BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Aurora
Class: 3 Class Rank: 22 Overall: (11-1) Overall Strength = 83.94
Conference: Northern Athletics Collegiate Conference Record: (8-0) | District: 3-01 Record: (11-1)
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2023 Home W 89.43 38 17 3 51 ( 8- 2) Hope 5.49 15.51
2 09/09/2023 Away W 62.40 45 30 3 152 ( 4- 6) Franklin -21.55 * 36.55
3 09/16/2023 Away W * 96.19 63 7 3 176 ( 5- 4) Benedictine IL 12.25 * 43.75
4 09/30/2023 Home W * 85.58 70 10 3 207 ( 4- 6) Eureka 1.64 * 58.36
5 10/07/2023 Away W * 104.32 91 0 3 230 ( 1- 9) Concordia IL 20.38 * 70.62
6 10/14/2023 Away W * 79.35 37 9 3 140 ( 7- 4) St Norbert -4.60 * 32.60
7 10/21/2023 Home W * 93.63 70 7 3 193 ( 4- 6) Wisconsin Lutheran 9.69 * 53.31
8 10/28/2023 Away W * 83.08 77 10 3 228 ( 2- 8) Rockford -0.87 * 67.87
9 11/04/2023 Home W * 83.48 70 14 3 202 ( 4- 6) Lakeland -0.46 * 56.46
10 11/11/2023 Home W * 68.90 23 0 3 145 ( 7- 3) Concordia WI -15.04 * 38.04
11 11/18/2023 Unknown W 92.70 20 7 3 33 ( 9- 2) Coe 8.76 4.24
12 11/25/2023 Unknown L 68.25 35 56 3 11 ( 11- 2) UW-La Crosse -15.69 -5.31
Averages 83.94 53.2 13.9
Best game: 104.32 = 91 point win over Concordia IL
Worst game: 62.40 = 15 point win over Franklin
Team stdev: 12.53