BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Nevada
Class: 1A Class Rank: 111 Overall: (3-9) Overall Strength = 140.70
Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (2-6) | District: 1A-01 Record: (2-9)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Away L * 140.29 11 46 1A 19 ( 7- 6) Penn State -0.38 * -17.35 -34.62
2 09/06/2025 Home W 140.22 20 17 1B 16 ( 7- 5) Sacramento St -0.44 3.32 3.44
3 09/13/2025 Home L * 131.11 13 14 1A 129 ( 3- 9) Middle Tennessee St -9.56 16.55 8.56
4 09/20/2025 Away L * 135.50 16 31 1A 89 ( 9- 4) Western Kentucky -5.17 -13.20 -9.83
5 10/04/2025 Away L * * 149.97 17 20 1A 80 ( 9- 4) Fresno St 9.31 -20.58 -12.31
6 10/11/2025 Home L * * 122.65 10 44 1A 62 ( 9- 4) San Diego St -18.02 -11.87 -15.98
7 10/18/2025 Away L * * 154.61 22 24 1A 73 ( 9- 4) New Mexico 13.94 -21.21 -15.94
8 10/24/2025 Home L * * 136.17 3 24 1A 55 ( 9- 5) Boise St -4.50 -23.83 -16.50
9 11/08/2025 Away L * * 117.90 14 51 1A 78 ( 6- 7) Utah St -22.77 -11.42 -14.23
10 11/15/2025 Home W * * 181.75 55 10 1A 118 ( 3- 9) San Jose St 41.08 -9.24 3.92
11 11/22/2025 Away W * * 151.22 13 7 1A 103 ( 4- 8) Wyoming 10.55 -5.95 -4.55
12 11/29/2025 Home L * * 126.63 17 42 1A 75 (10- 4) UNLV -14.04 -9.40 -10.96
Averages 140.67 17.6 27.5
Best game: 181.75 = 45 point win over San Jose St
Worst game: 117.90 = 37 point loss to Utah St
Team stdev: 17.21