BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Fairfield

Class: 1 Class Rank: 274 Overall: (19-12) Overall Strength =   19.19
Conference: Metro Atlantic Record: (9-8) | District: 1-02 Record: (17-10)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Away    L      24.99  68  76    1 120 (12-17) Penn St                 5.71    -13.71                      
 2 11-08-2025 Away    W   *  36.08  74  53    1 322 (15-16) NJIT                   16.80      4.20                      
 3 11-10-2025 Away    L   *  18.01  59  82    1  55 (20-10) Seton Hall             -1.27    -21.73                      
 4 11-14-2025 Home    W   *  12.31  73  71 1  1 327 (11-20) Stonehill              -6.97      8.97                      
 5 11-16-2025 Home    W   *  14.91  85  82    1 315 (12-19) Loyola MD              -4.37      7.37                      
 6 11-22-2025 Away    W      34.36  97  83   ZZ  14 (15-16) Le Moyne               15.08     -1.08                      
 7 11-26-2025 Home    L      -6.21  77 106    1 175 (16-11) Columbia              -25.49     -3.51                      
 8 11-30-2025 Home    W   *  12.51  72  68    1 342 ( 9-20) New Hampshire          -6.77     10.77                      
 9 12-05-2025 Away    L * *  11.32  66  70    1 328 (12-19) Manhattan              -7.97      3.97                      
10 12-07-2025 Away    L   *  15.21  63  74    1 204 (21-10) Merrimack              -4.07     -6.93                      
11 12-14-2025 Home    W   *  29.96  73  65    1 184 (17-14) Monmouth NJ            10.68     -2.68                      
12 12-18-2025 Away    W   *  34.37  84  70    1 294 (18-11) Central Conn           15.09     -1.09                      
13 12-22-2025 Home    W      22.16 121  58   ZZ 336 ( 0- 2) City Col NY             2.88 *   60.12                      
14 12-29-2025 Home    L * *  14.07  66  70    1 243 (17-11) St Peter's             -5.21      1.21                      
15 01-02-2026 Away    L * *   9.37  81  85    1 337 (10-21) Canisius               -9.91      5.91                      
16 01-04-2026 Away    W * *  22.31  83  75    1 336 ( 8-22) Niagara                 3.03      4.97                      
17 01-09-2026 Home    W * *  11.76  68  62    1 351 ( 4-25) Rider                  -7.53     13.53                      
18 01-14-2026 Home    W * *  45.89  98  62    1 328 (12-19) Manhattan              26.61      9.39                      
19 01-17-2026 Away    L * *  11.61  67  82    1 195 (18-11) Marist                 -7.67     -7.33                      
20 01-19-2026 Away    L * *  17.58  77  85    1 213 (20-11) Siena                  -1.70     -6.30                      
21 01-22-2026 Home    W * *   9.89  62  61    1 336 ( 8-22) Niagara                -9.39     10.39                      
22 01-24-2026 Home    W * *  13.94  61  55    1 337 (10-21) Canisius               -5.34     11.34                      
23 01-30-2026 Away    W * *  24.34  71  70    1 247 (18-13) Ioan                    5.06     -4.06                      
24 02-01-2026 Home    L * *  12.33  65  72    1 221 (19-12) Qunnipiac              -6.95     -0.05                      
25 02-05-2026 Away    W   *  24.47  92  87    1 295 (13-18) Sacred Heart            5.19     -0.19                      
26 02-07-2026 Home    W * *  24.19  63  60    1 195 (18-11) Marist                  4.90     -1.90                      
27 02-15-2026 Away    L * *  14.50  74  83    1 243 (17-11) St Peter's             -4.79     -4.21                      
28 02-20-2026 Home    W   *  24.05  78  68    1 295 (13-18) Sacred Heart            4.76      5.24                      
29 02-22-2026 Away    W * *  30.76  85  79    1 221 (19-12) Qunnipiac              11.48     -5.48                      
30 02-27-2026 Home    W * *  34.15  72  58    1 213 (20-11) Siena                  14.87     -0.87                      
31 03-01-2026 Home    L * *  -7.48  47  69    1 285 (15-16) Mt St Mary's          -26.76      4.76                      
32 03/05/2026 Neutral   * *                   1 328 (12-19) Manhattan                         6.13            
      Averages              19.28  74.9 72.3

Best game:   45.89 = 36 point win over Manhattan
Worst game:  -7.48 = 22 point loss to Mt St Mary's
Team stdev:  11.63