BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
Matchup Report
Sorted by Class, Matchup Score, Home
Home field advantage = 2.06
Modified, Standard, and Momentum are predictions based on game-margin models
Modified = only games with predicted outcomes < abs( 2.5*global stdev) are considered
blowout games ignored
Standard = all games considered
Momentum = average of last 5 games
Modified Standard Momentum
Date Level Rank ( W- L) Visitor Level Rank ( W- L) Home Matchup Line Prob Line Prob Line Prob
11/22/2025 1A 13 ( 8- 2) Southern Cal 1A 5 ( 9- 1) Oregon 171.88 11.89 83% 9.28 77% 6.68 71%
11/22/2025 1A 22 ( 7- 3) Missouri 1A 12 ( 8- 2) Oklahoma 165.95 7.57 73% 6.76 71% 4.51 64%
11/22/2025 1A 30 ( 7- 3) Pittsburgh 1A 44 ( 9- 1) Georgia Tech 163.16 -2.70 59% -2.02 56% -5.93 68%
11/22/2025 1A 36 ( 7- 3) Louisville 1A 32 ( 7- 3) SMU 162.13 3.54 61% 1.82 56% 13.49 86%
11/22/2025 1A 21 ( 7- 3) Tennessee 1A 41 ( 3- 7) Florida 161.58 -6.19 69% -6.11 69% -8.13 74%
11/22/2025 1A 42 ( 7- 3) Nebraska 1A 24 ( 4- 6) Penn State 160.92 8.78 76% 7.13 72% 12.74 85%
11/22/2025 1A 46 ( 6- 4) TCU 1A 52 ( 8- 2) Houston 160.23 0.66 52% 0.66 52% 6.87 71%
11/22/2025 1A 14 ( 9- 1) Brigham Young 1A 38 ( 7- 3) Cincinnati 160.22 -8.99 77% -9.37 78% -11.64 83%
11/22/2025 1A 34 ( 5- 5) Kentucky 1A 15 ( 8- 2) Vanderbilt 158.87 11.13 82% 10.35 80% 2.14 57%
11/22/2025 1A 37 ( 2- 8) Arkansas 1A 18 ( 7- 3) Texas 156.55 9.43 78% 10.05 79% 9.44 78%
11/22/2025 1A 51 ( 5- 5) Kansas 1A 40 ( 6- 4) Iowa St 154.95 3.98 63% 6.97 71% 4.58 64%
11/21/2025 1A 28 ( 5- 5) Florida St 1A 57 ( 5- 5) North Carolina St 154.36 -6.53 70% -10.57 80% -4.34 64%
11/22/2025 1A 20 ( 7- 3) Illinois 1A 63 ( 3- 7) Wisconsin 153.74 -12.21 84% -10.21 80% -7.61 73%
11/22/2025 1A 69 ( 6- 4) Minnesota 1A 48 ( 5- 5) Northwestern 152.37 7.24 72% 5.04 66% 8.65 76%
11/22/2025 1A 19 ( 8- 2) Michigan 1A 55 ( 4- 6) Maryland 151.98 -9.71 78% -12.16 84% -14.47 88%
11/22/2025 1A 62 ( 5- 5) Washington St 1A 26 ( 9- 1) James Madison 151.02 13.80 87% 9.43 78% 9.27 77%
11/22/2025 1A 56 ( 5- 5) Baylor 1A 27 ( 7- 3) Arizona 150.58 10.49 80% 11.42 82% 12.63 85%
11/22/2025 1A 45 ( 7- 3) Arizona St 1A 68 ( 3- 7) Colorado 150.31 -5.41 67% -6.89 71% -12.97 85%
11/22/2025 1A 39 ( 7- 3) East Carolina 1A 74 ( 5- 5) Texas-San Antonio 150.07 -8.37 75% -7.82 74% -1.71 55%
11/22/2025 1A 80 ( 5- 5) Utah St 1A 86 ( 7- 3) Fresno St 149.92 0.46 51% -0.91 53% 1.53 55%
11/21/2025 1A 72 ( 7- 3) Hawaii 1A 79 ( 8- 2) UNLV 148.81 0.70 52% 2.67 59% -7.64 73%
11/22/2025 1A 85 ( 6- 4) California 1A 88 ( 3- 7) Stanford 147.84 0.60 52% 1.55 55% 3.56 61%
