BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Toledo

Class: 1 Class Rank: 151 Overall: (5-5) Overall Strength =   29.30
Conference: Mid-American Record: (0-0) | District: 1-02 Record: (4-5)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Home    L   *  19.37  74  76    1 219 ( 8- 3) South Alabama         -11.00      9.00                      
 2 11-08-2025 Home    L   *  15.89  73  85    1 138 ( 7- 4) Marshall              -14.48      2.48                      
 3 11-11-2025 Away    W   *  45.37  81  71    1 120 ( 5- 6) Wright St              15.00     -5.00                      
 4 11-15-2025 Home    W   *  23.16  90  83    1 284 ( 4- 7) Detroit                -7.22     14.22                      
 5 11-19-2025 Home    W   *  42.97  92  75    1 157 ( 7- 4) Youngstown St          12.60      4.40                      
 6 11-24-2025 Neutral W   *  37.08  75  68    1 150 ( 7- 5) Troy                    6.71      0.29                      
 7 11-26-2025 Neutral L   *  22.28  72  87    1  78 (10- 1) Belmont                -8.10     -6.90                      
 8 12-01-2025 Home    W      40.05 102  58   ZZ 148 ( 0- 2) Central St OH           9.68 *   34.32                      
 9 12-06-2025 Away    L   *  32.91  97  98    1 145 ( 5- 6) Oakland                 2.54     -3.54                      
10 12-13-2025 Away    L   *  24.65  70  75    1 186 ( 8- 4) Robert Morris          -5.72      0.72                      
11 12/16/2025 Away                            1   7 ( 9- 1) Michigan St                     -28.96            
12 12/20/2025 Home                           ZZ  16 ( 0- 0) Lourdes                           1.77            
13 12/30/2025 Home      * *                   1 232 ( 5- 6) Western Michigan                  8.87            
14 01/03/2026 Away      * *                   1 315 ( 3- 7) Central Michigan                 11.18            
15 01/06/2026 Away      * *                   1 320 ( 3- 7) Northern Illinois                11.54            
16 01/09/2026 Home      * *                   1 114 (10- 0) Miami OH                         -1.35            
17 01/10/2026 Home      * *                   1 114 (10- 0) Miami OH                         -1.35            
18 01/13/2026 Home      * *                   1 196 ( 4- 6) Ohio                              5.84            
19 01/17/2026 Away      * *                   1 133 ( 9- 2) Kent                             -4.53            
20 01/20/2026 Away        *                   1 148 ( 8- 3) Massachusetts                    -3.07            
21 01/24/2026 Home      * *                   1  86 ( 7- 3) Bowling Green                    -4.17            
22 01/27/2026 Away      * *                   1  58 ( 8- 3) Akron                           -14.53            
23 01/31/2026 Home      * *                   1 324 ( 3- 8) Ball St                          17.72            
24 02/03/2026 Home      * *                   1 133 ( 9- 2) Kent                              1.16            
25 02/11/2026 Away      * *                   1 232 ( 5- 6) Western Michigan                  3.19            
26 02/14/2026 Away      * *                   1  86 ( 7- 3) Bowling Green                    -9.85            
27 02/21/2026 Home      * *                   1 195 ( 6- 5) Eastern Michigan                  5.84            
28 02/24/2026 Home      * *                   1 320 ( 3- 7) Northern Illinois                17.23            
29 02/28/2026 Away      * *                   1 196 ( 4- 6) Ohio                              0.16            
30 03/03/2026 Away      * *                   1 114 (10- 0) Miami OH                         -7.04            
31 03/06/2026 Home      * *                   1 198 ( 9- 2) Buffalo                           5.95            
      Averages              30.37  82.6 77.6

Best game:   45.37 = 10 point win over Wright St
Worst game:  15.89 = 12 point loss to Marshall
Team stdev:  10.59