BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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PFW

Class: 1 Class Rank: 244 Overall: (17-15) Overall Strength =   20.72
Conference: Horizon Record: (11-10) | District: 1-02 Record: (13-13)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Away    L   *  19.93  71  90    1  70 (19-11) Grand Canyon           -1.08    -17.92                      
 2 11-07-2025 Away    L      19.44  68  94    1  33 (18-11) Ohio St                -1.57    -24.43                      
 3 11-09-2025 Home    W      33.65 137  56   ZZ 353 ( 0- 2) Dominican IL           12.64 *   68.36                      
 4 11-12-2025 Away    L   *   9.38  71  83    1 264 (10-20) Western Michigan      -11.63     -0.37                      
 5 11-15-2025 Home    W      21.01 118  68   ZZ 285 ( 0- 1) Boyce                  -0.00 *   50.00                      
 6 11-18-2025 Away    L      26.21  77  85    1 102 (10-20) Utah                    5.21    -13.21                      
 7 11-21-2025 Away    L   *  16.57  60  91    1  26 (26- 3) Saint Louis            -4.44 *  -26.56                      
 8 11-25-2025 Home    W   *  22.25  90  77    1 343 ( 7-24) Chicago St              1.25     11.75                      
 9 11-28-2025 Home    W      21.01  92  59   ZZ 138 ( 0- 1) Holy Cross IN          -0.00 *   33.00                      
10 12-03-2025 Away    L * *  20.54  92 101    1 159 (16-15) Oakland                -0.47     -8.53                      
11 12-06-2025 Home    W * *  24.51  79  77    1 181 (18-13) N Kentucky              3.50     -1.50                      
12 12-10-2025 Home    W   *  34.06  80  65    1 222 (10-20) Eastern Michigan       13.05      1.95                      
13 12-14-2025 Home    W * *  22.12  81  77    1 236 (15-14) Detroit                 1.12      2.88                      
14 12-21-2025 Away    W      40.29  72  69    1  82 (13-16) Notre Dame             19.29    -16.29                      
15 12-29-2025 Away    L * *   1.01  55  77    1 254 (12-19) WI Milwaukee          -20.00     -2.00                      
16 01-01-2026 Home    L * *   2.87  54  72    1 205 (18-14) WI Green Bay          -18.14      0.14                      
17 01-04-2026 Home    W * *  15.64  74  71    1 313 (11-22) Cleveland St           -5.37      8.37                      
18 01-07-2026 Away    W * *  28.37  71  69    1 203 (15-16) Youngstown St           7.36     -5.36                      
19 01-11-2026 Away    W * *  33.88  79  74    1 161 (21-10) Robert Morris          12.87     -7.87                      
20 01-18-2026 Home    W * *  35.58 100  82    1 254 (12-19) WI Milwaukee           14.57      3.43                      
21 01-21-2026 Away    W * *  30.55  83  76    1 236 (15-14) Detroit                 9.54     -2.54                      
22 01-28-2026 Home    L * *  15.12  65  74    1 159 (16-15) Oakland                -5.89     -3.11                      
23 01-31-2026 Home    W * *  35.45  83  71    1 161 (21-10) Robert Morris          14.44     -2.44                      
24 02-04-2026 Home    L * *  -8.06  61  90    1 203 (15-16) Youngstown St         -29.07      0.07                      
25 02-07-2026 Away    L * *  24.88  68  73    1 153 (20-11) Wright St               3.88     -8.88                      
26 02-12-2026 Away    L * *   9.29  59  76    1 205 (18-14) WI Green Bay          -11.71     -5.29                      
27 02-15-2026 Home    W * *  17.77  83  78    1 314 ( 7-25) IUPUI                  -3.24      8.24                      
28 02-18-2026 Away    L * *  11.93  71  87    1 181 (18-13) N Kentucky             -9.07     -6.93                      
29 02-22-2026 Away    W * *  24.06  92  86    1 313 (11-22) Cleveland St            3.06      2.94                      
30 02-25-2026 Home    L * *  20.46  70  74    1 153 (20-11) Wright St              -0.55     -3.45                      
31 02-28-2026 Away    W * *  24.19  87  81    1 314 ( 7-25) IUPUI                   3.18      2.82                      
32 03-03-2026 Away    L * *  18.29  56  64    1 205 (18-14) WI Green Bay           -2.71     -5.29                      
      Averages              21.01  78.1 77.1

Best game:   40.29 = 3 point win over Notre Dame
Worst game:  -8.06 = 29 point loss to Youngstown St
Team stdev:  10.69