11/22/2025 1A 49 ( 5- 5) Kansas St 1A 6 ( 8- 2) Utah 147.63 23.74 97% 24.55 98% 26.15 98%
11/22/2025 1A 64 ( 8- 2) Tulane 1A 92 ( 5- 5) Temple 146.52 -6.69 71% -6.02 69% -4.76 65%
11/22/2025 1A 17 ( 7- 3) Washington 1A 65 ( 3- 7) UCLA 146.44 -14.72 88% -17.57 92% -12.26 84%
11/22/2025 1A 77 ( 7- 3) New Mexico 1A 98 ( 3- 7) Air Force 144.47 -4.82 65% -4.75 65% -0.52 52%
11/22/2025 1A 73 ( 3- 7) Michigan St 1A 9 ( 6- 4) Iowa 143.74 27.40 99% 19.52 94% 33.19 100%
11/22/2025 1A 54 ( 5- 5) Duke 1A 95 ( 4- 6) North Carolina 142.45 -11.15 82% -10.46 80% -1.01 53%
11/22/2025 1A 100 ( 7- 3) Jacksonville St 1A 109 ( 5- 5) Florida Int'l 141.09 -0.65 52% -0.86 53% 6.74 71%
11/22/2025 1A 8 ( 8- 2) Miami FL 1A 81 ( 3- 7) Virginia Tech 140.73 -25.85 98% -23.43 97% -19.66 94%
11/22/2025 1A 61 ( 5- 5) Rutgers 1A 2 (10- 0) Ohio State 139.81 32.91 100% 31.78 99% 36.85 100%
11/20/2025 1A 103 ( 4- 6) Louisiana-Lafayette 1A 108 ( 5- 5) Arkansas St 139.42 0.59 52% 1.80 56% 4.74 65%
11/22/2025 1A 83 ( 8- 3) Connecticut 1A 105 ( 4- 6) Florida Atlantic 139.24 -7.02 71% -8.02 74% -3.13 60%
11/22/2025 1A 97 ( 7- 3) Missouri St 1A 82 ( 7- 3) Kennesaw St 138.88 7.15 72% 7.11 72% 9.95 79%
11/22/2025 1A 96 ( 7- 3) Southern Miss 1A 113 ( 3- 7) South Alabama 138.20 -4.67 65% -4.67 65% -5.16 66%
11/22/2025 1A 102 ( 4- 6) Liberty 1A 84 ( 5- 5) Louisiana Tech 136.54 10.28 80% 10.28 80% -1.96 56%
11/19/2025 1A 93 ( 5- 5) Miami OH 1A 120 ( 5- 5) Buffalo 135.82 -6.95 71% -7.06 72% -10.79 81%
11/22/2025 1A 91 ( 5- 5) Marshall 1A 122 ( 4- 6) Appalachian St 135.26 -8.16 75% -7.56 73% -8.74 76%
11/22/2025 1A 126 ( 3- 7) New Mexico St 1A 128 ( 2- 8) UTEP 135.20 1.01 53% 2.60 58% 1.19 54%
11/22/2025 1A 111 ( 2- 8) Nevada 1A 99 ( 4- 6) Wyoming 135.06 6.15 69% 7.61 73% 6.25 69%
11/22/2025 1A 71 ( 7- 3) Old Dominion 1A 110 ( 5- 5) Georgia Southern 134.18 -10.83 81% -15.05 89% -2.06 57%
11/22/2025 1A 94 ( 8- 2) Western Kentucky 1A 25 ( 6- 4) LSU 134.09 23.79 97% 23.79 97% 23.22 97%
11/22/2025 1A 106 ( 3- 7) Tulsa 1A 78 ( 5- 4) Army 134.06 12.94 85% 12.94 85% 12.03 83%
11/18/2025 1A 76 ( 6- 4) Western Michigan 1A 121 ( 3- 7) Northern Illinois 133.99 -12.32 84% -10.80 81% -9.57 78%
11/22/2025 1A 114 ( 2- 8) Colorado St 1A 60 ( 6- 4) Boise St 131.10 19.95 95% 18.47 93% 17.64 92%
11/22/2025 1B 7 ( 9- 1) Mercer 1A 31 ( 4- 6) Auburn 130.91 24.95 98% 24.57 98% 14.22 87%
11/19/2025 1A 104 ( 6- 4) Central Michigan 1A 129 ( 4- 6) Kent St 130.51 -5.14 66% -7.72 73% -6.79 71%
11/22/2025 1A 89 ( 3- 7) Syracuse 1A 4 ( 8- 2) Notre Dame 130.24 37.41 100% 35.70 100% 40.93 100%
