BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Shepherd

Class: 2 Class Rank: 19 Conference: Pennsylvania State Athletic Conference Record: (11-1) Overall: (13-1) Overall Strength =  116.64

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2022 Away    W   125.11  48   7    2 120 (  3-  8) Southern Conn St        6.82 *   34.18                      
  2 09/10/2022 Home    W * 111.13  41   7    2 141 (  5-  6) Edinboro               -7.15 *   41.15                      
  3 09/17/2022 Home    W * 105.91  26  23    2  43 (  6-  5) California PA         -12.37     15.37                      
  4 09/24/2022 Away    W * 109.15  42  35    2  57 (  8-  3) Kutztown               -9.13     16.13                      
  5 10/01/2022 Away    W * 110.80  30  13    2  98 (  5-  6) Shippensburg           -7.49     24.49                      
  6 10/08/2022 Home    W * 118.84  72   7    2 162 (  1- 10) Lock Haven              0.56 *   64.44                      
  7 10/15/2022 Home    W * 123.46  55  17    2 107 (  5-  6) Millersville            5.17 *   32.83                      
  8 10/22/2022 Away    W * 130.23  47  14    2  80 (  7-  4) West Chester           11.94     21.06                      
  9 10/29/2022 Home    W * 127.70  55  10    2 112 (  4-  7) Bloomsburg              9.41 *   35.59                      
 10 11/05/2022 Away    W * 117.35  37  14    2  94 (  4-  7) East Stroudsburg       -0.94     23.94                      
 11 11/12/2022 Away    L * 107.00  21  24    2  34 ( 10-  2) Indiana PA            -11.29      8.29                      
 12 11/19/2022 Home    W   107.31  16  13    2  37 (  8-  3) New Haven             -10.98     13.98                      
 13 11/26/2022 Home    W * 117.01  37  27    2  24 ( 10-  3) Slippery Rock          -1.27     11.27                      
 14 12/03/2022 Away    W * 145.00  48  13    2  34 ( 10-  2) Indiana PA             26.71      8.29                      
      Averages             118.28  41.1 16.0

Best game:  145.00 = 35 point win over Indiana PA
Worst game: 105.91 = 3 point win over California PA
Team stdev:  11.14