BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Aurora
Class: 3 Class Rank: 86 Overall: (8-3) Overall Strength = 71.19
Conference: Northern Athletics Collegiate Conference Record: (6-2) | District: 3-01 Record: (8-3)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09/06/2025 Home L * 62.99 0 41 3 8 ( 9- 3) UW-Platteville -8.04 * -5.18 -32.96
2 09/13/2025 Away W * 85.87 35 28 3 49 ( 6- 5) Mt St Joseph 14.84 -8.20 -7.84
3 09/20/2025 Home L * * 59.51 35 36 3 129 ( 7- 3) Benedictine IL -11.52 11.81 10.52
4 09/27/2025 Away W * * 84.90 66 0 3 231 ( 2- 8) Eureka 13.87 * 53.44 52.13
5 10/04/2025 Away W * * 75.14 49 28 3 170 ( 4- 6) Lakeland 4.11 31.54 16.89
6 10/11/2025 Home W * * 65.31 48 0 3 232 ( 1- 9) Rockford -5.72 * 57.78 53.72
7 10/18/2025 Home L * * 48.65 45 54 3 136 ( 9- 2) Concordia WI -22.38 14.78 13.38
8 11/01/2025 Away W * * 62.85 49 42 3 168 ( 5- 5) Wisconsin Lutheran -8.18 17.39 15.18
9 11/08/2025 Home W * * 77.08 37 14 3 162 ( 5- 5) St Norbert 6.05 10.60 16.95
10 11/15/2025 Away W * * 69.75 59 26 3 215 ( 4- 6) Concordia IL -1.27 * 30.89 34.27
11 11/22/2025 Home W * 89.25 49 14 3 154 ( 8- 3) Illinois College 18.22 8.01 16.78
Averages 71.03 42.9 25.7
Best game: 89.25 = 35 point win over Illinois College
Worst game: 48.65 = 9 point loss to Concordia WI
Team stdev: 12.64