BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
Matchup Report
Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home
Home court advantage = 2.70
Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models
Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games
Modified Standard Momentum
Date Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor Level Rank ( W- L) Home Matchup Line Prob Line Prob Line Prob
03/11/2026 1 18 (22- 9) Louisville 1 38 (20-12) SMU 39.09 -5.39 70% -6.67 74% -11.33 86%
03/11/2026 1 55 (20-10) UCF 1 43 (18-14) Cincinnati 37.40 3.09 62% 2.26 59% 9.00 81%
03/11/2026 1 68 (21-10) California 1 70 (17-14) Florida St 36.12 -0.41 52% -0.35 51% 7.09 75%
03/11/2026 1 79 (16-15) Butler 1 72 (14-17) Providence 35.79 0.82 53% -0.15 51% -1.54 56%
03/11/2026 1 41 (22- 9) Clemson 1 60 (17-15) Wake Forest 35.70 -4.13 66% -4.18 66% 2.59 60%
03/11/2026 1 61 (19-13) Oklahoma St 1 45 (21-10) TCU 34.97 2.77 61% 3.85 65% 8.46 79%
03/12/2026 1 73 (15-16) Creighton 1 54 (20-11) Seton Hall 34.92 2.89 61% 2.36 59% -2.24 59%
03/11/2026 1 39 (18-13) Indiana 1 63 (14-18) Northwestern 34.91 -4.77 68% -5.05 69% 3.47 63%
03/11/2026 1 25 (19-12) Kentucky 1 53 (15-16) LSU 34.50 -5.61 71% -7.12 76% -10.89 85%
03/11/2026 1 22 (22-10) BYU 1 56 (18-13) West Virginia 34.47 -7.23 76% -7.59 77% 6.11 72%
03/11/2026 1 71 (18-13) Southern Cal 1 51 (15-16) Washington 33.78 3.11 62% 3.81 64% 9.30 82%
03/11/2026 1 83 (12-19) Marquette 1 93 (14-17) Xavier 32.57 -1.18 55% -1.32 55% -12.57 89%
03/11/2026 1 100 (16-15) DePaul 1 80 (14-17) Georgetown 32.40 2.59 60% 0.96 54% 0.08 50%
03/11/2026 1 78 (12-19) Mississippi 1 32 (18-13) Texas 31.27 7.48 77% 7.51 77% 2.05 58%
03/11/2026 1 64 (17-15) Arizona St 1 7 (25- 6) Iowa St 30.18 13.84 91% 13.69 91% 3.52 63%
03/11/2026 1 104 (16-15) UNLV 1 91 (18-13) Wyoming 30.17 2.08 58% 2.19 58% -8.02 78%
03/11/2026 1 77 (27- 5) McNeese St 1 102 (28- 4) SF Austin 30.16 -3.34 63% -3.07 62% -5.86 72%
03/11/2026 1 44 (17-14) Oklahoma 1 95 (13-18) South Carolina 29.75 -7.24 76% -6.66 74% -15.53 93%
03/11/2026 1 34 (19-12) NC State 1 92 (13-19) Pittsburgh 29.13 -8.96 81% -9.33 82% 4.45 67%
03/12/2026 1 128 (17-14) Duquesne 1 134 (16-15) Rhode Island 28.66 -0.33 51% -0.05 50% -4.02 65%
03/12/2026 1 146 (18-13) Bowling Green 1 141 (17-14) Toledo 28.19 0.23 51% -0.04 50% 10.18 84%
03/11/2026 1 37 (16-15) Auburn 1 98 (13-18) Mississippi St 28.04 -9.17 81% -9.50 82% -12.68 89%
03/11/2026 1 67 (15-16) Minnesota 1 110 (13-18) Rutgers 26.72 -5.82 71% -6.32 73% -4.22 66%
03/11/2026 1 87 (20-11) Colorado St 1 127 (13-18) Fresno St 26.50 -5.12 69% -5.12 69% -10.49 85%
03/14/2026 1 166 (17-11) Harvard 1 164 (16-11) Penn 26.32 0.09 50% 0.09 50% -1.21 55%
