BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Troy

Class: 1 Class Rank: 125 Conference: Sunbelt Record: (12-8) Overall: (20-13) Overall Strength =   25.32

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    25.32  87  67   ZZ  33 (  0-  1) Montevallo             -0.00     20.00                      
  2 11-10-2022 Home    W    25.32  96  42   ZZ 255 (  0-  1) MS Women                0.00 *   54.00                      
  3 11-14-2022 Away    W    30.65  79  72    1 211 (  9- 22) Florida St              5.33      1.67                      
  4 11-17-2022 Neutral W    31.68  73  54    1 320 ( 17- 16) Merrimack               6.37     12.63                      
  5 11-18-2022 Neutral L    18.98  76  78    1 199 ( 18- 13) St Thomas MN           -6.34      4.34                      
  6 11-19-2022 Away    W    37.70  73  62    1 157 ( 16- 13) Montana                12.38     -1.38                      
  7 11-22-2022 Home    W    25.32 118  61   ZZ 273 (  0-  1) Southern N.O.          -0.00 *   57.00                      
  8 11-28-2022 Away    L    27.81  61  74    1  17 ( 19- 12) Arkansas                2.49    -15.49                      
  9 12-03-2022 Away    L    14.53  72  78    1 241 ( 19- 14) SIUE                  -10.79      4.79                      
 10 12-05-2022 Away    L    34.35  55  60    1  20 ( 24-  6) San Diego St            9.03    -14.03                      
 11 12-10-2022 Home    W    34.02  87  64    1 288 ( 16- 17) Tennessee Tech          8.70     14.30                      
 12 12-17-2022 Away    W    25.81  77  71    1 264 ( 18- 13) SE Louisiana            0.50      5.50                      
 13 12-21-2022 Home    L    13.11  79  82    1 227 ( 14- 19) Mercer                -12.20      9.20                      
 14 12-29-2022 Away    L *  26.92  60  64    1 100 ( 25-  7) Southern Miss           1.61     -5.61                      
 15 12-31-2022 Away    W *  27.89  55  52    1 184 ( 16- 18) Texas St                2.57      0.43                      
 16 01-05-2023 Home    W *  26.27  78  71    1 164 ( 19- 12) Old Dominion            0.95      6.05                      
 17 01-07-2023 Home    W *  23.89  66  54    1 281 ( 13- 20) Arkansas St            -1.42     13.42                      
 18 01-12-2023 Away    W *  30.86  65  53    1 269 ( 10- 21) Georgia St              5.54      6.46                      
 19 01-14-2023 Away    L *  12.74  45  58    1 175 ( 16- 16) Appalachian St        -12.57     -0.43                      
 20 01-19-2023 Home    L *  23.88  87  89 1  1  91 ( 22- 10) James Madison          -1.43     -0.57                      
 21 01-21-2023 Home    W *  36.06  77  53    1 286 ( 11- 21) ULM                    10.74     13.26                      
 22 01-26-2023 Away    L *  15.99  57  72    1 102 ( 24-  7) Louisiana              -9.33     -5.67                      
 23 01-28-2023 Away    L *  13.29  60  77    1 104 ( 18- 15) South Alabama         -12.03     -4.97                      
 24 02-02-2023 Home    L *  15.17  65  74    1 100 ( 25-  7) Southern Miss         -10.15      1.15                      
 25 02-04-2023 Home    W *  22.14  68  64    1 184 ( 16- 18) Texas St               -3.18      7.18                      
 26 02-09-2023 Home    W *  27.54  61  57    1 104 ( 18- 15) South Alabama           2.22      1.78                      
 27 02-11-2023 Home    W *  39.24  80  65    1 102 ( 24-  7) Louisiana              13.92      1.08                      
 28 02-16-2023 Away    W *  23.64  67  62    1 281 ( 13- 20) Arkansas St            -1.67      6.67                      
 29 02-18-2023 Away    L *  23.91  78  88    1  79 ( 24-  8) Marshall               -1.41     -8.59                      
 30 02-22-2023 Away    W *  22.81  82  78 1  1 286 ( 11- 21) ULM                    -2.51      6.51                      
 31 02-24-2023 Home    W *  33.10  95  74    1 291 ( 11- 20) Coastal Car             7.78     13.22                      
 32 03-02-2023 Neutral W *  19.27  63  59    1 281 ( 13- 20) Arkansas St            -6.05     10.05                      
 33 03-04-2023 Neutral L *  26.26  72  75    1  91 ( 22- 10) James Madison           0.94     -3.94                      
      Averages              25.32  73.2 66.8

Best game:   39.24 = 15 point win over Louisiana
Worst game:  12.74 = 13 point loss to Appalachian St
Team stdev:   7.21