BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Toledo
Class: 1 Class Rank: 151 Overall: (16-14) Overall Strength = 27.14
Conference: Mid-American Record: (10-6) | District: 1-02 Record: (14-13)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home L * 18.97 74 76 1 200 (21-10) South Alabama -8.61 6.61
2 11-08-2025 Home L * 10.10 73 85 1 182 (20-12) Marshall -17.48 5.48
3 11-11-2025 Away W * 39.88 81 71 1 153 (20-11) Wright St 12.31 -2.31
4 11-15-2025 Home W * 25.12 90 83 1 236 (15-14) Detroit -2.45 9.45
5 11-19-2025 Home W * 37.94 92 75 1 203 (15-16) Youngstown St 10.37 6.63
6 11-24-2025 Neutral W * 33.80 75 68 1 156 (20-11) Troy 6.22 0.78
7 11-26-2025 Neutral L * 21.23 72 87 1 67 (26- 5) Belmont -6.34 -8.66
8 12-01-2025 Home W 39.76 102 58 ZZ 90 ( 0- 2) Central St OH 12.18 * 31.82
9 12-06-2025 Away L * 28.54 97 98 1 159 (16-15) Oakland 0.97 -1.97
10 12-13-2025 Away L * 23.88 70 75 1 161 (21-10) Robert Morris -3.69 -1.31
11 12-16-2025 Away L 28.79 69 92 1 7 (24- 5) Michigan St 1.21 -24.21
12 12-20-2025 Home W 27.58 100 67 ZZ 99 ( 0- 1) Lourdes 0.00 * 33.00
13 12-30-2025 Home W * * 20.95 84 79 1 264 (10-20) Western Michigan -6.62 11.62
14 01-03-2026 Away W * * 25.11 78 75 1 262 (10-20) Central Michigan -2.47 5.47
15 01-06-2026 Away W * * 29.62 75 61 1 329 ( 9-20) Northern Illinois 2.04 11.96
16 01-09-2026 Home L * * 16.12 73 87 1 92 (30- 0) Miami OH -11.46 -2.54
17 01-13-2026 Home W * * 35.22 101 85 1 227 (15-15) Ohio 7.65 8.35
18 01-16-2026 Away L * * 26.50 84 87 1 147 (22- 8) Kent -1.08 -1.92
19 01-20-2026 Away L * 25.22 82 84 1 187 (16-15) Massachusetts -2.36 0.36
20 01-24-2026 Home W * * 26.24 73 72 1 149 (17-13) Bowling Green -1.33 2.33
21 01-27-2026 Away L * * 28.36 81 91 1 69 (25- 5) Akron 0.78 -10.78
22 01-31-2026 Home W * * 32.53 73 55 1 290 (11-19) Ball St 4.95 13.05
23 02-03-2026 Home L * * 21.07 72 75 1 147 (22- 8) Kent -6.51 3.51
24 02-07-2026 Away L * 23.25 71 73 1 215 (17-14) James Madison -4.32 2.32
25 02-11-2026 Away W * * 32.38 90 79 1 264 (10-20) Western Michigan 4.80 6.20
26 02-14-2026 Away L * * 20.67 70 80 1 149 (17-13) Bowling Green -6.91 -3.09
27 02-21-2026 Home W * * 38.06 94 75 1 222 (10-20) Eastern Michigan 10.48 8.52
28 02-24-2026 Home W * * 20.19 79 69 1 329 ( 9-20) Northern Illinois -7.39 17.39
29 02-28-2026 Away W * * 36.65 79 67 1 227 (15-15) Ohio 9.07 2.93
30 03-03-2026 Away L * * 33.55 72 74 1 92 (30- 0) Miami OH 5.97 -7.97
31 03/06/2026 Home * * 1 202 (17-13) Buffalo 6.24
Averages 27.58 80.9 76.8
Best game: 39.88 = 10 point win over Wright St
Worst game: 10.10 = 12 point loss to Marshall
Team stdev: 7.38