BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Toledo
Class: 1 Class Rank: 139 Overall: (19-15) Overall Strength = 28.23
Conference: Mid-American Record: (12-7) | District: 1-02 Record: (17-14)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home L * 19.11 74 76 1 205 (21-12) South Alabama -9.48 7.48
2 11-08-2025 Home L * 10.06 73 85 1 188 (20-13) Marshall -18.54 6.54
3 11-11-2025 Away W * 41.08 81 71 1 141 (23-12) Wright St 12.48 -2.48
4 11-15-2025 Home W * 26.40 90 83 1 224 (17-15) Detroit -2.20 9.20
5 11-19-2025 Home W * 38.05 92 75 1 208 (15-17) Youngstown St 9.46 7.54
6 11-24-2025 Neutral W * 34.14 75 68 1 155 (22-12) Troy 5.54 1.46
7 11-26-2025 Neutral L * 20.44 72 87 1 69 (26- 6) Belmont -8.16 -6.84
8 12-01-2025 Home W 40.43 102 58 ZZ 88 ( 0- 2) Central St OH 11.83 * 32.17
9 12-06-2025 Away L * 28.66 97 98 1 163 (16-16) Oakland 0.07 -1.07
10 12-13-2025 Away L * 24.28 70 75 1 160 (22-11) Robert Morris -4.31 -0.69
11 12-16-2025 Away L 28.54 69 92 1 9 (27- 8) Michigan St -0.05 -22.95
12 12-20-2025 Home W 28.60 100 67 ZZ 92 ( 0- 1) Lourdes 0.00 * 33.00
13 12-30-2025 Home W * * 21.26 84 79 1 264 (10-21) Western Michigan -7.33 12.33
14 01-03-2026 Away W * * 24.86 78 75 1 270 (10-21) Central Michigan -3.74 6.74
15 01-06-2026 Away W * * 29.46 75 61 1 332 ( 9-21) Northern Illinois 0.86 13.14
16 01-09-2026 Home L * * 16.19 73 87 1 93 (32- 2) Miami OH -12.41 -1.59
17 01-13-2026 Home W * * 35.42 101 85 1 226 (15-17) Ohio 6.82 9.18
18 01-16-2026 Away L * * 26.46 84 87 1 151 (24-10) Kent -2.14 -0.86
19 01-20-2026 Away L * 25.56 82 84 1 187 (17-16) Massachusetts -3.04 1.04
20 01-24-2026 Home W * * 26.54 73 72 1 147 (18-14) Bowling Green -2.06 3.06
21 01-27-2026 Away L * * 28.18 81 91 1 73 (29- 6) Akron -0.42 -9.58
22 01-31-2026 Home W * * 33.25 73 55 1 285 (12-19) Ball St 4.66 13.34
23 02-03-2026 Home L * * 21.05 72 75 1 151 (24-10) Kent -7.55 4.55
24 02-07-2026 Away L * 23.54 71 73 1 218 (18-15) James Madison -5.06 3.06
25 02-11-2026 Away W * * 32.67 90 79 1 264 (10-21) Western Michigan 4.07 6.93
26 02-14-2026 Away L * * 20.95 70 80 1 147 (18-14) Bowling Green -7.65 -2.35
27 02-21-2026 Home W * * 38.09 94 75 1 225 (10-21) Eastern Michigan 9.50 9.50
28 02-24-2026 Home W * * 20.05 79 69 1 332 ( 9-21) Northern Illinois -8.54 18.54
29 02-28-2026 Away W * * 36.83 79 67 1 226 (15-17) Ohio 8.23 3.77
30 03-03-2026 Away L * * 33.59 72 74 1 93 (32- 2) Miami OH 5.00 -7.00
31 03-06-2026 Home W * * 41.97 99 78 1 209 (17-15) Buffalo 13.37 7.63
32 03-12-2026 Neutral W * * 29.24 77 76 1 147 (18-14) Bowling Green 0.65 0.35
33 03-13-2026 Neutral W * 34.86 77 67 1 187 (17-16) Massachusetts 6.26 3.74
34 03-14-2026 Neutral L * * 32.48 76 79 1 73 (29- 6) Akron 3.88 -6.88
Averages 28.60 81.0 76.6
Best game: 41.97 = 21 point win over Buffalo
Worst game: 10.06 = 12 point loss to Marshall
Team stdev: 7.58