11/18/2025 1A 124 ( 4- 7) Akron 1A 118 ( 3- 7) Bowling Green 129.93 3.19 60% 6.66 70% -0.91 53%
11/22/2025 1A 112 ( 3- 7) San Jose St 1A 59 ( 8- 2) San Diego St 128.86 19.72 94% 20.53 95% 26.26 98%
11/22/2025 1A 119 ( 5- 5) Delaware 1A 58 ( 7- 3) Wake Forest 127.07 21.25 96% 21.25 96% 31.13 99%
11/22/2025 1A 117 ( 1- 9) Oklahoma St 1A 67 ( 4- 6) Central Florida 126.77 17.40 92% 19.53 94% 15.77 90%
11/22/2025 1A 133 ( 2- 8) Sam Houston St 1A 131 ( 1- 9) Middle Tennessee St 125.36 3.99 63% 5.25 66% 2.91 59%
11/22/2025 1A 115 ( 6- 4) Coastal Carolina 1A 35 ( 3- 7) South Carolina 125.01 27.68 99% 26.56 98% 20.85 95%
11/22/2025 1A 23 ( 7- 3) South Florida 1A 125 ( 3- 7) Alabama-Birmingham 124.83 -30.02 99% -28.69 99% -32.15 100%
11/22/2025 1A 29 ( 9- 1) North Texas 1A 123 ( 5- 5) Rice 124.79 -26.99 99% -28.14 99% -29.11 99%
11/22/2025 1A 134 ( 1- 9) Georgia St 1A 101 ( 6- 4) Troy 121.36 17.04 92% 15.33 89% 18.49 93%
11/22/2025 1A 130 ( 4- 6) Ball St 1A 53 ( 6- 4) Toledo 117.35 28.46 99% 29.77 99% 31.37 99%
11/22/2025 1A 132 ( 3- 7) Louisiana-Monroe 1A 90 ( 4- 6) Texas St-San Marcos 115.67 20.17 95% 22.78 97% 23.19 97%
11/22/2025 1A 135 ( 1- 9) UNC-Charlotte 1A 7 ( 9- 1) Georgia 103.52 55.74 100% 50.41 100% 53.02 100%
11/18/2025 1A 136 ( 0-10) Massachusetts 1A 87 ( 6- 4) Ohio U. 98.76 41.22 100% 35.27 100% 40.46 100%
11/22/2025 1B 84 ( 6- 5) Furman 1A 43 ( 5- 5) Clemson 96.66 44.30 100% 44.30 100% 50.94 100%
11/22/2025 1B 89 ( 3- 8) Eastern Illinois 1A 11 ( 8- 2) Alabama 82.69 62.85 100% 65.05 100% 66.76 100%
11/22/2025 1B 113 ( 1-10) Samford 1A 10 (10- 0) Texas A&M 73.63 73.08 100% 70.04 100% 72.05 100%
11/22/2025 1B 3 ( 9- 2) Montana St 1B 5 (11- 0) Montana 146.27 -3.33 61% -6.82 71% -17.32 92%
11/22/2025 1B 16 ( 6- 5) Southern Illinois 1B 18 ( 8- 3) Illinois St 136.57 1.69 55% 1.57 55% 14.79 88%
11/22/2025 1B 21 ( 5- 6) Idaho St 1B 25 ( 4- 7) Idaho 136.23 0.39 51% -0.47 52% 1.34 54%
11/22/2025 1B 20 ( 7- 4) Sacramento St 1B 8 ( 7- 3) UC-Davis 135.15 6.98 71% 4.25 63% 7.21 72%
11/22/2025 1B 6 ( 9- 0) Harvard 1B 23 ( 7- 2) Yale 134.40 -6.88 71% -6.56 70% 0.66 52%
11/22/2025 1B 12 ( 7- 4) South Dakota St 1B 4 ( 7- 4) North Dakota 133.74 13.45 86% 10.56 80% 22.79 97%
11/22/2025 1B 28 ( 7- 4) Austin Peay 1B 2 (10- 1) Tarleton St 126.94 23.28 97% 20.19 95% 31.43 99%
11/22/2025 1B 46 ( 3- 6) Princeton 1B 50 ( 5- 4) Pennsylvania 125.78 1.22 54% 1.22 54% -4.24 63%
11/22/2025 1B 32 ( 7- 2) Dartmouth 1B 54 ( 4- 5) Brown 124.61 -4.53 64% -4.53 64% -14.46 88%
