BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Louisville
Class: 1A Class Rank: 20 Overall: (2-1) Overall Strength = 167.96
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (1-0) | District: 1A-01 Record: (1-1)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09-06-2026 Neutral L * 166.06 38 41 1A 9 (3-0) Mississippi 2.91 -4.69 -5.91
2 09-11-2026 Home W 153.53 59 13 1B 97 (2-2) Villanova -9.62 * 24.89 55.62
3 09-19-2026 Home W * * 169.85 41 31 1A 42 (2-1) SMU 6.70 -6.05 3.30
4 09/26/2026 Home * * 1A 50 (2-1) Wake Forest 12.46
5 10/03/2026 Away * * 1A 58 (1-2) North Carolina St 8.03
6 10/09/2026 Home * * 1A 52 (1-2) Florida St 12.69
7 10/17/2026 Away * * 1A 67 (1-2) Syracuse 12.72
8 10/31/2026 Home * * 1A 112 (1-2) Stanford 36.30
9 11/07/2026 Away * * 1A 98 (1-2) Georgia Tech 24.59
10 11/14/2026 Away * * 1A 76 (2-1) North Carolina 14.48
11 11/21/2026 Home * * 1A 13 (3-0) Pittsburgh 0.38
12 11/28/2026 Away * 1A 18 (2-1) Kentucky -3.72
Averages 163.15 46.0 28.3
Best game: 169.85 = 10 point win over SMU
Worst game: 153.53 = 46 point win over Villanova
Team stdev: 8.54