BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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UC-Davis
Class: 1B Class Rank: 5 Overall: (11-3) Overall Strength = 135.13
Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (7-1) | District: 1B-01 Record: (11-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/31/2024 Away L 130.37 13 31 1A 60 ( 6- 7) California -3.17 -12.33 -14.83
2 09/07/2024 Home W * 114.22 36 22 1B 102 ( 3- 9) TAMU-Commerce -19.32 * 16.63 33.32
3 09/14/2024 Away W * 126.93 24 21 1B 18 ( 7- 5) Southern Utah -6.61 -1.16 9.61
4 09/21/2024 Home W * 119.97 32 14 1B 96 ( 1-11) Utah Tech -13.57 * 23.29 31.57
5 09/28/2024 Home W * * 129.65 28 26 1B 7 (10- 4) Idaho -3.89 -18.75 5.89
6 10/05/2024 Away W * * 121.20 27 26 1B 41 ( 3- 8) Portland St -12.34 16.02 13.34
7 10/12/2024 Home W * * 151.38 56 10 1B 74 ( 3- 8) Cal Poly SLO 17.84 12.17 28.16
8 10/19/2024 Away W * * 134.81 48 38 1B 24 ( 4- 8) Eastern Washington 1.27 1.68 8.73
9 11/02/2024 Home W * * 148.88 59 7 1B 110 ( 1-11) Northern Colorado 15.34 * 23.24 36.66
10 11/09/2024 Away W * * 146.75 30 14 1B 10 ( 9- 5) Montana 13.22 -0.63 2.78
11 11/16/2024 Home L * * 140.05 28 30 1B 2 (15- 1) Montana St 6.51 -8.98 -8.51
12 11/23/2024 Away W * * 123.07 42 39 1B 45 ( 3- 9) Sacramento St -10.47 12.73 13.47
13 12/07/2024 Home W * 152.33 42 10 1B 19 (10- 4) Illinois St 18.79 8.89 13.21
14 12/14/2024 Away L * 129.93 21 35 1B 4 (11- 3) South Dakota -3.61 -5.33 -10.39
Averages 133.54 34.7 23.1
Best game: 152.33 = 32 point win over Illinois St
Worst game: 114.22 = 14 point win over TAMU-Commerce
Team stdev: 12.48