05 -6.03 69% -9.61 79% -9.61 79%
11/22/2025 1 245 ( 3- 2) W Carolina 1 273 ( 1- 4) Lipscomb 79.03 3.06 60% 4.42 64% 2.48 58%
11/22/2025 1 322 ( 2- 3) Howard 1 269 ( 2- 2) Niagara 79.02 5.31 67% 4.25 64% 5.41 67%
11/21/2025 1 271 ( 2- 2) Penn 1 214 ( 2- 3) Drexel 78.99 8.85 77% 8.62 76% 8.31 76%
11/22/2025 1 184 ( 0- 4) Wagner 1 32 ( 4- 0) Georgetown 78.26 21.09 96% 15.05 90% 15.05 90%
11/21/2025 1 266 ( 3- 1) Tulane 1 64 ( 4- 0) Utah St 78.07 17.82 93% 17.24 93% 17.24 93%
11/21/2025 1 141 ( 3- 2) SIUE 1 332 ( 1- 4) Air Force 78.06 -11.91 84% -8.31 76% -10.40 81%
11/21/2025 1 189 ( 1- 3) Denver 1 54 ( 4- 0) Colorado St 78.01 17.52 93% 20.38 96% 20.38 96%
11/22/2025 1 336 ( 1- 3) CS Fullerton 1 188 ( 3- 2) St Thomas MN 77.62 13.96 88% 8.93 77% 8.41 76%
11/22/2025 1 221 ( 2- 3) WI Milwaukee 1 58 ( 3- 1) Wichita St 77.61 19.73 95% 18.52 94% 19.31 95%
11/21/2025 1 148 ( 2- 4) MD E Shore 1 304 ( 2- 3) Canisius 77.33 -7.67 74% -1.94 56% -0.37 51%
11/21/2025 1 97 ( 3- 1) UNC Wilmington 1 351 ( 2- 4) Radford 77.15 -19.89 95% -12.07 84% -15.28 90%
11/21/2025 1 196 ( 3- 2) Ga Southern 1 15 ( 3- 1) Florida St 76.56 25.38 98% 22.92 97% 22.66 97%
11/21/2025 1 313 ( 1- 4) Georgia St 1 150 ( 3- 2) S Dakota St 76.51 17.74 93% 13.08 86% 13.84 88%
11/21/2025 1 326 ( 3- 3) Samford 1 116 ( 3- 0) New Mexico St 76.49 21.67 96% 12.04 84% 12.51 85%
11/21/2025 1 276 ( 2- 3) Morehead St 1 167 ( 3- 1) ETSU 76.18 12.57 85% 12.52 85% 12.96 86%
11/21/2025 1 320 ( 1- 4) Holy Cross 1 290 ( 1- 3) Sacred Heart 75.56 8.20 75% 6.42 70% 7.60 74%
11/21/2025 1 277 ( 3- 3) Charleston So 1 294 ( 2- 2) East Carolina 75.48 3.13 60% 7.82 74% 7.73 74%
11/21/2025 1 244 ( 3- 4) Presbyterian 1 104 ( 4- 1) UCLA 75.26 15.73 91% 18.69 94% 15.60 90%
11/21/2025 1 227 ( 3- 2) Grambling 1 80 ( 4- 0) Cal Baptist 74.19 17.59 93% 18.05 93% 18.26 94%
11/21/2025 1 316 ( 2- 3) Evansville 1 194 ( 3- 1) Oregon St 73.70 15.01 90% 13.64 87% 14.97 89%
11/22/2025 1 329 ( 2- 2) Ball St 1 174 ( 3- 2) Indiana St 73.58 18.20 94% 13.31 87% 13.37 87%
11/22/2025 1 337 ( 3- 3) VMI 1 330 ( 2- 3) Stetson 73.12 5.79 69% 5.26 67% 5.96 69%
11/22/2025 1 288 ( 0- 4) Nicholls St 1 25 ( 5- 0) Oklahoma St 72.63 30.25 99% 22.88 97% 24.78 98%
11/21/2025 1 292 ( 2- 3) Ark Little Rock 1 279 ( 4- 2) Texas St 72.41 5.78 69% 11.52 83% 16.67 92%
11/21/2025 1 257 ( 2- 3) NE Omaha 1 29 ( 4- 0) LSU 72.03 27.43 99% 26.07 99% 27.05 99%
11/22/2025 1 316 ( 2- 3) Evansville 1 110 ( 4- 0) Ioan 72.01 21.11 96% 17.01 92% 18.35 94%
11/22/2025 1 168 ( 3- 2) IL Chicago 1 343 ( 1- 4) Southern Indiana 71.90 -16.18 91% -13.78 88% -15.37 90%
11/21/2025 1 197 ( 2- 3) Merrimack 1 17 ( 3- 1) Florida 71.84 24.78 98% 28.32 99% 28.83 99%
11/22/2025 1 302 ( 2- 3) Central Michigan 1 195 ( 3- 3) Marquette 71.81 13.27 87% 18.64 94% 18.34 94%
11/22/2025 1 359 ( 1- 4) ULM 1 276 ( 2- 3) Morehead St 71.79 14.47 89% 8.62 76% 10.00 80%
