BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Duke
Class: 1A Class Rank: 62 Overall: (9-4) Overall Strength = 145.59
Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (5-3) | District: 1A-01 Record: (8-4)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2024 Home W 137.95 26 3 1B 48 ( 6- 6) Elon -7.64 17.38 30.64
2 09/06/2024 Away W * 147.42 26 20 1A 82 ( 4- 8) Northwestern 1.83 5.20 4.17
3 09/14/2024 Home W * 143.65 26 21 1A 80 ( 9- 4) Connecticut -1.93 21.98 6.93
4 09/21/2024 Away W * 147.40 45 17 1A 132 ( 3- 9) Middle Tennessee St 1.81 27.83 26.19
5 09/28/2024 Home W * * 142.74 21 20 1A 65 ( 6- 7) North Carolina -2.85 0.25 3.85
6 10/05/2024 Away L * * 142.76 14 24 1A 43 ( 7- 6) Georgia Tech -2.83 0.39 -7.17
7 10/18/2024 Home W * * 141.20 23 16 1A 87 ( 2-10) Florida St -4.39 6.27 11.39
8 10/26/2024 Home L * * 156.74 27 28 1A 14 (11- 3) SMU 11.15 -14.76 -12.15
9 11/02/2024 Away L * * 142.28 31 53 1A 12 (10- 3) Miami FL -3.31 -23.01 -18.69
10 11/09/2024 Away W * * 153.30 29 19 1A 75 ( 6- 7) North Carolina St 7.71 4.30 2.29
11 11/23/2024 Home W * * 155.15 31 28 1A 32 ( 6- 7) Virginia Tech 9.56 -6.78 -6.56
12 11/30/2024 Away W * * 144.82 23 17 1A 89 ( 4- 8) Wake Forest -0.77 6.02 6.77
13 01/02/2025 Neutral L * 137.24 20 52 1A 3 (10- 3) Mississippi -8.35 -20.17 -23.65
Averages 145.59 26.3 24.5
Best game: 156.74 = 1 point loss to SMU
Worst game: 137.24 = 32 point loss to Mississippi
Team stdev: 6.20