BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Dayton
Class: 1B Class Rank: 96 Overall: (3-0) Overall Strength = 107.41
Conference: Pioneer Football League Record: (0-0) | District: 1B-01 Record: (1-0)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08-29-2026 Home W 105.27 43 20 2 118 (0-4) Fairmont St 0.49 * 13.14 22.51
2 09-12-2026 Home W 99.02 30 7 2 129 (0-3) Thomas More -5.75 * 16.47 28.75
3 09-19-2026 Away W * 110.04 17 14 1B 101 (1-3) Eastern Kentucky 5.26 8.95 -2.26
4 10/03/2026 Away * * 1B 125 (0-3) Drake 28.01
5 10/10/2026 Home * * 1B 122 (1-3) Morehead St 25.36
6 10/17/2026 Away * * 1B 111 (3-1) Butler 4.29
7 10/24/2026 Home * * 1B 105 (1-2) San Diego 6.79
8 10/31/2026 Away * * 1B 120 (1-3) Stetson 16.29
9 11/07/2026 Home * * 1B 100 (1-2) Valparaiso 4.46
10 11/14/2026 Home * * 1B 123 (2-2) Davidson 25.63
11 11/21/2026 Away * * 1B 126 (1-2) Presbyterian 33.16
Averages 104.78 30.0 13.7
Best game: 110.04 = 3 point win over Eastern Kentucky
Worst game: 99.02 = 23 point win over Thomas More
Team stdev: 5.53