BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Aurora
Class: 3 Class Rank: 139 Overall: (3-3) Overall Strength = 53.68
Conference: Northern Athletics Collegiate Conference Record: (3-1) | District: 3-01 Record: (3-3)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09-05-2026 Away L * 81.37 7 44 3 1 (6-0) UW-Platteville 10.67 * -17.40 -47.67
2 09-12-2026 Home L * 49.78 21 49 3 35 (5-1) Mt St Joseph -20.92 -15.25 -7.08
3 09-19-2026 Away L * * 57.59 28 29 3 122 (7-0) Concordia WI -13.11 -24.40 12.11
4 09-26-2026 Away W * * 75.54 61 5 3 232 (0-6) Rockford 4.84 * 29.58 51.16
5 10-10-2026 Home W * * 94.21 52 0 3 151 (4-2) Concordia IL 23.51 * 5.32 28.49
6 10-17-2026 Home W * * 65.71 35 9 3 201 (3-4) Wisconsin Lutheran -4.99 * 20.94 30.99
7 10/24/2026 Away * * 3 173 (4-3) St Norbert 6.43
8 10/31/2026 Home * * 3 205 (2-5) Lakeland 21.51
9 11/07/2026 Away * * 3 129 (6-0) Benedictine IL -5.52
10 11/14/2026 Home * * 3 244 (0-6) Eureka 58.33
Averages 70.70 34.0 22.7
Best game: 94.21 = 52 point win over Concordia IL
Worst game: 49.78 = 28 point loss to Mt St Joseph
Team stdev: 16.28