BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Michigan
Class: 1A Class Rank: 48 Overall: (4-2) Overall Strength = 157.35
Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (1-2) | District: 1A-01 Record: (4-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09-05-2026 Home W * 145.92 13 12 1A 83 (5-2) Western Michigan -10.95 8.98 11.95
2 09-12-2026 Home W * 168.10 17 10 1A 37 (3-3) Oklahoma 11.23 -15.13 -4.23
3 09-19-2026 Home W * 154.45 52 17 1A 137 (1-6) UTEP -2.42 * 24.42 37.42
4 09-26-2026 Home L * * 163.90 19 20 1A 34 (5-1) Iowa 7.04 -0.27 -8.04
5 10-03-2026 Away L * * 148.13 14 20 1A 73 (4-2) Minnesota -8.74 13.12 2.74
6 10-17-2026 Home W * * 160.72 21 18 1A 52 (3-4) Penn State 3.85 4.20 -0.85
7 10/24/2026 Home * * 1A 7 (6-1) Indiana -18.62
8 10/31/2026 Away * * 1A 101 (2-4) Rutgers 14.78
9 11/07/2026 Home * * 1A 59 (2-5) Michigan St 6.74
10 11/14/2026 Away * * 1A 21 (4-2) Oregon -14.97
11 11/21/2026 Home * * 1A 9 (6-0) UCLA -17.38
12 11/28/2026 Away * * 1A 4 (6-1) Ohio State -25.69
Averages 156.87 22.7 16.2
Best game: 168.10 = 7 point win over Oklahoma
Worst game: 145.92 = 1 point win over Western Michigan
Team stdev: 8.86