BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Aurora
Class: 3 Class Rank: 83 Overall: (8-3) Overall Strength = 71.41
Conference: Northern Athletics Collegiate Conference Record: (6-2) | District: 3-01 Record: (8-3)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09/06/2025 Home L * 63.53 0 41 3 8 ( 9- 3) UW-Platteville -7.76 * -5.18 -33.24
2 09/13/2025 Away W * 86.06 35 28 3 49 ( 6- 5) Mt St Joseph 14.77 -8.20 -7.77
3 09/20/2025 Home L * * 59.82 35 36 3 130 ( 7- 3) Benedictine IL -11.46 11.81 10.46
4 09/27/2025 Away W * * 85.10 66 0 3 232 ( 2- 8) Eureka 13.82 * 53.46 52.18
5 10/04/2025 Away W * * 75.47 49 28 3 167 ( 4- 6) Lakeland 4.18 31.07 16.82
6 10/11/2025 Home W * * 65.64 48 0 3 231 ( 1- 9) Rockford -5.64 * 57.75 53.64
7 10/18/2025 Home L * * 48.92 45 54 3 136 ( 9- 2) Concordia WI -22.36 14.78 13.36
8 11/01/2025 Away W * * 63.00 49 42 3 168 ( 5- 5) Wisconsin Lutheran -8.29 17.41 15.29
9 11/08/2025 Home W * * 77.35 37 14 3 162 ( 5- 5) St Norbert 6.07 10.59 16.93
10 11/15/2025 Away W * * 69.95 59 26 3 216 ( 4- 6) Concordia IL -1.33 * 30.92 34.33
11 11/22/2025 Home W * 89.28 49 14 3 155 ( 8- 3) Illinois College 18.00 8.00 17.00
Averages 71.28 42.9 25.7
Best game: 89.28 = 35 point win over Illinois College
Worst game: 48.92 = 9 point loss to Concordia WI
Team stdev: 12.58