BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Shepherd
Class: 2 Class Rank: 26 Overall: (5-2) Overall Strength = 107.24
Conference: Pennsylvania State Athletic Conference Record: (4-2) | District: 2-01 Record: (5-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09-05-2026 Home W * 106.20 34 26 2 48 (4-3) Frostburg St -0.51 -0.19 8.51
2 09-12-2026 Home W * * 106.91 45 28 2 85 (0-7) Gannon 0.20 5.73 16.80
3 09-19-2026 Home W * * 116.62 28 7 2 59 (4-3) California PA 9.91 -8.59 11.09
4 09-26-2026 Away L * * 114.91 18 28 2 4 (7-0) Kutztown 8.20 -20.35 -18.20
5 10-03-2026 Home W * * 103.52 35 7 2 122 (0-7) Millersville -3.19 * 33.58 31.19
6 10-10-2026 Away W * * 112.05 28 14 2 84 (4-3) West Chester 5.34 15.85 8.66
7 10-17-2026 Home L * * 86.77 21 27 2 73 (5-2) Bloomsburg -19.94 22.45 13.94
8 10/24/2026 Away * * 2 15 (6-1) East Stroudsburg -8.70
9 10/31/2026 Away * * 2 101 (2-5) Shippensburg 16.58
10 11/07/2026 Home * * 2 149 (0-7) Lackawanna 45.59
11 11/14/2026 Away * * 2 40 (5-2) Indiana PA 2.92
Averages 106.71 29.9 19.6
Best game: 116.62 = 21 point win over California PA
Worst game: 86.77 = 6 point loss to Bloomsburg
Team stdev: 10.02