BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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PFW

Class: 1 Class Rank: 234 Conference: Horizon Record: (9-12) Overall: (17-15) Overall Strength =   18.25

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Away    L    17.83  56  75    1  47 ( 17- 13) Michigan               -0.42    -18.58                      
  2 11-12-2022 Home    W    18.78  81  76    1 241 ( 19- 14) SIUE                    0.54      4.46                      
  3 11-14-2022 Home    W    18.25 111  31   ZZ 337 (  0-  1) Manchester              0.00 *   80.00                      
  4 11-18-2022 Away    L    29.17  52  60    1  41 ( 20- 10) Northwestern           10.93    -18.93                      
  5 11-22-2022 Neutral W    19.57  74  67    1 321 (  8- 23) Eastern Michigan        1.32      5.68                      
  6 11-23-2022 Neutral L    15.55  58  70    1 100 ( 25-  7) Southern Miss          -2.70     -9.30                      
  7 11-27-2022 Home    W    18.25 106  41   ZZ 322 (  0-  1) Bluffton               -0.00 *   65.00                      
  8 12-01-2022 Home    L *   8.10  66  75    1 206 ( 14- 19) Detroit               -10.14      1.14                      
  9 12-03-2022 Home    W *  18.36  79  73 1  1 282 ( 13- 19) Oakland                 0.11      5.89                      
 10 12-07-2022 Away    W    41.40  89  68    1 255 ( 19- 16) SE Missouri St         23.16     -2.16                      
 11 12-10-2022 Away    W    31.15  65  61    1 149 ( 17- 15) Missouri St            12.90     -8.90                      
 12 12-19-2022 Home    W    27.28  85  68    1 311 ( 13- 19) TX A&M Commerce         9.03      7.97                      
 13 12-20-2022 Home    W    36.27  83  59    1 275 ( 16- 16) Southern Indiana       18.02      5.98                      
 14 12-29-2022 Away    L *  16.23  70  75    1 240 ( 16- 17) Robert Morris          -2.02     -2.98                      
 15 12-31-2022 Away    W *  34.03  76  71    1 121 ( 24-  8) Youngstown St          15.79    -10.79                      
 16 01-05-2023 Home    W *  10.10  79  69    1 361 (  3- 29) WI Green Bay           -8.14     18.14                      
 17 01-07-2023 Home    L *  11.49  70  74    1 228 ( 21- 10) WI Milwaukee           -6.75      2.75                      
 18 01-12-2023 Away    W *  23.44  70  55    1 360 (  5- 27) IUPUI                   5.20      9.80                      
 19 01-16-2023 Home    L *   5.82  60  72    1 191 ( 20- 12) Cleveland St          -12.43      0.43                      
 20 01-19-2023 Away    W *  32.22  88  80    1 189 ( 18- 15) Wright St              13.97     -5.97                      
 21 01-21-2023 Away    L *   4.46  54  74    1 187 ( 20- 12) N Kentucky            -13.79     -6.21                      
 22 01-25-2023 Home    W *   7.69  81  75    1 360 (  5- 27) IUPUI                 -10.55     16.55                      
 23 01-27-2023 Away    L *  19.57  74  79    1 191 ( 20- 12) Cleveland St            1.32     -6.32                      
 24 02-02-2023 Away    W *  28.11  82  73    1 282 ( 13- 19) Oakland                 9.86     -0.86                      
 25 02-04-2023 Away    L *  -9.15  52  85    1 206 ( 14- 19) Detroit               -27.39     -5.61                      
 26 02-10-2023 Home    L *  13.28  72  81    1 121 ( 24-  8) Youngstown St          -4.96     -4.04                      
 27 02-12-2023 Home    L *   7.48  64  71    1 240 ( 16- 17) Robert Morris         -10.77      3.77                      
 28 02-17-2023 Home    L *   4.71  50  63    1 187 ( 20- 12) N Kentucky            -13.54      0.54                      
 29 02-19-2023 Home    W *  19.47  77  75    1 189 ( 18- 15) Wright St               1.22      0.78                      
 30 02-23-2023 Away    L *  20.24  94  96    1 228 ( 21- 10) WI Milwaukee            2.00     -4.00                      
 31 02-25-2023 Away    W *  23.85  78  61    1 361 (  3- 29) WI Green Bay            5.61     11.39                      
 32 02-28-2023 Away    L *  10.85  68  81    1 206 ( 14- 19) Detroit                -7.39     -5.61                      
      Averages              18.25  73.9 69.8

Best game:   41.40 = 21 point win over SE Missouri St
Worst game:  -9.15 = 33 point loss to Detroit
Team stdev:  10.85