BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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ETSU

Class: 1 Class Rank: 237 Conference: Southern Record: (8-11) Overall: (12-20) Overall Strength =   18.01

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    18.01  88  66   ZZ  89 (  0-  1) Emory & Henry          -0.00     22.00                      
  2 11-11-2022 Neutral W    24.31  77  64    1 337 (  8- 24) Elon                    6.30      6.70                      
  3 11-13-2022 Neutral L    23.61  77  81    1 102 ( 24-  7) Louisiana               5.60     -9.60                      
  4 11-17-2022 Home    W    16.40  84  76    1 331 ( 10- 21) Ark Little Rock        -1.61      9.61                      
  5 11-20-2022 Away    L    10.77  62  69    1 288 ( 16- 17) Tennessee Tech         -7.24      0.24                      
  6 11-23-2022 Home    L    14.99  70  74    1 175 ( 16- 16) Appalachian St         -3.02     -0.98                      
  7 11-27-2022 Away    L    11.57  47  62    1 159 ( 16- 15) Georgia                -6.44     -8.56                      
  8 11-30-2022 Home    W    18.01  84  56   ZZ 121 (  0-  1) Mars Hill              -0.00 *   28.00                      
  9 12-03-2022 Home    L    11.98  61  63    1 243 ( 13- 18) Jacksonville St        -6.03      4.03                      
 10 12-11-2022 Away    L    14.90  57  61    1 262 ( 21- 11) Morehead St            -3.12     -0.88                      
 11 12-14-2022 Home    L    13.67  75  78    1 216 ( 17- 15) Queens NC              -4.34      1.34                      
 12 12-17-2022 Home    L    18.05  73  74    1 161 ( 26-  7) UNC Asheville           0.04     -1.04                      
 13 12-21-2022 Away    L    23.80  68  72    1 135 ( 13- 18) LSU                     5.79     -9.79                      
 14 12-29-2022 Away    W *  25.25  73  71    1 225 ( 17- 15) Wofford                 7.23     -5.23                      
 15 12-31-2022 Away    W *  25.66  64  50    1 353 (  7- 25) VMI                     7.65      6.35                      
 16 01-04-2023 Home    L *   5.06  60  71    1 242 ( 18- 14) W Carolina            -12.95      1.95                      
 17 01-07-2023 Home    L *  11.83  56  70    1  89 ( 25-  7) Furman                 -6.18     -7.82                      
 18 01-11-2023 Away    W *  37.43  96  74    1 325 ( 10- 22) Citadel                19.41      2.59                      
 19 01-14-2023 Home    L *   3.11  55  68    1 227 ( 14- 19) Mercer                -14.90      1.90                      
 20 01-18-2023 Home    L *  10.83  59  69    1 144 ( 21- 11) Samford                -7.19     -2.81                      
 21 01-21-2023 Away    W *  41.45  78  62    1 179 ( 17- 16) Chattanooga            23.44     -7.44                      
 22 01-25-2023 Away    L *  18.86  67  71 1  1 227 ( 14- 19) Mercer                  0.85     -4.85                      
 23 01-28-2023 Home    L *   9.70  64  73    1 179 ( 17- 16) Chattanooga            -8.31     -0.69                      
 24 02-01-2023 Home    W *  41.50  77  52    1 225 ( 17- 15) Wofford                23.48      1.52                      
 25 02-04-2023 Away    L *  16.58  62  73    1 144 ( 21- 11) Samford                -1.44     -9.56                      
 26 02-07-2023 Away    L *   3.19  65  91    1 119 ( 20- 12) UNC Greensboro        -14.82    -11.18                      
 27 02-10-2023 Home    W *   8.91  69  65    1 353 (  7- 25) VMI                    -9.10     13.10                      
 28 02-15-2023 Away    L *  20.82  66  68    1 242 ( 18- 14) W Carolina              2.80     -4.80                      
 29 02-19-2023 Away    L *  28.58  79  83    1  89 ( 25-  7) Furman                 10.57    -14.57                      
 30 02-22-2023 Home    W *  16.68  78  70    1 325 ( 10- 22) Citadel                -1.34      9.34                      
 31 02-25-2023 Home    W *  23.44  63  62    1 119 ( 20- 12) UNC Greensboro          5.43     -4.43                      
 32 03-04-2023 Neutral L *   7.44  57  69    1 242 ( 18- 14) W Carolina            -10.57     -1.43                      
      Averages              18.01  69.1 69.0

Best game:   41.50 = 25 point win over Wofford
Worst game:   3.11 = 13 point loss to Mercer
Team stdev:   9.81