BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Aurora

Class: 3 Class Rank: 29 Overall: (9-2) Overall Strength =   87.09
Conference: Northern Athletics Collegiate Conference Record: (8-0) | District: 3-01 Record: (9-2)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 09/06/2024 Away    W   *  84.91  33  21    3  71 ( 5- 5) Dubuque                 1.33      9.56   10.67                      
 2 09/14/2024 Home    L   *  83.35  21  48    3   1 (15- 0) North Central          -0.22     -7.81  -26.78                      
 3 09/21/2024 Home    W * * 111.73  49   0    3  88 ( 8- 3) St Norbert             28.15     27.96   20.85                      
 4 09/28/2024 Home    W * *  77.58  72   6    3 231 ( 2- 8) Concordia IL           -5.99 *   68.48   71.99                      
 5 10/05/2024 Away    W * *  80.48  45  14    3 157 ( 7- 3) Wisconsin Lutheran     -3.09 *   39.90   34.09                      
 6 10/12/2024 Away    W * *  78.32  42  14    3 150 ( 6- 3) Concordia WI           -5.26 *   36.88   33.26                      
 7 10/19/2024 Home    W * * 104.35  69   0    3 180 ( 4- 6) Rockford               20.78 *   54.27   48.22                      
 8 10/26/2024 Away    W * *  79.90  49  14    3 175 ( 4- 5) Lakeland               -3.67 *   37.91   38.67                      
 9 11/02/2024 Home    W * *  82.48  56  20    3 156 ( 5- 5) Benedictine IL         -1.10 *   40.51   37.10                      
10 11/09/2024 Away    W * *  67.88  56   0    3 238 ( 0-10) Eureka                -15.70 *   80.23   71.70                      
11 11/30/2024 Away    L   *  68.35  21  49    3   3 (11- 1) Hope                  -15.22    -12.58  -12.78                      
      Averages              83.58  46.6 16.9

Best game:  111.73 = 49 point win over St Norbert
Worst game:  67.88 = 56 point win over Eureka
Team stdev:  13.39