BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Louisville
Class: 1A Class Rank: 29 Overall: (4-3) Overall Strength = 165.08
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (3-2) | District: 1A-01 Record: (3-3)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09-06-2026 Neutral L * 169.01 38 41 1A 10 (5-1) Mississippi 5.31 -4.69 -8.31
2 09-11-2026 Home W 155.40 59 13 1B 80 (3-4) Villanova -8.30 * 24.89 54.30
3 09-19-2026 Home W * * 162.40 41 31 1A 56 (5-1) SMU -1.30 -6.05 11.30
4 09-26-2026 Home L * * 163.92 27 30 1A 20 (6-1) Wake Forest 0.22 13.02 -3.22
5 10-03-2026 Away L * * 151.58 28 31 1A 85 (3-3) North Carolina St -12.12 1.26 9.12
6 10-09-2026 Home W * * 181.55 44 20 1A 38 (3-4) Florida St 17.86 -7.46 6.14
7 10-17-2026 Away W * * 162.03 34 26 1A 74 (2-4) Syracuse -1.67 10.00 9.67
8 10/31/2026 Home * * 1A 97 (3-4) Stanford 25.99
9 11/07/2026 Away * * 1A 75 (2-4) Georgia Tech 13.90
10 11/14/2026 Away * * 1A 36 (4-2) North Carolina -0.67
11 11/21/2026 Home * * 1A 42 (5-2) Pittsburgh 7.70
12 11/28/2026 Away * 1A 19 (6-1) Kentucky -8.20
Averages 163.70 38.7 27.4
Best game: 181.55 = 24 point win over Florida St
Worst game: 151.58 = 3 point loss to North Carolina St
Team stdev: 9.72