BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Troy
Class: 1A Class Rank: 114 Overall: (3-3) Overall Strength = 136.65
Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (1-1) | District: 1A-01 Record: (2-3)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09-05-2026 Home W * 136.43 24 21 1A 129 (1-5) Sam Houston St -1.16 10.03 4.16
2 09-12-2026 Home W 122.05 34 17 1B 86 (4-3) Alabama St -15.53 * -1.37 32.53
3 09-19-2026 Away L * 156.88 17 27 1A 14 (5-2) Missouri 19.29 * -29.82 -29.29
4 09-26-2026 Away L * 131.51 10 21 1A 104 (2-4) Utah St -6.08 -1.77 -4.92
5 10-06-2026 Home W * * 151.11 55 34 1A 131 (1-5) Southern Miss 13.53 14.33 7.47
6 10-17-2026 Away L * * 127.54 6 33 1A 64 (5-2) Louisiana-Lafayette -10.05 -9.49 -16.95
7 10/24/2026 Home * * 1A 134 (0-6) Louisiana-Monroe 14.62
8 10/29/2026 Away * * 1A 40 (7-0) James Madison -27.46
9 11/07/2026 Home * * 1A 68 (4-2) Louisiana Tech -11.58
10 11/14/2026 Away * * 1A 81 (4-2) South Alabama -12.89
11 11/21/2026 Home * * 1A 77 (3-4) Georgia Southern -8.84
12 11/28/2026 Away * * 1A 95 (3-4) Arkansas St -8.66
Averages 137.59 24.3 25.5
Best game: 156.88 = 10 point loss to Missouri
Worst game: 122.05 = 17 point win over Alabama St
Team stdev: 13.68