BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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UMBC

Class: 1 Class Rank: 249 Conference: America East Record: (8-9) Overall: (18-14) Overall Strength =   17.38

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Away    L     9.14  67  89    1  97 ( 18- 10) Tulane                 -8.24    -13.76                      
  2 11-10-2022 Home    W    17.38  92  65   ZZ 119 (  0-  1) PSU York               -0.00 *   27.00                      
  3 11-14-2022 Home    L    -7.29  64  94    1 117 ( 19-  8) Princeton             -24.66     -5.34                      
  4 11-18-2022 Home    W    21.18  71  63    1 259 ( 10- 22) Lafayette               3.81      4.19                      
  5 11-20-2022 Home    W     8.97  78  76    1 335 ( 10- 22) Central Conn           -8.41     10.41                      
  6 11-22-2022 Away    L    25.19  72  76    1 119 ( 20- 12) UNC Greensboro          7.81    -11.81                      
  7 11-26-2022 Away    L    14.84  70  79    1 207 (  7- 24) Georgetown             -2.54     -6.46                      
  8 11-30-2022 Home    W    33.77 109  82    1 344 (  9- 22) Coppin St              16.39     10.61                      
  9 12-03-2022 Away    W    44.71  88  62    1 289 ( 16- 14) Lehigh                 27.33     -1.33                      
 10 12-06-2022 Away    W    19.61  73  66    1 346 (  7- 22) Columbia                2.23      4.77                      
 11 12-10-2022 Home    W    23.03  75  63    1 315 ( 15- 15) Morgan St               5.65      6.35                      
 12 12-13-2022 Away    W    18.61  72  69    1 324 ( 13- 20) Loyola MD               1.24      1.76                      
 13 12-18-2022 Home    W    26.98  78  62    1 309 ( 13- 19) William & Mary          9.60      6.40                      
 14 12-29-2022 Away    L    23.41  64  80    1  22 ( 20- 10) Maryland                6.03    -22.03                      
 15 01-01-2023 Home    L *   8.17  61  74    1 128 ( 21- 10) Vermont                -9.21     -3.79                      
 16 01-05-2023 Home    W *  15.23  92  83    1 341 (  8- 23) SUNY Albany            -2.15     11.15                      
 17 01-08-2023 Away    W *  31.49  81  73    1 214 ( 17- 13) Bryant                 14.11     -6.11                      
 18 01-14-2023 Home    W *  19.27  85  77    1 284 ( 13- 17) Maine                   1.89      6.11                      
 19 01-16-2023 Home    W    22.83  87  62    1 362 (  5- 23) Hartford                5.45     19.55                      
 20 01-18-2023 Away    L *  22.19  75  81    1 131 ( 25-  7) MA Lowell               4.82    -10.82                      
 21 01-21-2023 Home    W *  22.15  80  69    1 295 ( 15- 14) New Hampshire           4.77      6.23                      
 22 01-25-2023 Away    L *  10.35  65  69    1 328 (  7- 23) NJIT                   -7.03      3.03                      
 23 01-28-2023 Away    L *  21.92  68  74    1 128 ( 21- 10) Vermont                 4.54    -10.54                      
 24 02-01-2023 Home    W *  24.18  69  55    1 308 ( 13- 17) Binghamton              6.81      7.19                      
 25 02-04-2023 Away    L * -16.98  49  84    1 284 ( 13- 17) Maine                 -34.36     -0.64                      
 26 02-08-2023 Home    W *  16.60  72  63    1 328 (  7- 23) NJIT                   -0.78      9.78                      
 27 02-11-2023 Home    W *  19.74  76  73    1 214 ( 17- 13) Bryant                  2.36      0.64                      
 28 02-15-2023 Away    L *   5.98  74  81    1 341 (  8- 23) SUNY Albany           -11.40      4.40                      
 29 02-18-2023 Away    L *   8.90  66  75    1 295 ( 15- 14) New Hampshire          -8.48     -0.52                      
 30 02-22-2023 Home    L *  16.44  70  75    1 131 ( 25-  7) MA Lowell              -0.94     -4.06                      
 31 02-28-2023 Away    W *  19.93  70  67 1  1 308 ( 13- 17) Binghamton              2.56      0.44                      
 32 03-04-2023 Home    L *   8.18  65  67    1 308 ( 13- 17) Binghamton             -9.19      7.19                      
      Averages              17.38  74.3 72.8

Best game:   44.71 = 26 point win over Lehigh
Worst game: -16.98 = 35 point loss to Maine
Team stdev:  11.32