11/22/2025 1B 11 (11- 0) Lehigh 1B 44 ( 8- 3) Lafayette 123.32 -10.75 81% -10.75 81% -11.19 82%
11/22/2025 1B 45 ( 4- 7) Eastern Kentucky 1B 75 ( 2- 9) Utah Tech 122.85 -3.61 61% -2.73 59% -4.20 63%
11/22/2025 1B 63 ( 5- 6) Lindenwood 1B 76 ( 4- 7) SE Missouri St 121.63 0.37 51% 1.51 55% 8.03 74%
11/22/2025 1B 78 ( 5- 6) Chattanooga 1B 41 ( 5- 6) Wofford 121.55 9.42 78% 5.46 67% 6.10 69%
11/22/2025 1B 38 ( 5- 6) Eastern Washington 1B 27 ( 3- 8) Cal Poly SLO 121.18 7.23 72% 9.76 78% -3.52 61%
11/22/2025 1B 51 ( 8- 3) South Carolina St 1B 74 ( 8- 3) Delaware St 120.35 -2.25 57% -4.28 64% -2.78 59%
11/22/2025 1B 17 ( 7- 4) Abilene Christian 1B 55 ( 3- 8) Central Arkansas 120.25 -10.82 81% -11.58 83% -10.56 80%
11/22/2025 1B 14 ( 7- 4) Youngstown St 1B 59 ( 3- 8) Northern Iowa 119.59 -12.60 85% -12.68 85% -16.09 90%
11/22/2025 1B 61 ( 6- 5) Maine 1B 34 ( 7- 4) New Hampshire 117.23 10.69 81% 10.69 81% 14.32 88%
11/22/2025 1B 67 ( 4- 7) The Citadel 1B 31 ( 6- 5) East Tennessee St 116.72 12.02 83% 10.94 81% 17.60 92%
11/22/2025 1B 19 ( 7- 4) Northern Arizona 1B 77 ( 3- 8) Weber St 114.85 -14.80 88% -14.97 89% -19.16 94%
11/22/2025 1B 83 ( 6- 5) Richmond 1B 42 ( 7- 4) William & Mary 113.78 10.48 80% 10.46 80% 15.06 89%
11/22/2025 1B 93 ( 5- 6) Mercyhurst 1B 66 ( 7- 4) Central Conn St 113.60 10.47 80% 5.56 67% 19.49 94%
11/22/2025 1B 79 ( 4- 7) McNeese St 1B 35 ( 8- 3) Lamar 113.54 12.39 84% 11.97 83% 8.06 74%
11/22/2025 1B 47 ( 7- 4) St Thomas MN 1B 1 (11- 0) North Dakota St 111.78 35.90 100% 32.30 100% 26.36 98%
11/22/2025 1B 60 ( 6- 5) Tennessee-Martin 1B 9 (10- 1) Tennessee Tech 111.56 20.56 95% 22.11 96% 9.80 79%
11/20/2025 1B 71 ( 4- 7) Nicholls St 1B 13 ( 8- 3) SE Louisiana 111.29 19.03 94% 20.29 95% 19.89 95%
11/22/2025 1B 15 ( 6- 5) Southern Utah 1B 80 ( 2- 9) North Alabama 111.11 -15.79 90% -17.97 93% -19.07 94%
11/22/2025 1B 82 ( 8- 3) Sacred Heart 1B 29 ( 8- 2) Villanova 110.12 16.71 91% 16.98 91% 17.08 92%
11/22/2025 1B 95 ( 6- 5) Georgetown DC 1B 73 ( 2- 9) Holy Cross 109.89 8.01 74% 8.01 74% 5.01 66%
11/22/2025 1B 88 ( 3- 8) East Texas A&M 1B 33 ( 8- 3) Texas-Rio Grande Val 109.76 15.26 89% 14.99 89% 18.94 94%
11/22/2025 1B 85 ( 2- 9) Campbell 1B 53 ( 5- 6) Towson 109.59 10.67 81% 11.97 83% 15.75 90%
11/22/2025 1B 97 ( 0-11) Murray St 1B 62 ( 3- 8) Indiana St 109.21 12.08 84% 9.10 77% 11.85 83%
11/22/2025 1B 90 ( 1-10) Portland St 1B 52 ( 3- 8) Northern Colorado 109.00 12.17 84% 10.89 81% 7.74 73%
11/22/2025 1B 92 ( 1- 8) Columbia 1B 65 ( 4- 5) Cornell 108.65 10.46 80% 10.46 80% 18.66 93%
11/22/2025 1B 91 ( 3- 8) Bryant 1B 43 ( 5- 6) Stony Brook 107.79 14.67 88% 13.80 87% 15.06 89%
