BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Toledo
Class: 1 Class Rank: 139 Overall: (19-15) Overall Strength = 28.19
Conference: Mid-American Record: (12-7) | District: 1-02 Record: (17-14)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home L * 19.10 74 76 1 204 (21-12) South Alabama -9.46 7.46
2 11-08-2025 Home L * 10.03 73 85 1 187 (20-13) Marshall -18.53 6.53
3 11-11-2025 Away W * 41.04 81 71 1 141 (23-12) Wright St 12.48 -2.48
4 11-15-2025 Home W * 26.36 90 83 1 224 (17-15) Detroit -2.20 9.20
5 11-19-2025 Home W * 38.02 92 75 1 208 (15-17) Youngstown St 9.46 7.54
6 11-24-2025 Neutral W * 34.11 75 68 1 155 (22-12) Troy 5.55 1.45
7 11-26-2025 Neutral L * 20.33 72 87 1 70 (26- 6) Belmont -8.22 -6.78
8 12-01-2025 Home W 40.39 102 58 ZZ 88 ( 0- 2) Central St OH 11.84 * 32.16
9 12-06-2025 Away L * 28.64 97 98 1 162 (16-16) Oakland 0.08 -1.08
10 12-13-2025 Away L * 24.24 70 75 1 160 (22-11) Robert Morris -4.32 -0.68
11 12-16-2025 Away L 28.51 69 92 1 9 (27- 8) Michigan St -0.05 -22.95
12 12-20-2025 Home W 28.56 100 67 ZZ 92 ( 0- 1) Lourdes -0.00 * 33.00
13 12-30-2025 Home W * * 21.23 84 79 1 263 (10-21) Western Michigan -7.33 12.33
14 01-03-2026 Away W * * 24.82 78 75 1 270 (10-21) Central Michigan -3.74 6.74
15 01-06-2026 Away W * * 29.41 75 61 1 332 ( 9-21) Northern Illinois 0.86 13.14
16 01-09-2026 Home L * * 16.16 73 87 1 94 (32- 2) Miami OH -12.40 -1.60
17 01-13-2026 Home W * * 35.37 101 85 1 226 (15-17) Ohio 6.82 9.18
18 01-16-2026 Away L * * 26.41 84 87 1 151 (24-10) Kent -2.15 -0.85
19 01-20-2026 Away L * 25.53 82 84 1 186 (17-16) Massachusetts -3.03 1.03
20 01-24-2026 Home W * * 26.51 73 72 1 147 (18-14) Bowling Green -2.05 3.05
21 01-27-2026 Away L * * 28.14 81 91 1 73 (29- 6) Akron -0.42 -9.58
22 01-31-2026 Home W * * 33.22 73 55 1 285 (12-19) Ball St 4.66 13.34
23 02-03-2026 Home L * * 21.00 72 75 1 151 (24-10) Kent -7.56 4.56
24 02-07-2026 Away L * 23.51 71 73 1 218 (18-15) James Madison -5.05 3.05
25 02-11-2026 Away W * * 32.63 90 79 1 263 (10-21) Western Michigan 4.07 6.93
26 02-14-2026 Away L * * 20.91 70 80 1 147 (18-14) Bowling Green -7.65 -2.35
27 02-21-2026 Home W * * 38.06 94 75 1 225 (10-21) Eastern Michigan 9.50 9.50
28 02-24-2026 Home W * * 20.01 79 69 1 332 ( 9-21) Northern Illinois -8.55 18.55
29 02-28-2026 Away W * * 36.78 79 67 1 226 (15-17) Ohio 8.22 3.78
30 03-03-2026 Away L * * 33.56 72 74 1 94 (32- 2) Miami OH 5.00 -7.00
31 03-06-2026 Home W * * 41.94 99 78 1 209 (17-15) Buffalo 13.38 7.62
32 03-12-2026 Neutral W * * 29.21 77 76 1 147 (18-14) Bowling Green 0.65 0.35
33 03-13-2026 Neutral W * 34.83 77 67 1 186 (17-16) Massachusetts 6.27 3.73
34 03-14-2026 Neutral L * * 32.44 76 79 1 73 (29- 6) Akron 3.88 -6.88
Averages 28.56 81.0 76.6
Best game: 41.94 = 21 point win over Buffalo
Worst game: 10.03 = 12 point loss to Marshall
Team stdev: 7.58