BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Toledo
Class: 1A Class Rank: 83 Overall: (8-5) Overall Strength = 138.32
Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (4-4) | District: 1A-01 Record: (7-5)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/29/2024 Home W 148.55 49 10 1B 55 ( 8- 3) Duquesne 10.24 17.29 28.76
2 09/07/2024 Home W * 134.88 38 23 1A 127 ( 2-10) Massachusetts -3.44 27.55 18.44
3 09/14/2024 Away W * 170.57 41 17 1A 66 ( 2-10) Mississippi St 32.25 -11.61 -8.25
4 09/21/2024 Away L * 130.82 21 26 1A 95 ( 8- 6) Western Kentucky -7.50 9.82 2.50
5 10/05/2024 Home W * * 148.57 30 20 1A 73 ( 9- 5) Miami OH 10.26 16.02 -0.26
6 10/12/2024 Away L * * 119.94 15 30 1A 102 ( 9- 4) Buffalo -18.38 15.02 3.38
7 10/19/2024 Away W * * 147.80 13 6 1A 86 ( 7- 6) Northern Illinois 9.48 -0.87 -2.48
8 10/26/2024 Home L * * 120.88 26 41 1A 76 ( 7- 6) Bowling Green -17.44 7.22 2.44
9 11/02/2024 Away W * * 131.10 29 28 1A 119 ( 5- 7) Eastern Michigan -7.21 9.50 8.21
10 11/12/2024 Home W * * 150.62 37 10 1A 122 ( 4- 8) Central Michigan 12.30 16.18 14.70
11 11/20/2024 Home L * * 123.72 7 24 1A 64 (11- 3) Ohio U. -14.60 4.69 -2.40
12 11/26/2024 Away L * * 121.12 14 21 1A 123 ( 4- 8) Akron -17.20 13.21 10.20
13 12/26/2024 Neutral W * 149.56 48 46 1A 57 ( 7- 6) Pittsburgh 11.24 -11.63 -9.24
Averages 138.32 28.3 23.2
Best game: 170.57 = 24 point win over Mississippi St
Worst game: 119.94 = 15 point loss to Buffalo
Team stdev: 15.52