BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Toledo
Class: 1A Class Rank: 78 Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (6-3) Overall: (8-5) Overall Strength = 144.83
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2022 Home W 137.91 37 0 1B 112 ( 4- 7) LIU -4.82 * 41.82
2 09/10/2022 Home W 163.28 55 10 1A 131 ( 1- 11) Massachusetts 20.55 24.45
3 09/17/2022 Away L 124.37 21 77 1A 2 ( 11- 1) Ohio State -18.36 * -37.64
4 09/24/2022 Away L 140.02 14 17 1A 92 ( 7- 5) San Diego St -2.71 -0.29
5 10/01/2022 Home W * 153.79 38 17 1A 118 ( 4- 8) Central Michigan 11.06 9.94
6 10/08/2022 Away W * 153.81 52 32 1A 121 ( 3- 9) Northern Illinois 11.09 8.91
7 10/15/2022 Home W * 160.39 52 31 1A 100 ( 5- 7) Kent St 17.67 3.33
8 10/22/2022 Away L * 134.87 27 34 1A 95 ( 6- 6) Buffalo -7.86 0.86
9 10/29/2022 Away W * 141.04 27 24 1A 108 ( 8- 4) Eastern Michigan -1.68 4.68
10 11/08/2022 Home W * 139.32 28 21 1A 112 ( 5- 7) Ball St -3.40 10.40
11 11/15/2022 Home L * 123.09 35 42 1A 120 ( 6- 6) Bowling Green -19.63 12.63
12 11/25/2022 Away L * 129.84 14 20 1A 116 ( 5- 7) Western Michigan -12.88 6.88
13 12/03/2022 Neutral W * 153.70 17 7 1A 83 ( 9- 4) Ohio U. 10.98 -0.98
Averages 142.72 32.1 25.5
Best game: 163.28 = 45 point win over Massachusetts
Worst game: 123.09 = 7 point loss to Bowling Green
Team stdev: 13.21