BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Mercyhurst
Class: 1B Class Rank: 48 Overall: (2-4) Overall Strength = 143.52
Conference: Northeast Conference Record: (2-0) | District: 1B-01 Record: (2-4)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/28/2025 Away L * 150.89 15 24 1B 15 (3-2) Youngstown St 6.34 -12.84 -15.34
2 09/06/2025 Home W * * 150.46 48 14 1B 122 (3-3) New Haven 5.91 * 11.59 28.09
3 09/13/2025 Away L * 137.09 28 49 1B 17 (2-3) Sacramento St -7.45 -4.91 -13.55
4 09/20/2025 Away L * 154.98 0 17 1B 4 (4-2) Montana St 10.44 * -8.33 -27.44
5 09/27/2025 Away L * 131.26 7 51 1B 7 (5-0) South Dakota St -13.28 * -25.26 -30.72
6 10/04/2025 Home W * * 142.59 22 13 1B 82 (1-5) LIU -1.96 9.30 10.96
7 10/11/2025 Away * * 1B 115 (1-4) Wagner 18.68
8 10/18/2025 Home * * 1B 89 (3-3) Duquesne 11.53
9 10/25/2025 Home * * 1B 98 (2-4) Stonehill 13.58
10 11/08/2025 Away * * 1B 125 (0-5) St Francis PA 25.55
11 11/15/2025 Home * * 1B 119 (1-4) Robert Morris 24.87
12 11/22/2025 Away * * 1B 79 (3-3) Central Conn St 4.41
Averages 144.55 20.0 28.0
Best game: 154.98 = 17 point loss to Montana St
Worst game: 131.26 = 44 point loss to South Dakota St
Team stdev: 9.16