BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Aurora
Class: 3 Class Rank: 78 Overall: (3-2) Overall Strength = 91.09
Conference: Northern Athletics Collegiate Conference Record: (2-1) | District: 3-01 Record: (3-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09/06/2025 Home L * 86.35 0 41 3 5 (4-0) UW-Platteville -6.44 * -5.18 -34.56
2 09/13/2025 Away W * 102.28 35 28 3 48 (2-2) Mt St Joseph 9.48 -8.19 -2.48
3 09/20/2025 Home L * * 79.39 35 36 3 101 (4-1) Benedictine IL -13.41 11.78 12.41
4 09/27/2025 Away W * * 104.36 66 0 3 230 (2-3) Eureka 11.56 * 53.46 54.44
5 10/04/2025 Away W * * 91.60 49 28 3 169 (1-3) Lakeland -1.20 31.04 22.20
6 10/11/2025 Home * * 3 234 (1-4) Rockford 57.67
7 10/18/2025 Home * * 3 139 (4-1) Concordia WI 15.39
8 11/01/2025 Away * * 3 191 (1-3) Wisconsin Lutheran 26.41
9 11/08/2025 Home * * 3 152 (1-3) St Norbert 18.04
10 11/15/2025 Away * * 3 210 (3-2) Concordia IL 32.83
Averages 92.80 37.0 26.6
Best game: 104.36 = 66 point win over Eureka
Worst game: 79.39 = 1 point loss to Benedictine IL
Team stdev: 10.56