BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Virginia
Class: 1A Class Rank: 71 Overall: (5-7) Overall Strength = 141.42
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (3-5) | District: 1A-01 Record: (4-7)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/31/2024 Home W 141.01 34 13 1B 23 (10- 3) Richmond -1.43 10.87 22.43
2 09/07/2024 Away W * * 139.82 31 30 1A 89 ( 4- 8) Wake Forest -2.62 -2.82 3.62
3 09/14/2024 Home L * 126.88 13 27 1A 67 ( 4- 8) Maryland -15.56 1.74 1.56
4 09/21/2024 Away W * 154.26 43 24 1A 100 ( 6- 7) Coastal Carolina 11.82 -6.95 7.18
5 10/05/2024 Home W * * 156.79 24 14 1A 55 ( 7- 6) Boston College 14.35 0.04 -4.35
6 10/12/2024 Home L * * 154.59 20 24 1A 16 ( 9- 4) Louisville 12.15 -7.80 -16.15
7 10/19/2024 Away L * * 143.82 31 48 1A 20 (10- 4) Clemson 1.38 -13.31 -18.38
8 10/26/2024 Home L * * 114.74 14 41 1A 65 ( 6- 7) North Carolina -27.70 4.73 0.70
9 11/09/2024 Away W * * 154.99 24 19 1A 57 ( 7- 6) Pittsburgh 12.55 -14.67 -7.55
10 11/16/2024 Away L * 153.63 14 35 1A 2 (14- 1) Notre Dame 11.19 * -22.52 -32.19
11 11/23/2024 Home L * * 131.74 7 33 1A 14 (11- 3) SMU -10.70 -12.70 -15.30
12 11/30/2024 Away L * * 137.01 17 37 1A 32 ( 6- 7) Virginia Tech -5.43 -13.48 -14.57
Averages 142.44 22.7 28.8
Best game: 156.79 = 10 point win over Boston College
Worst game: 114.74 = 27 point loss to North Carolina
Team stdev: 13.28