11/22/2025 1B 56 ( 7- 4) North Carolina Centr 1B 96 ( 4- 7) Morgan St 107.13 -9.46 78% -10.66 81% -8.62 76%
11/22/2025 1B 98 ( 3- 8) Western Illinois 1B 39 ( 7- 4) Gardner-Webb 106.93 18.09 93% 14.94 89% 10.52 80%
11/22/2025 1B 100 ( 5- 6) Bucknell 1B 72 ( 4- 7) Colgate 105.60 11.67 83% 11.74 83% 10.84 81%
11/22/2025 1B 104 ( 5- 6) Wagner 1B 81 ( 5- 6) LIU 104.98 11.92 83% 10.33 80% 8.39 75%
11/22/2025 1B 112 ( 1-10) Norfolk St 1B 108 ( 4- 7) Howard 104.65 4.07 63% 3.33 61% -3.90 62%
11/22/2025 1B 103 ( 5- 6) Marist 1B 58 ( 9- 2) Presbyterian 103.33 15.59 90% 13.79 87% 13.31 86%
11/22/2025 1B 69 ( 6- 5) Duquesne 1B 111 ( 3- 8) Robert Morris 103.25 -12.98 85% -11.33 82% -13.49 86%
11/22/2025 1B 105 ( 1-10) Fordham 1B 87 ( 3- 8) Merrimack 101.79 8.76 76% 11.79 83% 8.11 74%
11/22/2025 1B 40 ( 4- 7) Incarnate Word 1B 107 ( 2- 9) Houston Christian 99.34 -17.15 92% -19.00 94% -18.60 93%
11/22/2025 1B 116 ( 5- 5) Florida A&M 1B 99 ( 5- 6) Bethune-Cookman 99.30 8.14 74% 10.58 80% 6.02 69%
11/22/2025 1B 120 ( 4- 7) Alabama A&M 1B 106 ( 5- 5) Texas Southern 98.59 10.58 80% 9.06 77% 10.98 81%
11/22/2025 1B 110 ( 1-10) Albany NY 1B 24 ( 9- 2) Monmouth NJ 98.29 29.92 99% 24.99 98% 30.46 99%
11/22/2025 1B 114 ( 2- 9) Tennessee St 1B 70 ( 4- 7) Charleston Southern 96.41 18.01 93% 18.76 94% 15.41 89%
11/22/2025 1B 109 ( 5- 6) Alcorn St 1B 49 ( 8- 2) Jackson St 96.09 19.61 94% 20.71 95% 12.76 85%
11/22/2025 1B 121 ( 0-10) St Francis PA 1B 101 ( 3- 8) Stonehill 92.59 13.76 87% 13.65 87% 6.71 71%
11/22/2025 1B 37 ( 6- 5) Western Carolina 1B 115 ( 1-10) VMI 91.64 -22.82 97% -24.87 98% -35.91 100%
11/22/2025 1B 118 ( 2- 9) North Carolina A&T 1B 57 ( 5- 6) Elon 88.65 23.64 97% 26.22 98% 21.87 96%
11/22/2025 1B 128 ( 2- 9) Valparaiso 1B 94 ( 5- 6) Butler 83.81 23.51 97% 20.98 95% 20.09 95%
11/22/2025 1B 123 ( 6- 5) Morehead St 1B 48 ( 7- 3) Drake 82.47 30.27 99% 31.29 99% 27.54 99%
11/22/2025 1B 86 ( 6- 4) Dayton 1B 126 ( 2- 9) Davidson 81.36 -18.97 94% -23.27 97% -17.35 92%
11/22/2025 1B 124 ( 3- 7) Arkansas-Pine Bluff 1B 36 ( 8- 2) Alabama St 81.33 34.87 100% 32.24 100% 34.50 100%
11/20/2025 1B 10 ( 9- 2) Stephen F. Austin 1B 119 ( 1-10) Northwestern St 81.12 -37.05 100% -39.11 100% -46.95 100%
11/22/2025 1B 127 ( 1- 9) Mississippi Valley S 1B 68 ( 8- 3) Prairie View A&M 80.55 31.16 99% 27.36 99% 32.68 100%
11/22/2025 1B 122 ( 2- 9) Hampton 1B 22 ( 9- 2) Rhode Island 80.52 39.05 100% 38.16 100% 51.19 100%
11/22/2025 1B 64 ( 7- 4) San Diego 1B 129 ( 3- 8) Stetson 73.27 -29.19 99% -32.84 100% -27.82 99%