BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Louisville

Class: 1A Class Rank: 28 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (7-5) Overall Strength =  159.70

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2022 Away    L * 131.26   7  31   1A  52 (  7-  5) Syracuse              -28.44      4.44                      
  2 09/09/2022 Away    W   166.04  20  14   1A  32 (  9-  4) Central Florida         6.34     -0.34                      
  3 09/16/2022 Home    L * 159.06  31  35   1A  11 (  9-  3) Florida St             -0.65     -3.35                      
  4 09/24/2022 Home    W   172.54  41   3   1A 104 (  1- 11) South Florida          12.84     25.16                      
  5 10/01/2022 Away    L * 137.78  33  34   1A 103 (  3-  9) Boston College        -21.92     20.92                      
  6 10/08/2022 Away    W * 161.20  34  17   1A  88 (  3-  7) Virginia                1.50     15.50                      
  7 10/22/2022 Home    W * 167.21  24  10   1A  44 (  8-  4) Pittsburgh              7.51      6.49                      
  8 10/29/2022 Home    W * 180.28  48  21   1A  40 (  7-  5) Wake Forest            20.58      6.42                      
  9 11/05/2022 Home    W   176.60  34  10   1A  45 (  8-  3) James Madison          16.90      7.10                      
 10 11/12/2022 Away    L * 151.39  16  31   1A  13 ( 11-  2) Clemson                -8.31     -6.69                      
 11 11/19/2022 Home    W * 167.14  25  10   1A  55 (  8-  4) North Carolina St       7.44      7.56                      
 12 11/26/2022 Away    L   145.92  13  26   1A  39 (  7-  5) Kentucky              -13.79      0.79                      
      Averages             159.70  27.2 20.2

Best game:  180.28 = 27 point win over Wake Forest
Worst game: 131.26 = 24 point loss to Syracuse
Team stdev:  15.31