BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Assumption

Class: 2 Class Rank: 68 Overall: (9-3) Overall Strength =  105.68
Conference: Northeast-10 Conference Record: (7-1) | District: 2-01 Record: (9-3)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 09/04/2025 Away    L   *  95.56  14  51    2   3 (14- 1) Kutztown              -10.12    -11.20  -26.88                      
 2 09/13/2025 Away    W * * 105.97  39  21    2 134 ( 2- 8) American Int'l          0.29      6.14   17.71                      
 3 09/19/2025 Home    W * * 108.29  30   8    2 124 ( 5- 5) St Anselm               2.62      3.41   19.38                      
 4 09/27/2025 Away    W * * 101.48  28  26    2  95 ( 6- 4) Franklin Pierce        -4.20      9.33    6.20                      
 5 10/11/2025 Home    W * *  94.67  24   7    2 143 ( 0-11) Pace                  -11.00     27.46   28.00                      
 6 10/18/2025 Away    W * * 117.40  63  27    2 144 ( 4- 6) Post                   11.72     23.87   24.28                      
 7 10/25/2025 Home    W * * 105.08  35  14    2 134 ( 2- 8) American Int'l         -0.60     23.36   21.60                      
 8 11/01/2025 Home    W * * 110.85  38   7    2 138 ( 4- 6) Southern Conn St        5.17     20.74   25.83                      
 9 11/08/2025 Away    L * *  95.70  17  20    2  88 ( 7- 4) Bentley                -9.98      5.04    6.98                      
10 11/15/2025 Away    W   * 115.79  42  24    2 100 ( 4- 7) West Chester           10.11      5.77    7.89                      
11 11/22/2025 Away    W   * 121.78  23  20    2  24 ( 7- 4) Indiana PA             16.10    -13.54  -13.10                      
12 11/29/2025 Away    L   *  95.56  19  56    2   3 (14- 1) Kutztown              -10.12    -33.03  -26.88                      
      Averages             105.68  31.0 23.4

Best game:  121.78 = 3 point win over Indiana PA
Worst game:  94.67 = 17 point win over Pace
Team stdev:   9.42