BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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UCF

Class: 1 Class Rank: 64 Conference: American Athletic Record: (7-10) Overall: (16-13) Overall Strength =   32.00

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    L    16.05  95  98 2  1 161 ( 26-  7) UNC Asheville         -15.71     12.71                      
  2 11-11-2022 Home    W    30.90  68  54    1 211 (  9- 22) Florida St             -0.86     14.86                      
  3 11-14-2022 Home    W    46.25  70  37    1 257 ( 16- 13) W Illinois             14.49     18.51                      
  4 11-18-2022 Neutral W    38.17  60  56 1  1  39 ( 16- 14) Oklahoma St             6.41     -2.41                      
  5 11-20-2022 Neutral W    36.84  57  50    1  83 ( 23-  9) Santa Clara             5.08      1.92                      
  6 11-23-2022 Home    W    25.05  76  56    1 348 (  5- 27) Evansville             -6.71 *   26.71                      
  7 11-27-2022 Home    L    28.12  64  66    1  36 ( 24-  6) Miami FL               -3.64      1.64                      
  8 12-04-2022 Home    W    23.83  80  77 1  1 144 ( 21- 11) Samford                -7.93     10.93                      
  9 12-11-2022 Home    W    46.75  75  49    1 155 ( 15- 15) Tarleton St            15.00     11.00                      
 10 12-14-2022 Away    W    41.43  72  61    1 106 ( 11- 20) Mississippi             9.67      1.33                      
 11 12-17-2022 Neutral L    30.21  66  68    1  62 ( 23-  8) Missouri               -1.55     -0.45                      
 12 12-21-2022 Home    W    33.49  73  58    1 182 ( 17- 13) Stetson                 1.73     13.27                      
 13 12-28-2022 Home    W *  30.44  52  45    1 110 ( 15- 14) Wichita St             -1.32      8.32                      
 14 12-31-2022 Away    L *  42.18  65  71    1   3 ( 28-  2) Houston                10.42    -16.42                      
 15 01-04-2023 Away    W *  27.45  64  61    1 196 ( 15- 15) East Carolina          -4.31      7.31                      
 16 01-08-2023 Home    W *  50.18  85  53    1 174 ( 10- 20) SMU                    18.42     13.58                      
 17 01-11-2023 Home    W *  33.74 107 104 2  1  33 ( 23-  7) Memphis                 1.99      1.01                      
 18 01-14-2023 Away    L *  23.14  69  77    1  97 ( 18- 10) Tulane                 -8.62      0.62                      
 19 01-21-2023 Away    L *  14.53  72  85    1 140 ( 14- 16) South Florida         -17.23      4.23                      
 20 01-25-2023 Home    L *  30.42  71  82    1   3 ( 28-  2) Houston                -1.33     -9.67                      
 21 01-28-2023 Home    L *  15.93  70  77 1  1 113 ( 16- 14) Temple                -15.83      8.83                      
 22 02-04-2023 Away    L *  26.30  64  73    1  65 ( 19- 11) Cincinnati             -5.46     -3.54                      
 23 02-08-2023 Away    W *  35.19  72  67    1 110 ( 15- 14) Wichita St              3.43      1.57                      
 24 02-11-2023 Home    W *  54.09  96  52    1 301 (  5- 24) Tulsa                  22.33     21.67                      
 25 02-16-2023 Away    L *  36.49  63  64    1  33 ( 23-  7) Memphis                 4.74     -5.74                      
 26 02-19-2023 Home    L *  26.55  71  73    1  65 ( 19- 11) Cincinnati             -5.21      3.21                      
 27 02-22-2023 Home    L *  13.78  75  82    1 140 ( 14- 16) South Florida         -17.98     10.98                      
 28 02-26-2023 Away    W *  35.84  68  49    1 301 (  5- 24) Tulsa                   4.08     14.92                      
 29 03-02-2023 Away    L *  27.68  55  57    1 113 ( 16- 14) Temple                 -4.08      2.08                      
 30 03/05/2023 Home      *                   1 196 ( 15- 15) East Carolina                    14.30            
      Averages              31.76  71.6 65.6

Best game:   54.09 = 44 point win over Tulsa
Worst game:  13.78 = 7 point loss to South Florida
Team stdev:  10.37