BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Fairfield

Class: 1 Class Rank: 248 Conference: Metro Atlantic Record: (9-11) Overall: (13-17) Overall Strength =   17.42

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Away    L    20.41  59  71    1  88 ( 18- 13) Wake Forest             2.99    -14.99                      
  2 11-11-2022 Away    L     5.90  71  83    1 295 ( 15- 14) New Hampshire         -11.52     -0.48                      
  3 11-15-2022 Away    L    27.61  65  78    1  18 ( 23-  8) Xavier                 10.19    -23.19                      
  4 11-18-2022 Away    L    -0.15  52  68    1 322 ( 15- 13) Wagner                -17.58      1.58                      
  5 11-25-2022 Neutral W    28.49  74  69    1 154 ( 20- 11) Towson                 11.07     -6.07                      
  6 11-26-2022 Neutral L    17.49  58  60    1 227 ( 14- 19) Mercer                  0.07     -2.07                      
  7 11-27-2022 Neutral W    15.43  63  56    1 348 (  5- 27) Evansville             -2.00      9.00                      
  8 12-01-2022 Away    L *  13.78  53  56    1 302 ( 12- 17) Manhattan              -3.64      0.64                      
  9 12-03-2022 Home    W *  21.71  67  55    1 317 ( 12- 17) St Peter's              4.29      7.71                      
 10 12-07-2022 Home    W     9.91  61  59    1 327 ( 16- 17) Sacred Heart           -7.51      9.51                      
 11 12-12-2022 Home    L    15.39  64  77    1  70 ( 20-  7) Yale                   -2.03    -10.97                      
 12 12-18-2022 Home    W    17.42  86  45   ZZ 215 (  0-  1) Coast Guard            -0.00 *   41.00                      
 13 12-30-2022 Home    W *  29.41  73  54    1 304 ( 10- 19) Marist                 11.99      7.01                      
 14 01-01-2023 Home    L *   8.03  61  70    1 208 ( 17- 14) Siena                  -9.39      0.39                      
 15 01-06-2023 Home    L *   5.18  69  77 1  1 260 ( 15- 14) Niagara               -12.25      4.25                      
 16 01-13-2023 Away    L *  28.19  69  75    1  75 ( 24-  7) Ioan                   10.77    -16.77                      
 17 01-15-2023 Away    W *  20.46  56  52    1 317 ( 12- 17) St Peter's              3.04      0.96                      
 18 01-20-2023 Home    W *  22.36  67  58    1 256 ( 10- 19) Canisius                4.93      4.07                      
 19 01-22-2023 Away    W *  33.78  62  52    1 208 ( 17- 14) Siena                  16.36     -6.36                      
 20 01-26-2023 Away    W *  22.16  63  60    1 276 ( 12- 19) Mt St Mary's            4.74     -1.74                      
 21 01-29-2023 Home    L *   8.31  69  78 1  1 203 ( 16- 13) Rider                  -9.12      0.12                      
 22 02-03-2023 Away    L *  10.51  51  66    1 169 ( 20- 11) Qunnipiac              -6.91     -8.09                      
 23 02-05-2023 Home    L *  18.44  61  70    1  75 ( 24-  7) Ioan                    1.02    -10.02                      
 24 02-10-2023 Away    L *  23.06  57  58    1 203 ( 16- 13) Rider                   5.64     -6.64                      
 25 02-12-2023 Home    W *  16.41  76  72 1  1 276 ( 12- 19) Mt St Mary's           -1.01      5.01                      
 26 02-17-2023 Away    W *  26.16  70  61    1 304 ( 10- 19) Marist                  8.74      0.26                      
 27 02-19-2023 Home    L *   9.03  72  73    1 302 ( 12- 17) Manhattan              -8.39      7.39                      
 28 02-24-2023 Away    L *  11.93  68  76    1 260 ( 15- 14) Niagara                -5.50     -2.50                      
 29 02-26-2023 Away    L *   7.11  51  64    1 256 ( 10- 19) Canisius              -10.32     -2.68                      
 30 03-02-2023 Home    W *  28.76  92  82    1 169 ( 20- 11) Qunnipiac              11.34     -1.34                      
      Averages              17.42  65.3 65.8

Best game:   33.78 = 10 point win over Siena
Worst game:  -0.15 = 16 point loss to Wagner
Team stdev:   8.65