BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

Matchup Report

Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home

Home field advantage =    1.93

Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models

Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
           blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games

                                                                                                    Modified    Standard    Momentum
Date      Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor             Level Rank ( W- L) Home                 Matchup    Line Prob   Line Prob   Line Prob
12/13/2025   1A   13 ( 8- 4) Washington             1A   52 ( 9- 4) Boise St              153.68  -14.66  88% -14.87  88% -24.98  98%
12/13/2025   1A   77 ( 6- 5) Army                   1A   67 ( 9- 2) Navy                  152.45    3.57  61%   1.70  55%   8.92  76%
12/13/2025   1B   10 (10- 4) Illinois St            1B    6 ( 9- 3) UC-Davis              139.13    4.35  64%   2.97  59%  -3.91  62%
12/12/2025   1B    9 (11- 2) Stephen F. Austin      1B    2 (11- 2) Montana St            133.67   20.02  94%  16.97  91%  15.26  89%
12/13/2025   1B   15 (10- 4) South Dakota           1B    5 (12- 1) Montana               133.13   12.80  85%  12.93  85%  -2.33  57%
12/13/2025   1B   12 (11- 2) Villanova              1B    3 (12- 1) Tarleton St           130.15   17.38  92%  18.17  93%   9.42  77%
12/13/2025   1B   53 (10- 3) Prairie View A&M       1B   47 ( 9- 3) South Carolina St     121.51    0.97  53%   4.67  65%  -6.28  69%
12/13/2025    2    3 (13- 0) Harding                 2    2 (14- 0) Kutztown              134.21    5.16  66%  -1.04  53%  -4.21  63%
12/13/2025    2   27 (12- 1) Newberry                2    1 (14- 0) Ferris St             100.94   25.57  98%  25.87  98%  22.92  97%
12/13/2025    3    3 (12- 0) Bethel MN               3    1 (12- 0) North Central          98.94   14.34  87%  14.54  88%  -2.60  58%
12/13/2025    3    6 (11- 2) Wheaton                 3    2 (11- 1) UW-River Falls         95.02   15.75  90%  18.57  93%  27.53  99%
12/13/2025    3   12 (11- 1) John Carroll            3   10 (11- 1) Berry                  93.77    4.42  64%   5.99  68%  -2.85  59%
12/13/2025    3   20 (11- 2) Susquehanna             3    7 (11- 1) Johns Hopkins          93.32   11.72  83%   7.18  72%   2.25  57%
12/13/2025   NA    5 (12- 1) Benedictine KS         NA    1 (12- 0) Grand View            110.16    7.88  74%   3.70  62%   4.74  65%
12/13/2025   NA    8 (11- 1) Coll of Idaho          NA    3 (10- 0) Keiser                 94.78   12.17  83%  10.14  79%   1.16  54%