03/11/2026 1 123 (17-14) Florida Atlantic 1 152 (16-15) Temple 25.92 -2.85 61% -2.37 59% 6.04 72%
03/12/2026 1 174 (18-13) Kennesaw 1 150 (18-13) Western Kentucky 25.65 1.42 55% 0.85 53% 7.92 78%
03/11/2026 1 137 (18-13) UC Santa Barbara 1 171 (18-13) UC Davis 25.09 -2.35 59% -1.69 57% -0.52 52%
03/11/2026 1 140 (20-14) Idaho 1 170 (17-15) Montana 24.51 -1.80 57% -2.46 59% -8.23 79%
03/14/2026 1 157 (15-12) Cornell 1 86 (23- 5) Yale 23.26 7.51 77% 7.57 77% 6.88 75%
03/11/2026 1 26 (20-11) Iowa 1 121 (12-20) Maryland 22.99 -13.83 91% -14.28 92% -11.01 86%
03/11/2026 1 180 (16-15) New Mexico St 1 111 (20-10) Sam Houston St 22.28 5.24 69% 5.37 70% 6.63 74%
03/12/2026 1 168 (17-14) Fordham 1 76 (17-14) G Washington 21.74 9.12 81% 8.78 80% 4.97 69%
03/12/2026 1 209 (18-13) Louisiana Tech 1 167 (17-14) Middle Tennessee St 21.13 2.78 61% 4.02 65% -2.65 60%
03/11/2026 1 133 (25- 6) Liberty 1 207 (15-17) Missouri St 20.94 -5.34 70% -5.15 69% 5.67 71%
03/12/2026 1 189 (16-15) Massachusetts 1 94 (31- 0) Miami OH 20.53 8.67 80% 8.22 79% 10.25 84%
03/11/2026 1 211 ( 9-22) La Salle 1 148 (15-16) St Bonaventure 20.47 4.24 66% 4.70 68% 5.44 70%
03/12/2026 1 156 (23- 8) Kent 1 225 (15-16) Ohio 20.04 -4.43 67% -4.54 67% -5.17 69%
03/11/2026 1 216 (14-18) Cal Poly 1 125 (22-10) UC San Diego 19.74 6.65 74% 6.46 73% 1.19 55%
03/11/2026 1 118 (13-18) Memphis 1 219 (17-14) Tulane 19.01 -7.41 76% -7.41 76% -7.29 76%
03/11/2026 1 259 (17-16) Boston Univ 1 295 (17-16) Lehigh 18.44 -0.39 52% 0.37 51% 0.59 52%
03/11/2026 1 265 (13-18) Abilene Chr 1 215 (14-17) Tarleton St 18.11 3.28 62% 3.51 63% 3.32 63%
03/12/2026 1 66 (26- 5) Akron 1 210 (17-14) Buffalo 16.88 -13.18 90% -12.89 89% -20.39 98%
03/12/2026 1 261 (10-21) Southern Utah 1 173 (17-13) UT Arlington 15.14 5.92 72% 7.16 76% 2.28 59%
03/11/2026 1 282 ( 8-23) Loyola-Chicago 1 135 (15-16) Richmond 14.39 10.11 84% 9.00 81% -1.11 54%
03/12/2026 1 308 (17-14) Alabama A&M 1 312 (12-17) TX Southern 14.19 -0.39 52% 0.08 50% -0.44 52%
03/11/2026 1 222 ( 8-23) San Jose St 1 62 (20-11) Boise St 12.81 17.52 96% 17.63 96% 25.21 99%
03/11/2026 1 238 (17-14) Bethune-Cookman 1 326 (15-17) Prairie View 12.65 -7.89 78% -4.48 67% -0.90 53%
03/12/2026 1 317 (13-18) Ark Pine Bluff 1 290 (15-16) Southern Univ 12.29 2.85 61% 4.29 66% 5.56 71%
03/12/2026 1 342 ( 9-22) MD E Shore 1 349 (12-17) NC Central 10.04 -2.21 59% -1.17 55% -2.80 61%
03/11/2026 1 321 (14-15) Florida A&M 1 344 (12-20) Jackson St 6.29 -3.55 63% -5.23 69% -15.15 93%
03/11/2026 1 356 ( 7-22) Delaware St 1 346 (14-15) Morgan St 3.36 4.33 66% 3.90 65% 11.11 86%
03/11/2026 1 328 ( 3-28) Air Force 1 75 (20-11) Nevada 1.11 21.95 98% 22.77 99% 17.71 96%
03/12/2026 1 305 (15-16) Norfolk St 1 353 ( 9-21) S Carolina St 0.58 -9.00 81% -10.52 85% -6.21 73%