BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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PFW

Class: 1 Class Rank: 246 Overall: (17-15) Overall Strength =   20.78
Conference: Horizon Record: (11-10) | District: 1-02 Record: (13-13)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Away    L   *  20.46  71  90    1  63 (20-12) Grand Canyon           -0.76    -18.24                      
 2 11-07-2025 Away    L      20.94  68  94    1  25 (21-13) Ohio St                -0.27 *  -25.73                      
 3 11-09-2025 Home    W      33.63 137  56   ZZ 353 ( 0- 2) Dominican IL           12.42 *   68.58                      
 4 11-12-2025 Away    L   *   9.63  71  83    1 263 (10-21) Western Michigan      -11.58     -0.42                      
 5 11-15-2025 Home    W      21.21 118  68   ZZ 286 ( 0- 1) Boyce                  -0.00 *   50.00                      
 6 11-18-2025 Away    L      25.98  77  85    1 106 (10-22) Utah                    4.77    -12.77                      
 7 11-21-2025 Away    L   *  15.31  60  91    1  31 (29- 6) Saint Louis            -5.91    -25.09                      
 8 11-25-2025 Home    W   *  22.76  90  77    1 339 ( 7-25) Chicago St              1.55     11.45                      
 9 11-28-2025 Home    W      21.21  92  59   ZZ 141 ( 0- 1) Holy Cross IN          -0.00 *   33.00                      
10 12-03-2025 Away    L * *  20.64  92 101    1 162 (16-16) Oakland                -0.58     -8.42                      
11 12-06-2025 Home    W * *  25.04  79  77    1 175 (20-14) N Kentucky              3.83     -1.83                      
12 12-10-2025 Home    W   *  34.06  80  65    1 225 (10-21) Eastern Michigan       12.85      2.15                      
13 12-14-2025 Home    W * *  23.36  81  77    1 224 (17-15) Detroit                 2.15      1.85                      
14 12-21-2025 Away    W      39.78  72  69    1  86 (13-18) Notre Dame             18.57    -15.57                      
15 12-29-2025 Away    L * *   0.75  55  77    1 264 (12-20) WI Milwaukee          -20.46     -1.54                      
16 01-01-2026 Home    L * *   2.48  54  72    1 216 (18-15) WI Green Bay          -18.73      0.73                      
17 01-04-2026 Home    W * *  15.47  74  71    1 314 (11-22) Cleveland St           -5.74      8.74                      
18 01-07-2026 Away    W * *  28.43  71  69    1 208 (15-17) Youngstown St           7.21     -5.21                      
19 01-11-2026 Away    W * *  34.24  79  74    1 160 (22-11) Robert Morris          13.03     -8.03                      
20 01-18-2026 Home    W * *  35.35 100  82    1 264 (12-20) WI Milwaukee           14.13      3.87                      
21 01-21-2026 Away    W * *  31.77  83  76    1 224 (17-15) Detroit                10.56     -3.56                      
22 01-28-2026 Home    L * *  15.23  65  74    1 162 (16-16) Oakland                -5.98     -3.02                      
23 01-31-2026 Home    W * *  35.84  83  71    1 160 (22-11) Robert Morris          14.63     -2.63                      
24 02-04-2026 Home    L * *  -7.98  61  90    1 208 (15-17) Youngstown St         -29.19      0.19                      
25 02-07-2026 Away    L * *  26.04  68  73    1 141 (23-12) Wright St               4.83     -9.83                      
26 02-12-2026 Away    L * *   8.89  59  76    1 216 (18-15) WI Green Bay          -12.32     -4.68                      
27 02-15-2026 Home    W * *  18.00  83  78    1 313 ( 7-25) IUPUI                  -3.21      8.21                      
28 02-18-2026 Away    L * *  12.44  71  87    1 175 (20-14) N Kentucky             -8.77     -7.23                      
29 02-22-2026 Away    W * *  23.87  92  86    1 314 (11-22) Cleveland St            2.66      3.34                      
30 02-25-2026 Home    L * *  21.64  70  74    1 141 (23-12) Wright St               0.43     -4.43                      
31 02-28-2026 Away    W * *  24.41  87  81    1 313 ( 7-25) IUPUI                   3.19      2.81                      
32 03-03-2026 Away    L * *  17.89  56  64    1 216 (18-15) WI Green Bay           -3.32     -4.68                      
      Averages              21.21  78.1 77.1

Best game:   39.78 = 3 point win over Notre Dame
Worst game:  -7.98 = 29 point loss to Youngstown St
Team stdev:  10.79