BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Assumption
Class: 2 Class Rank: 70 Overall: (6-4) Overall Strength = 95.64
Conference: Northeast-10 Conference Record: (6-3) | District: 2-01 Record: (6-4)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09/05/2024 Away L * 99.63 6 24 2 5 (11- 1) Kutztown 3.99 -10.98 -21.99
2 09/14/2024 Away W * * 116.90 27 7 2 75 ( 5- 5) Franklin Pierce 21.26 -6.22 -1.26
3 09/27/2024 Home W * * 95.61 35 7 2 145 ( 1- 9) Post -0.04 41.78 28.04
4 10/05/2024 Away W * * 94.91 35 28 2 102 ( 4- 6) Southern Conn St -0.73 19.67 7.73
5 10/12/2024 Home W * * 99.73 16 13 2 55 ( 8- 2) Bentley 4.09 10.94 -1.09
6 10/19/2024 Away L * * 88.76 14 20 2 81 ( 5- 5) St Anselm -6.88 12.45 0.88
7 10/26/2024 Home W * * 109.06 19 14 2 40 ( 8- 3) New Haven 13.42 -3.62 -8.42
8 11/01/2024 Away L * * 73.89 24 27 2 128 ( 4- 7) American Int'l -21.75 18.00 18.75
9 11/09/2024 Away W * * 87.90 14 7 2 129 ( 2- 8) Pace -7.75 17.89 14.75
10 11/16/2024 Home L * * 90.04 19 21 2 75 ( 5- 5) Franklin Pierce -5.60 4.47 3.60
Averages 95.64 20.9 16.8
Best game: 116.90 = 20 point win over Franklin Pierce
Worst game: 73.89 = 3 point loss to American Int'l
Team stdev: 11.91