BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Fairfield

Class: 1 Class Rank: 261 Overall: (21-13) Overall Strength =   19.94
Conference: Metro Atlantic Record: (11-9) | District: 1-02 Record: (19-11)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Away    L      24.22  68  76    1 129 (12-20) Penn St                 4.20    -12.20                      
 2 11-08-2025 Away    W   *  36.29  74  53    1 326 (16-17) NJIT                   16.27      4.73                      
 3 11-10-2025 Away    L   *  18.57  59  82    1  52 (21-12) Seton Hall             -1.45    -21.55                      
 4 11-14-2025 Home    W   *  13.19  73  71 1  1 324 (12-21) Stonehill              -6.83      8.83                      
 5 11-16-2025 Home    W   *  15.09  85  82    1 316 (12-20) Loyola MD              -4.94      7.94                      
 6 11-22-2025 Away    W      34.18  97  83   ZZ  17 (15-17) Le Moyne               14.16     -0.16                      
 7 11-26-2025 Home    L      -6.27  77 106    1 180 (16-12) Columbia              -26.30     -2.70                      
 8 11-30-2025 Home    W   *  12.69  72  68    1 343 ( 9-21) New Hampshire          -7.33     11.33                      
 9 12-05-2025 Away    L * *  11.49  66  70    1 329 (12-20) Manhattan              -8.53      4.53                      
10 12-07-2025 Away    L   *  15.72  63  74    1 196 (23-11) Merrimack              -4.30     -6.70                      
11 12-14-2025 Home    W   *  30.71  73  65    1 177 (19-15) Monmouth NJ            10.69     -2.69                      
12 12-18-2025 Away    W   *  34.25  84  70    1 296 (18-12) Central Conn           14.23     -0.23                      
13 12-22-2025 Home    W      22.74 121  58   ZZ 336 ( 0- 2) City Col NY             2.72 *   60.28                      
14 12-29-2025 Home    L * *  13.77  66  70    1 250 (17-12) St Peter's             -6.25      2.25                      
15 01-02-2026 Away    L * *   9.77  81  85    1 336 (10-21) Canisius              -10.25      6.25                      
16 01-04-2026 Away    W * *  22.67  83  75    1 333 ( 8-22) Niagara                 2.65      5.35                      
17 01-09-2026 Home    W * *  12.17  68  62    1 350 ( 4-25) Rider                  -7.86     13.86                      
18 01-14-2026 Home    W * *  46.09  98  62    1 329 (12-20) Manhattan              26.07      9.93                      
19 01-17-2026 Away    L * *  11.92  67  82    1 194 (19-12) Marist                 -8.10     -6.90                      
20 01-19-2026 Away    L * *  19.24  77  85    1 206 (23-12) Siena                  -0.78     -7.22                      
21 01-22-2026 Home    W * *  10.27  62  61    1 333 ( 8-22) Niagara                -9.75     10.75                      
22 01-24-2026 Home    W * *  14.37  61  55    1 336 (10-21) Canisius               -5.65     11.65                      
23 01-30-2026 Away    W * *  24.23  71  70    1 252 (18-14) Ioan                    4.21     -3.21                      
24 02-01-2026 Home    L * *  12.76  65  72    1 220 (19-13) Qunnipiac              -7.27      0.27                      
25 02-05-2026 Away    W   *  24.76  92  87    1 294 (14-19) Sacred Heart            4.74      0.26                      
26 02-07-2026 Home    W * *  24.52  63  60    1 194 (19-12) Marist                  4.49     -1.49                      
27 02-15-2026 Away    L * *  14.18  74  83    1 250 (17-12) St Peter's             -5.84     -3.16                      
28 02-20-2026 Home    W   *  24.36  78  68    1 294 (14-19) Sacred Heart            4.34      5.66                      
29 02-22-2026 Away    W * *  31.16  85  79    1 220 (19-13) Qunnipiac              11.14     -5.14                      
30 02-27-2026 Home    W * *  35.83  72  58    1 206 (23-12) Siena                  15.81     -1.81                      
31 03-01-2026 Home    L * *  -7.01  47  69    1 279 (15-17) Mt St Mary's          -27.04      5.04                      
32 03-05-2026 Neutral W * *  23.79  71  60    1 329 (12-20) Manhattan               3.77      7.23                      
33 03-06-2026 Neutral W * *  39.48  74  55    1 250 (17-12) St Peter's             19.45     -0.45                      
34 03-08-2026 Neutral L * *   9.54  61  76    1 206 (23-12) Siena                 -10.49     -4.51                      
      Averages              20.02  74.4 71.5

Best game:   46.09 = 36 point win over Manhattan
Worst game:  -7.01 = 22 point loss to Mt St Mary's
Team stdev:  11.78