BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Ursinus
Class: 3 Class Rank: 36 Overall: (9-2) Overall Strength = 83.20
Conference: Centennial Conference Record: (5-1) | District: 3-01 Record: (9-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09/06/2024 Home W * 74.51 45 14 3 169 ( 1- 9) Alvernia -9.25 * 20.09 40.25
2 09/14/2024 Away W * 72.38 31 17 3 125 ( 2- 8) Kean -11.38 12.77 25.38
3 09/21/2024 Home W * 115.48 58 14 3 55 ( 6- 4) Rowan 31.72 6.30 12.28
4 10/04/2024 Away W * * 85.20 53 50 3 43 ( 8- 3) Muhlenberg 1.44 -8.68 1.56
5 10/12/2024 Home W * * 82.33 23 17 3 44 ( 7- 4) Franklin & Marshall -1.43 11.71 7.43
6 10/19/2024 Away W * 86.86 49 7 3 173 ( 1- 9) William Paterson 3.11 * 35.16 38.89
7 10/26/2024 Home L * * 78.63 7 16 3 21 (12- 2) Johns Hopkins -5.12 5.70 -3.88
8 11/02/2024 Away W * * 91.66 42 0 3 159 ( 1- 9) McDaniel 7.90 * 34.11 34.10
9 11/09/2024 Home W * * 85.89 34 0 3 122 ( 2- 8) Gettysburg 2.14 * 31.87 31.86
10 11/16/2024 Away W * * 77.72 24 13 3 86 ( 5- 6) Dickinson -6.03 17.06 17.03
11 11/23/2024 Away L * 70.65 29 32 3 63 (10- 2) King's PA -13.11 18.36 10.11
Averages 83.76 35.9 16.4
Best game: 115.48 = 44 point win over Rowan
Worst game: 70.65 = 3 point loss to King's PA
Team stdev: 12.40