11/21/2025 1 246 ( 3- 3) CS Sacramento 1 75 ( 4- 1) California 71.54 19.62 95% 21.10 96% 22.80 97%
11/22/2025 1 305 ( 3- 2) NJIT 1 127 ( 2- 3) Navy 71.49 18.59 94% 16.65 92% 18.30 94%
11/21/2025 1 238 ( 1- 4) WI Green Bay 1 20 ( 3- 1) Yale 71.44 23.27 97% 23.95 98% 24.56 98%
11/21/2025 1 350 ( 1- 4) Lafayette 1 252 ( 1- 5) Stonehill 71.09 16.13 91% 10.32 81% 11.71 84%
11/21/2025 1 333 ( 2- 3) SUNY Albany 1 154 ( 2- 2) Siena 70.82 19.79 95% 16.11 91% 17.56 93%
11/21/2025 1 334 ( 1- 4) Morgan St 1 321 ( 2- 3) Old Dominion 70.44 6.40 70% 10.27 80% 11.09 82%
11/21/2025 1 297 ( 2- 4) PFW 1 48 ( 4- 0) Saint Louis 70.01 26.61 99% 24.58 98% 25.54 98%
11/22/2025 1 325 ( 2- 3) Prairie View 1 51 ( 3- 1) TN Martin 69.79 24.90 98% 19.26 95% 20.05 95%
11/21/2025 1 254 ( 2- 4) Loyola MD 1 100 ( 3- 2) Kentucky 69.67 17.05 92% 28.68 99% 29.84 99%
11/22/2025 1 301 ( 2- 4) Cleveland St 1 126 ( 5- 1) Kent 69.36 18.16 94% 18.86 94% 24.09 98%
11/22/2025 1 248 ( 3- 2) LIU Brooklyn 1 39 ( 4- 1) Illinois 68.71 25.12 98% 31.01 100% 33.53 100%
11/21/2025 1 339 ( 3- 2) Manhattan 1 218 ( 3- 2) Texas A&M 67.72 16.15 91% 20.43 96% 21.22 96%
11/22/2025 ZZ ( 0- 1) Eastern Oregon 1 ( 2- 2) Idaho 67.32 19.17 95% 18.13 94% 18.13 94%
11/22/2025 1 348 ( 2- 4) NC Central 1 112 ( 4- 1) Dayton 65.34 26.38 99% 23.97 98% 24.15 98%
11/21/2025 1 312 ( 1- 4) Louisiana 1 36 ( 5- 0) Santa Clara 64.79 30.96 100% 28.57 99% 31.10 100%
11/21/2025 1 331 ( 1- 4) Army 1 153 ( 2- 2) Marist 64.42 19.81 95% 20.15 95% 22.20 97%
11/22/2025 1 358 ( 1- 5) MA Lowell 1 307 ( 1- 3) St Peter's 63.74 13.29 87% 15.48 90% 18.69 94%
11/21/2025 1 269 ( 2- 2) Niagara 1 1 ( 5- 0) Duke 62.83 39.24 100% 40.55 100% 43.24 100%
11/21/2025 1 314 ( 1- 4) Detroit 1 21 ( 4- 0) Michigan St 61.88 33.82 100% 31.70 100% 32.91 100%
11/21/2025 1 318 ( 1- 4) Northwestern LA 1 119 ( 2- 2) Grand Canyon 61.84 20.34 96% 24.18 98% 26.98 99%
11/22/2025 1 354 ( 0- 5) Gardner Webb 1 96 ( 4- 0) Richmond 61.34 30.28 99% 22.34 97% 25.14 98%
11/21/2025 1 355 ( 0- 4) Jackson St 1 31 ( 4- 1) Arkansas 54.45 40.43 100% 34.01 100% 34.68 100%
11/22/2025 1 345 ( 1- 5) MS Valley St 1 263 ( 2- 3) CS Bakersfield 53.32 14.37 88% 23.48 98% 21.69 96%
11/22/2025 1 356 ( 1- 6) Coppin St 1 40 ( 2- 2) VCU 51.58 38.27 100% 36.73 100% 37.64 100%
11/22/2025 ZZ ( 0- 3) Nobel 1 ( 1- 5) Southern Utah 40.49 24.01 98% 25.73 98% 21.87 97%
11/21/2025 ZZ ( 0- 3) Nobel 1 ( 3- 4) Utah Tech 36.95 33.25 100% 32.83 100% 32.82 100%
11/21/2025 ZZ ( 0- 1) Justice 1 ( 2- 3) Idaho St 34.58 42.29 100% 41.61 100% 42.29 100%
11/21/2025 ZZ ( 0- 1) Fisk 1 ( 4- 0) Belmont 9.67 58.37 100% 58.07 100% 58.07 100%
11/21/2025 ZZ ( 0- 1) Erskine 1 ( 3- 2) Wofford 8.90 55.87 100% 55.37 100% 54.61 100%
11/21/2025 ZZ ( 0- 1) Regent 1 ( 3- 2) William & Mary -6.97 74.84 100% 69.83 100% 70.93 100%