BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Aurora
Class: 3 Class Rank: 47 Overall: (1-2) Overall Strength = 109.82
Conference: Northern Athletics Collegiate Conference Record: (0-1) | District: 3-01 Record: (1-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09/06/2025 Home L * 94.28 0 41 3 10 (3-0) UW-Platteville -10.36 * -5.18 -30.64
2 09/13/2025 Away W * 122.39 35 28 3 65 (1-2) Mt St Joseph 17.75 -8.19 -10.75
3 09/20/2025 Home L * * 97.25 35 36 3 83 (3-0) Benedictine IL -7.39 11.78 6.39
4 09/27/2025 Away * * 3 223 (2-1) Eureka 53.46
5 10/04/2025 Away * * 3 145 (0-2) Lakeland 23.58
6 10/11/2025 Home * * 3 233 (1-2) Rockford 70.14
7 10/18/2025 Home * * 3 186 (2-1) Concordia WI 40.56
8 11/01/2025 Away * * 3 215 (0-3) Wisconsin Lutheran 46.54
9 11/08/2025 Home * * 3 85 (1-2) St Norbert 12.29
10 11/15/2025 Away * * 3 182 (2-1) Concordia IL 35.20
Averages 104.64 23.3 35.0
Best game: 122.39 = 7 point win over Mt St Joseph
Worst game: 94.28 = 41 point loss to UW-Platteville
Team stdev: 15.44