BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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California

Class: 1 Class Rank: 246 Conference: Pacific 12 Record: (2-18) Overall: (3-28) Overall Strength =   17.73

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    L    10.23  65  75    1 151 ( 18- 13) UC Davis               -7.71     -2.29                      
  2 11-11-2022 Home    L    25.09  54  63    1  19 ( 23-  8) Kansas St               7.15    -16.15                      
  3 11-15-2022 Away    L    17.17  62  64    1 273 ( 10- 20) UC San Diego           -0.77     -1.23                      
  4 11-18-2022 Home    L     5.73  66  74    1 265 ( 15- 16) Southern Univ         -12.21      4.21                      
  5 11-21-2022 Home    L    14.14  55  59    1 184 ( 16- 18) Texas St               -3.80     -0.20                      
  6 11-25-2022 Neutral L    25.75  48  59    1  16 ( 20- 11) TCU                     7.81    -18.81                      
  7 11-26-2022 Neutral L    23.79  59  67    1  67 ( 22-  9) Clemson                 5.85    -13.85                      
  8 11-30-2022 Home    L *  16.22  51  66    1  37 ( 22-  9) Southern Cal           -1.72    -13.28                      
  9 12-04-2022 Away    L *  30.56  68  81    1   7 ( 25-  6) Arizona                12.62 *  -25.62                      
 10 12-07-2022 Home    L    19.69  48  50    1 126 ( 22-  9) E Washington            1.74     -3.74                      
 11 12-10-2022 Home    L    -0.25  58  82    1 105 ( 14- 17) Butler                -18.19     -5.81                      
 12 12-18-2022 Away    L    24.21  62  71    1  83 ( 23-  9) Santa Clara             6.27    -15.27                      
 13 12-21-2022 Home    W    37.01  73  51    1 232 ( 11- 20) UT Arlington           19.07      2.93                      
 14 12-29-2022 Home    L *  14.48  43  58    1  55 ( 17- 14) Utah                   -3.46    -11.54                      
 15 12-31-2022 Home    W *  33.53  80  76    1  53 ( 16- 15) Colorado               15.59    -11.59                      
 16 01-06-2023 Home    W *  48.76  92  70    1  85 ( 13- 18) Stanford               30.82     -8.82                      
 17 01-11-2023 Away    L *  21.11  51  66    1  54 ( 16- 15) Washington St           3.17    -18.17                      
 18 01-14-2023 Away    L *  28.34  78  81 1  1  94 ( 16- 15) Washington             10.40    -13.40                      
 19 01-18-2023 Home    L *   1.76  58  87    1  40 ( 18- 13) Oregon                -16.18    -12.82                      
 20 01-22-2023 Home    L *  -2.31  48  68    1 197 ( 11- 20) Oregon St             -20.25      0.25                      
 21 01-28-2023 Away    L *   4.51  46  75    1  85 ( 13- 18) Stanford              -13.43    -15.57                      
 22 02-02-2023 Away    L *  23.28  46  59    1  53 ( 16- 15) Colorado                5.34    -18.34                      
 23 02-05-2023 Away    L *  21.23  46  61    1  55 ( 17- 14) Utah                    3.29    -18.29                      
 24 02-09-2023 Home    L *  13.81  62  85    1   7 ( 25-  6) Arizona                -4.13    -18.87                      
 25 02-11-2023 Home    L *  20.96  62  70 1  1  58 ( 20- 11) Arizona St              3.02    -11.02                      
 26 02-16-2023 Away    L *   0.97  60  97    1  37 ( 22-  9) Southern Cal          -16.97    -20.03                      
 27 02-18-2023 Away    L *  11.50  43  78    1   2 ( 27-  4) UCLA                   -6.44 *  -28.56                      
 28 02-23-2023 Home    L *  15.59  56  65    1  94 ( 16- 15) Washington             -2.35     -6.65                      
 29 02-25-2023 Home    L *  23.36  57  63    1  54 ( 16- 15) Washington St           5.42    -11.42                      
 30 03-02-2023 Away    L *   4.51  51  84    1  40 ( 18- 13) Oregon                -13.43    -19.57                      
 31 03-04-2023 Away    L *  21.44  66  69    1 197 ( 11- 20) Oregon St               3.50     -6.50                      
      Averages              17.94  58.5 70.1

Best game:   48.76 = 22 point win over Stanford
Worst game:  -2.31 = 20 point loss to Oregon St
Team stdev:  11.64